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Fractal Markets Hypothesis and the Global Financial Crisis: Wavelet Power Evidence

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  • Ladislav Kristoufek

Abstract

We analyze whether the prediction of the fractal markets hypothesis about a dominance of specific investment horizons during turbulent times holds. To do so, we utilize the continuous wavelet transform analysis and obtained wavelet power spectra which give the crucial information about the variance distribution across scales and its evolution in time. We show that the most turbulent times of the Global Financial Crisis can be very well characterized by the dominance of short investment horizons which is in hand with the assertions of the fractal markets hypothesis.

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  • Ladislav Kristoufek, 2013. "Fractal Markets Hypothesis and the Global Financial Crisis: Wavelet Power Evidence," Papers 1310.1446, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1310.1446
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    2. Domino, Krzysztof & Błachowicz, Tomasz, 2015. "The use of copula functions for modeling the risk of investment in shares traded on world stock exchanges," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 424(C), pages 142-151.
    3. Domino, Krzysztof & Błachowicz, Tomasz, 2014. "The use of copula functions for modeling the risk of investment in shares traded on the Warsaw Stock Exchange," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 413(C), pages 77-85.
    4. Kaijian He & Rui Zha & Jun Wu & Kin Keung Lai, 2016. "Multivariate EMD-Based Modeling and Forecasting of Crude Oil Price," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-11, April.
    5. David Procházka & Jiří Pelák, 2016. "Ekonomické teorie účetnictví: přehled moderních přístupů a jejich reflexe při tvorbě účetních standardů [Economic Theories of Accounting: The Review of Modern Approaches and their Relevance for Sta," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2016(4), pages 451-467.
    6. Rita Sousa & Luís Aguiar-Conraria & Maria Joana Soares, 2014. "Carbon Financial Markets: a time-frequency analysis of CO2 price drivers," NIPE Working Papers 03/2014, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
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