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Fractional term structure models: No-arbitrage and consistency

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  • Alberto Ohashi

Abstract

In this work we introduce Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) interest rate models driven by fractional Brownian motions. By using support arguments we prove that the resulting model is arbitrage free under proportional transaction costs in the same spirit of Guasoni [Math. Finance 16 (2006) 569-582]. In particular, we obtain a drift condition which is similar in nature to the classical HJM no-arbitrage drift restriction. The second part of this paper deals with consistency problems related to the fractional HJM dynamics. We give a fairly complete characterization of finite-dimensional invariant manifolds for HJM models with fractional Brownian motion by means of Nagumo-type conditions. As an application, we investigate consistency of Nelson-Siegel family with respect to Ho-Lee and Hull-White models. It turns out that similar to the Brownian case such a family does not go well with the fractional HJM dynamics with deterministic volatility. In fact, there is no nontrivial fractional interest rate model consistent with the Nelson-Siegel family.

Suggested Citation

  • Alberto Ohashi, 2008. "Fractional term structure models: No-arbitrage and consistency," Papers 0802.1288, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2009.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:0802.1288
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Tomas Björk & Henrik Hult, 2005. "A note on Wick products and the fractional Black-Scholes model," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 9(2), pages 197-209, April.
    2. M. De Donno & M. Pratelli, 2006. "A theory of stochastic integration for bond markets," Papers math/0602532, arXiv.org.
    3. David Heath & Robert Jarrow & Andrew Morton, 2008. "Bond Pricing And The Term Structure Of Interest Rates: A New Methodology For Contingent Claims Valuation," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 13, pages 277-305, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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    Cited by:

    1. Harms, Philipp & Stefanovits, David, 2019. "Affine representations of fractional processes with applications in mathematical finance," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 129(4), pages 1185-1228.
    2. Biagini, Francesca & Fink, Holger & Klüppelberg, Claudia, 2013. "A fractional credit model with long range dependent default rate," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 123(4), pages 1319-1347.
    3. Laurini, Márcio Poletti & Hotta, Luiz Koodi, 2013. "Indirect Inference in fractional short-term interest rate diffusions," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 109-126.
    4. Charfeddine, Lanouar & Khediri, Karim Ben & Aye, Goodness C. & Gupta, Rangan, 2018. "Time-varying efficiency of developed and emerging bond markets: Evidence from long-spans of historical data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 505(C), pages 632-647.
    5. Sixian Jin & Qidi Peng & Henry Schellhorn, 2018. "Estimation of the pointwise Hölder exponent of hidden multifractional Brownian motion using wavelet coefficients," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 113-140, April.
    6. Alberto Ohashi & Alexandre B Simas, 2015. "Principal Components Analysis for Semimartingales and Stochastic PDE," Papers 1503.05909, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2016.

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