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Integrating the Agricultural Sector into the New EU Climate Policy Framework for 2030: A Scenario Analysis to Highlight Potential Impacts and Challenges

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  • Witzke, Heinz-Peter
  • Fellmann, Thomas
  • Van Doorslaer, Benjamin
  • Huck, Ingo
  • Weiss, Franz
  • Salputra, Guna
  • Jansson, Torbjorn
  • Drabik, Dusan
  • Leip, Adrian

Abstract

According to the European Council's recent agreement on domestic climate and energy goals, greenhouse gas emissions from sectors outside the EU’s Emission Trading Scheme have to be cut by 30% below 2005 levels by 2030. So far no decision has been taken on agriculture's specific involvement in mitigation obligations or on how mitigation targets would be distributed between Member States. Based on hypothetical assumptions, we employ the CAPRI model to illustrate and highlight some potential impacts and challenges related to an integration of the agricultural sector into the new EU climate policy framework. Results of the hypothetical mitigation policy scenario show important impacts on EU agriculture, in particular the livestock sector, if the distribution key of the current Effort Sharing Decision would be rigidly applied as in our assumptions. The results highlight the importance of a targeted but flexible implementation of mitigation policy instruments in the EU and its Member States, as well as the need for a wider consideration and adoption of technological mitigation options.

Suggested Citation

  • Witzke, Heinz-Peter & Fellmann, Thomas & Van Doorslaer, Benjamin & Huck, Ingo & Weiss, Franz & Salputra, Guna & Jansson, Torbjorn & Drabik, Dusan & Leip, Adrian, 2015. "Integrating the Agricultural Sector into the New EU Climate Policy Framework for 2030: A Scenario Analysis to Highlight Potential Impacts and Challenges," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211897, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:iaae15:211897
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.211897
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Benjamin Van Doorslaer & Peter Witzke & Ingo Huck & Franz Weiss & Thomas Fellmann & Guna Salputra & Torbjörn Jansson & Dusan Drabik & Adrian Leip, 2015. "An economic assessment of GHG mitigation policy options for EU agriculture," JRC Research Reports JRC93434, Joint Research Centre.
    2. Witzke, Peter & Van Doorslaer, Benjamin & Huck, Ingo & Salputra, Guna & Fellmann, Thomas & Drabik, Dusan & Weiss, Franz & Leip, Adrian, 2014. "Assessing the importance of technological non-CO2 GHG emission mitigation options in EU agriculture with the CAPRI model," 2014 International Congress, August 26-29, 2014, Ljubljana, Slovenia 182676, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    3. Ignacio Pérez Domínguez & Thomas Fellmann, 2015. "The Need for Comprehensive Climate Change Mitigation Policies in European Agriculture," EuroChoices, The Agricultural Economics Society, vol. 14(1), pages 11-16, April.
    4. Havlík, Petr & Schneider, Uwe A. & Schmid, Erwin & Böttcher, Hannes & Fritz, Steffen & Skalský, Rastislav & Aoki, Kentaro & Cara, Stéphane De & Kindermann, Georg & Kraxner, Florian & Leduc, Sylvain & , 2011. "Global land-use implications of first and second generation biofuel targets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(10), pages 5690-5702, October.
    5. Thomas Fellmann & Ignacio Perez Dominguez & Heinz Peter Witzke & Torbjorn Jansson & Diti Oudendag & Alexander Gocht & David Verhoog, 2012. "Agricultural GHG emissions in the EU: an exploratory economic assessment of mitigation policy options," JRC Research Reports JRC69817, Joint Research Centre.
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