IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/ugeofs/103949.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

A Dynamic Optimal Crop Rotation Model in Acreage Response

Author

Listed:
  • Cai, Ruohong
  • Bergstrom, John C.
  • Mullen, Jeffrey D.
  • Wetzstein, Michael E.

Abstract

This paper presents a dynamic crop rotation model that shows how crop yield and price volatility could impact crop mix and acreage response under crop rotation considerations. Specifically, a discrete Markov decision model is utilized to optimize producers’ crop rotation decision within a finite horizon. By maximizing net present value of expected current and future profits, a modified Bellman equation helps develop optimum planting decisions. This model is capable of simulating crop rotations with different lengths and structures. Specifically, the corn-soybeans rotations were simulated using the crop rotation model.

Suggested Citation

  • Cai, Ruohong & Bergstrom, John C. & Mullen, Jeffrey D. & Wetzstein, Michael E., 2011. "A Dynamic Optimal Crop Rotation Model in Acreage Response," Faculty Series 103949, University of Georgia, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:ugeofs:103949
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.103949
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/103949/files/FS11-02.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.103949?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Talaat El-Nazer & Bruce A. McCarl, 1986. "The Choice of Crop Rotation: A Modeling Approach and Case Study," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 68(1), pages 127-136.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ji, Yongjie & Rabotyagov, sergey & Valcu-Lisman, Adriana, 2015. "Estimating Adoption of Cover Crops Using Preferences Revealed by a Dynamic Crop Choice Model," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205799, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Yuehjen E. Shao & Jun-Ting Dai, 2018. "Integrated Feature Selection of ARIMA with Computational Intelligence Approaches for Food Crop Price Prediction," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-17, July.
    3. Fabio Gaetano Santeramo & Emilia Lamonaca & Francesco Contò & Gianluca Nardone & Antonio Stasi, 2018. "Drivers of grain price volatility: a cursory critical review," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 64(8), pages 347-356.
    4. Schuurman, Daniel & Weersink, Alfons & Delaporte, Aaron, 2021. "Optimal Sequential Crop Choices for Soil Carbon Management: A Dynamic Programming Approach," 2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas 314042, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. Ahmed, Musa Hasen & Tesfaye, Wondimagegn & Stephan, Dietrich & Gassmann, Franziska, 2021. "Within Growing Season Weather Variability and Adaptation in Agriculture: Evidence from Cropping Patterns of Ethiopia," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315056, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    6. Alain Carpentier & Alexandre Gohin, 2015. "On the economic theory of crop rotations: value of the crop rotation effects and implications on acreage choice modeling," Working Papers SMART 15-04, INRAE UMR SMART.
    7. Cai, Ruohong & Zhang, Xin & Kanter, David, 2014. "The Impact of Crop Price on Nitrous Oxide Emissions: A Dynamic Programming Approach," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170691, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Amon-Armah, Frederick & Yiridoe, Emmanuel K. & Hebb, Dale & Jamieson, Rob, 2013. "Nitrogen abatement cost comparison for cropping systems under alternative management choices," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 149915, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Liu, Xing & Lehtonen, Heikki & Purola, Tuomo & Pavlova, Yulia & Rötter, Reimund & Palosuo, Taru, 2016. "Dynamic economic modelling of crop rotations with farm management practices under future pest pressure," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 65-76.
    3. CARPENTIER, Alain & GOHIN, Alexandre & SCKOKAI, Paolo & THOMAS, Alban, 2015. "Economic modelling of agricultural production: past advances and new challenges," Review of Agricultural and Environmental Studies - Revue d'Etudes en Agriculture et Environnement (RAEStud), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA), vol. 96(1), March.
    4. Thang, Tran Cong & Burton, Michael P. & Brennan, Donna C., 2009. "Optimal replanting and cutting rule for coffee farmers in Vietnam," 2009 Conference (53rd), February 11-13, 2009, Cairns, Australia 47638, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    5. Ibirénoyé Romaric Sodjahin & Fabienne Femenia & Obafemi Philippe Koutchade & A. Carpentier, 2022. "On the economic value of the agronomic effects of crop diversification for farmers: estimation based on farm cost accounting data [Valeur économique des effets agronomiques de la diversification de," Working Papers hal-03639951, HAL.
    6. Glen, J. J. & Tipper, R., 2001. "A mathematical programming model for improvement planning in a semi-subsistence farm," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 70(1), pages 295-317, October.
    7. Iddo Kan & Ofira Ayalon & Roy Federman, 2010. "On the efficiency of composting organic wastes," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 41(2), pages 151-163, March.
    8. L. Alfandari & J. Lemalade & A. Nagih & G. Plateau, 2011. "A MIP flow model for crop-rotation planning in a context of forest sustainable development," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 190(1), pages 149-164, October.
    9. Ndivhuho Tshikovhi & Krantisagar More & Zamaswazi Cele, 2023. "Driving Sustainable Growth for Small and Medium Enterprises in Emerging Urban–Rural Economies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-11, October.
    10. McCarl, Bruce A., 1986. "Innovations In Programming Techniques For Risk Analysis," Regional Research Projects > 1986: S-180 Annual Meeting, March 23-26, 1986, Tampa, Florida 271825, Regional Research Projects > S-180: An Economic Analysis of Risk Management Strategies for Agricultural Production Firms.
    11. Connor, Jeffery D. & Perry, Gregory M. & Adams, Richard, 1992. "The Influence Of Stochastic Weather, Pollution Predictions And Prices On The Cost Of Nitrate Leaching Reduction," 1992 Annual Meeting, August 9-12, Baltimore, Maryland 271382, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    12. Osaki, Mauro & Batalha, Mário Otavio, 2014. "Optimization model of agricultural production system in grain farms under risk, in Sorriso, Brazil," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 178-188.
    13. Brewin, D. & Sakulanda, H., 2018. "Optimal Rotations with Considerations for Corn in Southern Manitoba," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277282, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    14. Sanna Lötjönen & Markku Ollikainen, 2017. "Does crop rotation with legumes provide an efficient means to reduce nutrient loads and GHG emissions?," Review of Agricultural, Food and Environmental Studies, Springer, vol. 98(4), pages 283-312, December.
    15. MacEwan, Duncan & Howitt, Richard E., 2011. "An Empirical Model of Crop Rotations," 2011 Conference (55th), February 8-11, 2011, Melbourne, Australia 100581, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    16. Alysson Costa & Lana Santos & Douglas Alem & Ricardo Santos, 2014. "Sustainable vegetable crop supply problem with perishable stocks," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 219(1), pages 265-283, August.
    17. Carpentier, Alain & Gohin, Alexandre, 2015. "On the economic theory of crop rotations: value of the crop rotation effects and implications on acreage choice modeling," Working Papers 205299, Institut National de la recherche Agronomique (INRA), Departement Sciences Sociales, Agriculture et Alimentation, Espace et Environnement (SAE2).
    18. Dillon, Carl R. & Mjelde, James W. & McCarl, Bruce A., 1989. "Biophysical Simulation In Support Of Crop Production Decisions: A Case Study In The Blacklands Region Of Texas," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 21(1), pages 1-14, July.
    19. Giardini, Giovanni, 1992. "The reform of the agricultural policy in the European Economic Community: an Italian farm simulation study," ISU General Staff Papers 1992010108000017587, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    20. Ahumada, Omar & Villalobos, J. Rene, 2009. "Application of planning models in the agri-food supply chain: A review," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 196(1), pages 1-20, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:ugeofs:103949. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/daugaus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.