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Влияние повышения цен на горюче-смазочные материалы (ГСМ) на инфляцию: опыт Казахстана. // The impact of the increase in prices for fuels and lubricants on inflation: the experience of Kazakhstan

Author

Listed:
  • Чернявский Денис // Chernyavskiy Denis

    (National Bank of Kazakhstan)

  • Сейдахметов Ансар // Seidakhmetov Ansar

    (National Bank of Kazakhstan)

Abstract

В данной работе был оценен эффект переноса повышения цен на ГСМ в рост общего уровня цен. Оценка косвенного эффекта переноса была проведена с помощью метода локальных проекций и VAR-модели, описанных в работе Kpodar, K., & Liu, B. (2022)3. Дополнительно была оценена чувствительность отдельных групп товаров к колебаниям цен на топливо. В целом, результаты исследования показали, что отклик инфляции на шоки топлива значимы вне зависимости от используемой модели. Более того оценки эффекта переноса, полученные с использование VAR-модели, продемонстрировали больший эффект по сравнению с методом локальных проекций

Suggested Citation

  • Чернявский Денис // Chernyavskiy Denis & Сейдахметов Ансар // Seidakhmetov Ansar, 2023. "Влияние повышения цен на горюче-смазочные материалы (ГСМ) на инфляцию: опыт Казахстана. // The impact of the increase in prices for fuels and lubricants on inflation: the experience of Kazakhstan," Working Papers #2023-6, National Bank of Kazakhstan.
    • Handle: RePEc:aob:wpaper:44
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    цены на топливо; инфляция; косвенный эффект; inflation; prices for fuels; indirect effect;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • H23 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies

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