The Accuracy of USDA's Export Forecasts
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Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.278679
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Other versions of this item:
- MacDonald, Stephen, 1992. "The Accuracy of USDA's Export Forecasts," MPRA Paper 71543, University Library of Munich, Germany.
References listed on IDEAS
- Lovell, Michael C, 1986. "Tests of the Rational Expectations Hypothesis," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(1), pages 110-124, March.
- Gardner, George R. & Skully, Davide W., 1986. "The Conduct Of Wheat Marketing In North Africa," Staff Reports 277903, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
- Kost, William E., 1980. "Model Validation And The Net Trade Model," Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, vol. 32(2), pages 1-16, April.
- J. Kimball Dietrich & Alfredo D. Gutierrez, 1973. "An Evaluation of Short-Term Forecasts of Coffee and Cocoa," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 55(1), pages 93-99.
- James M. Thomson, 1974. "Analysis of the Accuracy of USDA Hog Farrowings Statistics," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 56(5), pages 1213-1217.
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Cited by:
- MacDonald, Stephen & Ash, Mark & Cooke, Bryce, 2017. "The Evolution of Inefficiency in USDA’s Forecasts of U.S. and World Soybean Markets," MPRA Paper 87545, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- MacDonald, Stephen & Ash, Mark, 2016. "Detecting the Sources of Information Rigidity: Analyzing Forecast Bias and Smoothing in USDA’s Soybean Forecasts," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235349, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
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More about this item
Keywords
Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade;JEL classification:
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
- Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade
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