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An Empirical Investigation of Live Hog Demand

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  • Parcell, Joseph L.
  • Mintert, James R.
  • Plain, Ronald L.

Abstract

An inverse live hog demand model was estimated to analyze claims that the live hog own quantity demand flexibility's magnitude has increased in recent years. A second objective of this research was to estimate the impact changes in processing capacity utilization rates have on live hog prices. Results indicate that in recent years live hog prices have become more responsive to changes in hog slaughter, slaughter weight, and cold storage stocks. Additionally, changes in processing capacity utilization rates, at times, also have a relatively large impact on live hog prices. Finally, when the large live hog price decline that occurred during the fall of 1998 is examined, model results indicate that the sharp increase in processor's capacity utilization rates, an increase in average dressed weight, and the increase in hog slaughter all had a large negative effect on live hog prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Parcell, Joseph L. & Mintert, James R. & Plain, Ronald L., 2002. "An Empirical Investigation of Live Hog Demand," Working Papers 26042, University of Missouri Columbia, Department of Agricultural Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:umcowp:26042
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.26042
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Giancarlo Moschini & Karl D. Meilke, 1989. "Modeling the Pattern of Structural Change in U.S. Meat Demand," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 71(2), pages 253-261.
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    4. McGuirk, Anya M. & Driscoll, Paul J. & Alwang, Jeffrey Roger & Huang, Huilin, 1995. "System Misspecification Testing And Structural Change In The Demand For Meats," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 20(1), pages 1-21, July.
    5. Clement E. Ward, 1990. "Meatpacking plant capacity and utilization: Implications for competition and pricing," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 6(1), pages 65-73.
    6. Schroeder, Ted & Jones, Rodney & Mintert, James & Barkley, Andrew, 1991. "The Impacts of Captive Supplies on the Fed Cattle Industry," Staff Papers 232404, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics.
    7. Marvin L. Hayenga & Duane Hacklander, 1970. "Monthly Supply-Demand Relationships for Fed Cattle and Hogs," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 52(4), pages 535-544.
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    Cited by:

    1. Brinker, Adam J. & Parcell, Joseph L. & Dhuyvetter, Kevin C., 2007. "Cross-Hedging Distillers Dried Grains: Exploring Corn and Soybean Meal Futures Contracts," 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois 37567, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    2. Parcell, Joseph L., 2003. "An Empirical Analysis of the Demand for Wholesale Pork Primals: Seasonality and Structural Change," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 28(2), pages 1-14, August.
    3. Franken, Jason R.V. & Parcell, Joseph L. & Sykuta, Michael E. & Fulcher, Christopher L., 2005. "Market Integration: Case Studies of Structural Change," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 34(2), pages 1-10, October.
    4. Diersen, Matthew A., 2001. "South Dakota's Hog Market: Developments and Prospects," Economics Staff Papers 32021, South Dakota State University, Department of Economics.
    5. Hornung, Jonathan T. & Ward, Clement E., 2005. "Positive Market Effects from a Meatpacking Plant Opening: Perceptions and Reality," CAFRI: Current Agriculture, Food and Resource Issues, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society, issue 6, pages 1-10, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Demand and Price Analysis; Livestock Production/Industries;

    JEL classification:

    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices
    • Q12 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets
    • Q13 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Markets and Marketing; Cooperatives; Agribusiness
    • D40 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - General

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