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Recovery rates in investment-grade pools of credit assets: A large deviations analysis

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  • Spiliopoulos, Konstantinos
  • Sowers, Richard B.

Abstract

We consider the effect of recovery rates on a pool of credit assets. We allow the recovery rate to depend on the defaults in a general way. Using the theory of large deviations, we study the structure of losses in a pool consisting of a continuum of types. We derive the corresponding rate function and show that it has a natural interpretation as the favored way to rearrange recoveries and losses among the different types. Numerical examples are also provided.

Suggested Citation

  • Spiliopoulos, Konstantinos & Sowers, Richard B., 2011. "Recovery rates in investment-grade pools of credit assets: A large deviations analysis," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 121(12), pages 2861-2898.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:121:y:2011:i:12:p:2861-2898
    DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2011.08.005
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Richard B. Sowers, 2010. "Exact Pricing Asymptotics Of Investment-Grade Tranches Of Synthetic Cdo'S: A Large Homogeneous Pool," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(03), pages 367-401.
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    4. Paul Glasserman & Wanmo Kang & Perwez Shahabuddin, 2007. "Large Deviations In Multifactor Portfolio Credit Risk," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(3), pages 345-379, July.
    5. Huyen Pham, 2007. "Some applications and methods of large deviations in finance and insurance," Papers math/0702473, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2007.
    6. Amir Dembo & Jean-Dominique Deuschel & Darrell Duffie, 2004. "Large portfolio losses," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 3-16, January.
    7. Gordy, Michael B., 2002. "Saddlepoint approximation of CreditRisk+," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1335-1353, July.
    8. Das, Sanjiv R. & Hanouna, Paul, 2009. "Implied recovery," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(11), pages 1837-1857, November.
    9. Frey, Rudiger & McNeil, Alexander J., 2002. "VaR and expected shortfall in portfolios of dependent credit risks: Conceptual and practical insights," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1317-1334, July.
    10. Paul Glasserman & Jingyi Li, 2005. "Importance Sampling for Portfolio Credit Risk," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 51(11), pages 1643-1656, November.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ben Hambly & Nikolaos Kolliopoulos, 2020. "Fast mean-reversion asymptotics for large portfolios of stochastic volatility models," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 757-794, July.
    2. Justin Sirignano & Kay Giesecke, 2019. "Risk Analysis for Large Pools of Loans," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(1), pages 107-121, January.
    3. Ben Hambly & Nikolaos Kolliopoulos, 2018. "Fast mean-reversion asymptotics for large portfolios of stochastic volatility models," Papers 1811.08808, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
    4. Ben Hambly & Nikolaos Kolliopoulos, 2019. "Stochastic PDEs for large portfolios with general mean-reverting volatility processes," Papers 1906.05898, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
    5. Hamed Amini & Andreea Minca, 2016. "Inhomogeneous Financial Networks and Contagious Links," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 64(5), pages 1109-1120, October.
    6. Amogh Deshpande, 2014. "Comparing the Value at Risk Performance of the CreditRisk + and its Enhancement: A Large Deviations Approach," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 1009-1023, December.
    7. Konstantinos Spiliopoulos & Richard B. Sowers, 2013. "Default Clustering in Large Pools: Large Deviations," Papers 1311.0498, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2015.
    8. Konstantinos Spiliopoulos, 2014. "Systemic Risk and Default Clustering for Large Financial Systems," Papers 1402.5352, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2015.

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