IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/1410.7206.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Large-Maturity Regimes of the Heston Forward Smile

Author

Listed:
  • Antoine Jacquier
  • Patrick Roome

Abstract

We provide a full characterisation of the large-maturity forward implied volatility smile in the Heston model. Although the leading decay is provided by a fairly classical large deviations behaviour, the algebraic expansion providing the higher-order terms highly depends on the parameters, and different powers of the maturity come into play. As a by-product of the analysis we provide new implied volatility asymptotics, both in the forward case and in the spot case, as well as extended SVI-type formulae. The proofs are based on extensions and refinements of sharp large deviations theory, in particular in cases where standard convexity arguments fail.

Suggested Citation

  • Antoine Jacquier & Patrick Roome, 2014. "Large-Maturity Regimes of the Heston Forward Smile," Papers 1410.7206, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2015.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1410.7206
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1410.7206
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fouque,Jean-Pierre & Papanicolaou,George & Sircar,Ronnie & Sølna,Knut, 2011. "Multiscale Stochastic Volatility for Equity, Interest Rate, and Credit Derivatives," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521843584.
    2. Stein, Elias M & Stein, Jeremy C, 1991. "Stock Price Distributions with Stochastic Volatility: An Analytic Approach," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 4(4), pages 727-752.
    3. Antoine Jacquier & Patrick Roome, 2015. "Black-Scholes in a CEV random environment," Papers 1503.08082, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2017.
    4. Patrick Hagan & Diana Woodward, 1999. "Equivalent Black volatilities," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(3), pages 147-157.
    5. Antoine Jacquier & Aleksandar Mijatović, 2014. "Large Deviations for the Extended Heston Model: The Large-Time Case," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 21(3), pages 263-280, September.
    6. Robert C. Merton, 2005. "Theory of rational option pricing," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Sudipto Bhattacharya & George M Constantinides (ed.), Theory Of Valuation, chapter 8, pages 229-288, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    7. Martin Forde & Antoine Jacquier, 2011. "The large-maturity smile for the Heston model," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 15(4), pages 755-780, December.
    8. Roger W. Lee, 2004. "The Moment Formula For Implied Volatility At Extreme Strikes," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(3), pages 469-480, July.
    9. E. Benhamou & E. Gobet & M. Miri, 2009. "Smart expansion and fast calibration for jump diffusions," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 13(4), pages 563-589, September.
    10. Martin Forde & Antoine Jacquier & Aleksandar Mijatovic, 2009. "Asymptotic formulae for implied volatility in the Heston model," Papers 0911.2992, arXiv.org, revised May 2010.
    11. S. Benaim & P. Friz, 2009. "Regular Variation And Smile Asymptotics," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(1), pages 1-12, January.
    12. Aleksandar Mijatovi'c & Peter Tankov, 2012. "A new look at short-term implied volatility in asset price models with jumps," Papers 1207.0843, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2012.
    13. Archil Gulisashvili, 2015. "Left-Wing Asymptotics Of The Implied Volatility In The Presence Of Atoms," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(02), pages 1-25.
    14. Archil Gulisashvili, 2013. "Left-wing asymptotics of the implied volatility in the presence of atoms," Papers 1311.6027, arXiv.org.
    15. Huyen Pham, 2007. "Some applications and methods of large deviations in finance and insurance," Papers math/0702473, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2007.
    16. Johannes Muhle-Karbe & Marcel Nutz, 2010. "Small-Time Asymptotics of Option Prices and First Absolute Moments," Papers 1006.2294, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2011.
    17. Paul Glasserman & Qi Wu, 2011. "Forward And Future Implied Volatility," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 14(03), pages 407-432.
    18. Heston, Steven L, 1993. "A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 327-343.
    19. Leif Andersen & Vladimir Piterbarg, 2007. "Moment explosions in stochastic volatility models," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 29-50, January.
    20. Jim Gatheral & Antoine Jacquier, 2011. "Convergence of Heston to SVI," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(8), pages 1129-1132.
    21. Naoto Kunitomo & Akihiko Takahashi, 2004. "Applications of the Asymptotic Expansion Approach based on Malliavin-Watanabe Calculus in Financial Problems," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Jiro Akahori & Shigeyoshi Ogawa & Shinzo Watanabe (ed.), Stochastic Processes And Applications To Mathematical Finance, chapter 10, pages 195-232, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    22. Kun Gao & Roger Lee, 2014. "Asymptotics of implied volatility to arbitrary order," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 349-392, April.
    23. J. D. Deuschel & P. K. Friz & A. Jacquier & S. Violante, 2011. "Marginal density expansions for diffusions and stochastic volatility, part I: Theoretical Foundations," Papers 1111.2462, arXiv.org, revised May 2013.
    24. J. E. Figueroa-L'opez & R. Gong & C. Houdr'e, 2010. "Small-time expansions of the distributions, densities, and option prices of stochastic volatility models with L\'evy jumps," Papers 1009.4211, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2012.
