IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/aiu/abewps/28.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Money Supply, Food Prices and Manufactured Product Prices: A Causality Analysis for Pakistan Economy

Author

Listed:
  • Qazi Muhammad Adnan Hye

    (; AERCK, University of Karachi, Pakistan)

  • Asghar Ali

    (; AERCK, University of Karachi, Pakistan)

Abstract

This pioneer research for Pakistan uses monthly time series data for the period of 1997-1 to 2008-4 to determine the causal relationship between the money supply, food prices and manufactured product prices in developing country like Pakistan. Empirical analysis is performed by using the ARDL and Toda Yamamoto causality test. The results show that the bidirectional causality between the food prices and money supply and unidirectional causality from money supply to manufactured product prices. On the other hand there is no causal relationship between the food prices and manufactured product prices. The important finding of this study is that food prices response faster then the manufactured product prices to a change in money supply in the Pakistan.

Suggested Citation

  • Qazi Muhammad Adnan Hye & Asghar Ali, 2009. "Money Supply, Food Prices and Manufactured Product Prices: A Causality Analysis for Pakistan Economy," AIUB Bus Econ Working Paper Series AIUB-BUS-ECON-2009-03, American International University-Bangladesh (AIUB), Office of Research and Publications (ORP), revised Feb 2009.
  • Handle: RePEc:aiu:abewps:28
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://orp.aiub.edu/FileZone/abewp/orpadmin-2009-038589862662988/AIUB-BUS-ECON-2009-03.pdf
    File Function: First version,
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Parks, Richard W, 1978. "Inflation and Relative Price Variability," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 86(1), pages 79-95, February.
    2. Mathew D. Shane & William M. Liefert, 2000. "The International Financial Criss: Macroeconomic Linkages to Agriculture," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 82(3), pages 682-687.
    3. Sayed H. Saghaian & Michael R. Reed & Mary A. Marchant, 2002. "Monetary Impacts and Overshooting of Agricultural Prices in an Open Economy," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 84(1), pages 90-103.
    4. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    5. Yamada, Hiroshi & Toda, Hiro Y., 1998. "Inference in possibly integrated vector autoregressive models: some finite sample evidence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 86(1), pages 55-95, June.
    6. Richard C. Barnett & David A. Bessler & Robert L. Thompson, 1983. "The Money Supply and Nominal Agricultural Prices," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 65(2), pages 303-307.
    7. Alex F. McCalla, 1982. "Impact of Macroeconomic Policies Upon Agricultural Trade and International Agricultural Development," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 64(5), pages 861-868.
    8. Robert G. Chambers, 1981. "Interrelationships between Monetary Instruments and Agricultural Commodity Trade," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 63(5), pages 934-941.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Peng, Xuehua & Marchant, Mary A. & Reed, Michael R., 2004. "Identifying Monetary Impacts On Food Prices In China: A Vec Model Approach," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20315, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    2. Koo, Won W. & Cho, Guedae & Kim, MinKyoung, 2005. "Macro Effects on Agricultural Prices in Different Time Horizons," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19349, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    3. Pick, Daniel H. & McCalla, Alex F., 1985. "Macroeconomics And Agriculture: Review Of The Literature," Working Papers 225797, University of California, Davis, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    4. Cho, Guedae & Kim, MinKyoung & Koo, Won W., 2003. "Relative Agricultural Price Changes In Different Time Horizons," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 22249, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    5. A. Nazif Çatik & Christopher Martin & A. Özlem Onder, 2011. "Relative price variability and the Phillips Curve: evidence from Turkey," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 38(5), pages 546-561, September.
    6. YOUNG Ademola Obafemi, 2022. "Non-Oil Sectors, Economic Diversification And Growth In Nigeria: Further Empirical Evidence," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 17(1), pages 290-311, April.
    7. Devadoss, S., 1985. "The impacts of monetary policies on US agriculture," ISU General Staff Papers 198501010800008837, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    8. Saghaian, Sayed H. & Reed, Michael R., 2014. "The Impact Of The Recent Federal Reserve Large-Scale Asset Purchases On The Agricultural Commodity Prices: A Historical Decomposition," International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics (IJFAEC), Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Department of Economics and Finance, vol. 2(2), pages 1-16, April.
    9. Liu, Zong-Shin, 1989. "Monetary policy, exchange rate, and effects on US wheat trade and domestic market in an imperfect competition framework," ISU General Staff Papers 1989010108000010216, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    10. Hatzenbuehler, Patrick L. & Abbott, Philip C. & Foster, Kenneth A., 2016. "Agricultural Commodity Prices and Exchange Rates under Structural Change," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 41(2), May.
    11. Bakucs, Lajos Zoltan & Ferto, Imre, 2005. "Monetary Impacts and Overshooting of Agricultural Prices in a Transition Economy," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24711, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    12. Mourad Zmami & Ousama Ben-Salha, 2019. "Does Oil Price Drive World Food Prices? Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear ARDL Modeling," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-18, February.
    13. Chor Foon Tang, 2015. "How Stable is the Savings-led Growth Hypothesis in Malaysia? The Bootstrap Simulation and Recursive Causality Tests," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 9(1), pages 1-17, February.
    14. Shyh-Wei Chen & Zixiong Xie & Ying Liao, 2018. "Energy consumption promotes economic growth or economic growth causes energy use in China? A panel data analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 1019-1043, November.
    15. Mahdi Asgari & Sayed H. Saghaian & Michael R. Reed, 2020. "The Impact of Energy Sector on Overshooting of Agricultural Prices," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(2), pages 589-606, March.
    16. Hushak, Leroy J., 1985. "The Exchange Rate And Agriculture: Real Issue Or Dead Horse!," 1985 Annual Meeting, August 4-7, Ames, Iowa 278660, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    17. Yu, Xiaohua, 2014. "Monetary easing policy and long-run food prices: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 175-183.
    18. Ademola Obafemi Young, 2018. "Economic Growth and Population Ageing in Nigeria: Innovation Accounting Techniques," Journal of Sustainable Development, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(4), pages 190-190, July.
    19. Zhihui Lv & Amanda M. Y. Chu & Michael McAleer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Modelling Economic Growth, Carbon Emissions, and Fossil Fuel Consumption in China: Cointegration and Multivariate Causality," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(21), pages 1-35, October.
    20. Saghir Pervaiz Ghauri & Rizwan Raheem Ahmed & Jolita Vveinhardt & Dalia Streimikiene, 2017. "Estimation of Relationship between Inflation and Relative Price Variability: Granger Causality and ARDL Modelling Approach," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 19(44), pages 249-249, February.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:aiu:abewps:28. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ziarat H. Khan (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://orp.aiub.edu/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.