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Agricultural Commodity Prices and Exchange Rates under Structural Change

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  • Hatzenbuehler, Patrick L.
  • Abbott, Philip C.
  • Foster, Kenneth A.

Abstract

That exchange rates strongly influence agricultural commodity prices is a widely held belief. Observed divergences in price and exchange rate correspondence over time, however, have occasionally brought this conventional wisdom into doubt. We empirically test and find evidence to support hypotheses that key supply-use factors, such as low stocks and policy shifts, intermittently cause greater responsiveness of agricultural commodity prices to exchange rate changes because they give rise to more inelastic market demand. After accounting for these longrun effects, we also find that short-run price responsiveness to exchange rate changes is sometimes greater due to overshooting factors.

Suggested Citation

  • Hatzenbuehler, Patrick L. & Abbott, Philip C. & Foster, Kenneth A., 2016. "Agricultural Commodity Prices and Exchange Rates under Structural Change," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 41(2), May.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:jlaare:235153
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.235153
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    2. Yugay, Stanislav & Götz, Linde & Svanidze, Miranda, 2020. "Exchange Rate Pass-through and Wheat Prices in Russia," 60th Annual Conference, Halle/ Saale, Germany, September 23-25, 2020 305595, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade;

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • Q02 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - - Commodity Market
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade

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