    25. Figueroa-López, José E. & Gong, Ruoting & Houdré, Christian, 2012. "Small-time expansions of the distributions, densities, and option prices of stochastic volatility models with Lévy jumps," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 122(4), pages 1808-1839.
    26. Elisa Alòs & Jorge León & Josep Vives, 2007. "On the short-time behavior of the implied volatility for jump-diffusion models with stochastic volatility," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 11(4), pages 571-589, October.
    27. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
    28. Antoine Jacquier & Patrick Roome, 2012. "Asymptotics of forward implied volatility," Papers 1212.0779, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2015.
    29. Martin Forde & Antoine Jacquier, 2009. "Small-Time Asymptotics For Implied Volatility Under The Heston Model," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(06), pages 861-876.
    30. Leif Andersen & Alexander Lipton, 2013. "Asymptotics For Exponential Lévy Processes And Their Volatility Smile: Survey And New Results," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 16(01), pages 1-98.
    31. Antoine Jacquier & Patrick Roome, 2013. "The Small-Maturity Heston Forward Smile," Papers 1303.4268, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2013.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Elisa Alos & Antoine Jacquier & Jorge Leon, 2017. "The implied volatility of Forward-Start options: ATM short-time level, skew and curvature," Papers 1710.11232, arXiv.org.
    2. Omar El Euch & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2016. "The characteristic function of rough Heston models," Papers 1609.02108, arXiv.org.
    3. Antoine Jacquier & Patrick Roome, 2015. "Black-Scholes in a CEV random environment," Papers 1503.08082, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2017.
    4. Oliver Pfante & Nils Bertschinger, 2016. "Uncertainty Estimates in the Heston Model via Fisher Information," Papers 1610.04760, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2016.
    5. M. Papi & L. Pontecorvi & C. Donatucci, 2017. "Weighted average price in the Heston stochastic volatility model," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 40(1), pages 351-373, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Antoine Jacquier & Patrick Roome, 2013. "The Small-Maturity Heston Forward Smile," Papers 1303.4268, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2013.
    2. Antoine Jacquier & Fangwei Shi, 2016. "The randomised Heston model," Papers 1608.07158, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2018.
    3. Antoine Jacquier & Patrick Roome, 2015. "Black-Scholes in a CEV random environment," Papers 1503.08082, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2017.
    4. Leif Andersen & Alexander Lipton, 2012. "Asymptotics for Exponential Levy Processes and their Volatility Smile: Survey and New Results," Papers 1206.6787, arXiv.org.
    5. Archil Gulisashvili & Peter Tankov, 2014. "Implied volatility of basket options at extreme strikes," Papers 1406.0394, arXiv.org.
    6. Archil Gulisashvili & Frederi Viens & Xin Zhang, 2015. "Small-time asymptotics for Gaussian self-similar stochastic volatility models," Papers 1505.05256, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2016.
    7. Cristian Homescu, 2011. "Implied Volatility Surface: Construction Methodologies and Characteristics," Papers 1107.1834, arXiv.org.
    8. Antoine Jacquier & Aleksandar Mijatović, 2014. "Large Deviations for the Extended Heston Model: The Large-Time Case," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 21(3), pages 263-280, September.
    9. Michael R. Tehranchi, 2015. "Uniform bounds for Black--Scholes implied volatility," Papers 1512.06812, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2016.
    10. Dan Pirjol & Lingjiong Zhu, 2017. "Short Maturity Asian Options for the CEV Model," Papers 1702.03382, arXiv.org.
    11. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Li, Chenxu & Li, Chen Xu, 2021. "Closed-form implied volatility surfaces for stochastic volatility models with jumps," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 364-392.
    12. Matthew Lorig & Stefano Pagliarani & Andrea Pascucci, 2017. "Explicit Implied Volatilities For Multifactor Local-Stochastic Volatility Models," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(3), pages 926-960, July.
    13. Lingjiong Zhu, 2015. "Short maturity options for Azéma–Yor martingales," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 2(04), pages 1-32, December.
    14. Alexander Lipton, 2024. "Hydrodynamics of Markets:Hidden Links Between Physics and Finance," Papers 2403.09761, arXiv.org.
    15. J. D. Deuschel & P. K. Friz & A. Jacquier & S. Violante, 2011. "Marginal density expansions for diffusions and stochastic volatility, part I: Theoretical Foundations," Papers 1111.2462, arXiv.org, revised May 2013.
    16. Andrea Barletta & Elisa Nicolato & Stefano Pagliarani, 2019. "The short‐time behavior of VIX‐implied volatilities in a multifactor stochastic volatility framework," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(3), pages 928-966, July.
    17. Alexander Lipton, 2023. "Kelvin Waves, Klein-Kramers and Kolmogorov Equations, Path-Dependent Financial Instruments: Survey and New Results," Papers 2309.04547, arXiv.org.
    18. Peter Friz & Stefan Gerhold & Arpad Pinter, 2016. "Option Pricing in the Moderate Deviations Regime," Papers 1604.01281, arXiv.org.
    19. Martin Forde & Antoine Jacquier, 2011. "The large-maturity smile for the Heston model," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 15(4), pages 755-780, December.
    20. Dan Pirjol & Lingjiong Zhu, 2016. "Short Maturity Asian Options in Local Volatility Models," Papers 1609.07559, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1410.7206. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.