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To freeze or not to freeze? Epidemic prevention and control in the DSGE model with agent-based epidemic component

Author

Listed:
  • Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa

    (Institute of Economics Polish Academy of Sciences)

  • Przemyslaw Wlodarczyk

    (University of Lodz)

Abstract

The ongoing epidemic of COVID-19 raises numerous questions concerning the shape and range of state interventions, that are aimed at reduction of the number of infections and deaths. The lockdowns, which became the most popular response worldwide, are assessed as being an outdated and economically inefficient way to fight the disease. However, in the absence of efficient cures and vaccines they lack viable alternatives. In this paper we assess the economic consequences of epidemic prevention and control schemes that were introduced in order to respond to the COVID-19 outburst. The analyses report the results of epidemic simulations obtained with the agent-based modeling methods under different response schemes and use them in order to provide conditional forecasts of standard economic variables. The forecasts are obtained from the DSGE model with labour market component.

Suggested Citation

  • Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa & Przemyslaw Wlodarczyk, 2020. "To freeze or not to freeze? Epidemic prevention and control in the DSGE model with agent-based epidemic component," Lodz Economics Working Papers 3/2020, University of Lodz, Faculty of Economics and Sociology.
    • Handle: RePEc:ann:wpaper:3/2020
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/11089/32520
    File Function: First version, 2020
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Kwiatkowski Eugeniusz & Szymańska Agata, 2022. "Sectoral changes of employment in Poland during the COVID-19 pandemic: Are reallocation shock effects applicable?," Economics and Business Review, Sciendo, vol. 8(2), pages 113-144, July.
    2. Yugang He & Yinhui Wang, 2022. "Macroeconomic Effects of COVID-19 Pandemic: Fresh Evidence from Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-14, April.
    3. Nikolas Schiozer & Gilberto Tadeu Lima & Michel Alexandre, 2024. "Heterogeneity in pricing behavior in hybrid DSGE-ABM macrodynamics," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2024_26, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; agent-based modelling; dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models; scenario analyses;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
    • D5 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium

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