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Recovery Rates in investment-grade pools of credit assets: A large deviations analysis

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  • Konstantinos Spiliopoulos
  • Richard B. Sowers

Abstract

We consider the effect of recovery rates on a pool of credit assets. We allow the recovery rate to depend on the defaults in a general way. Using the theory of large deviations, we study the structure of losses in a pool consisting of a continuum of types. We derive the corresponding rate function and show that it has a natural interpretation as the favored way to rearrange recoveries and losses among the different types. Numerical examples are also provided.

Suggested Citation

  • Konstantinos Spiliopoulos & Richard B. Sowers, 2010. "Recovery Rates in investment-grade pools of credit assets: A large deviations analysis," Papers 1006.2711, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2011.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1006.2711
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Huyen Pham, 2007. "Some applications and methods of large deviations in finance and insurance," Papers math/0702473, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2007.
    2. Richard B. Sowers, 2009. "Exact Pricing Asymptotics of Investment-Grade Tranches of Synthetic CDO's Part I: A Large Homogeneous Pool," Papers 0903.4475, arXiv.org.
    3. Das, Sanjiv R. & Hanouna, Paul, 2009. "Implied recovery," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(11), pages 1837-1857, November.
    4. Edward I. Altman & Brooks Brady & Andrea Resti & Andrea Sironi, 2005. "The Link between Default and Recovery Rates: Theory, Empirical Evidence, and Implications," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 78(6), pages 2203-2228, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Konstantinos Spiliopoulos, 2014. "Systemic Risk and Default Clustering for Large Financial Systems," Papers 1402.5352, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2015.
    2. Ben Hambly & Nikolaos Kolliopoulos, 2020. "Fast mean-reversion asymptotics for large portfolios of stochastic volatility models," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 757-794, July.
    3. Ben Hambly & Nikolaos Kolliopoulos, 2019. "Stochastic PDEs for large portfolios with general mean-reverting volatility processes," Papers 1906.05898, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
    4. Justin Sirignano & Kay Giesecke, 2019. "Risk Analysis for Large Pools of Loans," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(1), pages 107-121, January.
    5. Konstantinos Spiliopoulos & Richard B. Sowers, 2013. "Default Clustering in Large Pools: Large Deviations," Papers 1311.0498, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2015.
    6. Amogh Deshpande, 2014. "Comparing the Value at Risk Performance of the CreditRisk + and its Enhancement: A Large Deviations Approach," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 1009-1023, December.
    7. Ben Hambly & Nikolaos Kolliopoulos, 2018. "Fast mean-reversion asymptotics for large portfolios of stochastic volatility models," Papers 1811.08808, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
    8. Hamed Amini & Andreea Minca, 2016. "Inhomogeneous Financial Networks and Contagious Links," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 64(5), pages 1109-1120, October.

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