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Moment generating function of non-Markov self-excited claims processes

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  • Hainaut, Donatien

    (Université catholique de Louvain, LIDAM/ISBA, Belgium)

Abstract

This article establishes the moment generating function (mgf) of self-excited claim processes with memory functions that admit a Fourier's transform representation. In this case, the claim and intensity processes may be reformulated as an infinite dimensional Markov processes in the complex plane. Approaching these processes by discretization and next considering the limit allows us to find their moment generating function. We illustrate the article by fitting non-Markov self-excited processes to the time-series of cyber-attacks targeting medical and other services, in the US from 2014 to 2018.

Suggested Citation

  • Hainaut, Donatien, 2021. "Moment generating function of non-Markov self-excited claims processes," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2021028, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    • Handle: RePEc:aiz:louvad:2021028
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hainaut, Donatien, 2017. "Contagion modeling between the financial and insurance markets with time changed processes," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 63-77.
    2. Barsotti, Flavia & Milhaud, Xavier & Salhi, Yahia, 2016. "Lapse risk in life insurance: Correlation and contagion effects among policyholders’ behaviors," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 317-331.
    3. Gabriele Stabile & Giovanni Luca Torrisi, 2010. "Risk Processes with Non-stationary Hawkes Claims Arrivals," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 12(3), pages 415-429, September.
    4. Jang, Jiwook & Dassios, Angelos & Zhao, Hongbiao, 2018. "Moments of renewal shot-noise processes and their applications," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 87428, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Hainaut, Donatien, 2017. "Contagion modeling between the financial and insurance markets with time changed processes," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2017016, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    6. Dassios, Angelos & Jang, Jiwook, 2003. "Pricing of catastrophe reinsurance and derivatives using the Cox process with shot noise intensity," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 2849, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    7. F. Musmeci & D. Vere-Jones, 1992. "A space-time clustering model for historical earthquakes," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 44(1), pages 1-11, March.
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    9. Jang, Jiwook & Dassios, Angelos, 2013. "A bivariate shot noise self-exciting process for insurance," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 524-532.
    10. Barsotti, Flavia & Milhaud, Xavier & Salhi, Yahia, 2016. "Lapse risk in life insurance: Correlation and contagion effects among policyholders’ behaviors," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 317-331.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Leunga Njike, Charles Guy & Hainaut, Donatien, 2024. "Affine Heston model style with self-exciting jumps and long memory," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2024001, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    2. Dupret, Jean-Loup & Hainaut, Donatien, 2022. "A subdiffusive stochastic volatility jump model," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2022001, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    3. Hainaut, Donatien, 2023. "A mutually exciting rough jump diffusion for financial modelling," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2023011, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    4. Hainaut, Donatien, 2022. "Pricing of spread and exchange options in a rough jump-diffusion market," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2022012, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    5. Hainaut, Donatien, 2022. "Multivariate rough claim processes: properties and estimation," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2022002, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    6. Charles Guy Njike Leunga & Donatien Hainaut, 2024. "Affine Heston model style with self-exciting jumps and long memory," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 1-43, March.
    7. Hainaut, Donatien, 2022. "Multivariate claim processes with rough intensities: Properties and estimation," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 269-287.
    8. Hainaut, Donatien & Chen, Maggie & Scalas, Enrico, 2023. "The rough Hawkes process," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2023007, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    self-excited process; shot noise process; Hawkes process;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies

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