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Adoption and Diffusion of Biotechnology: rbST in California

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  • Butler, Leslie J.
  • Henriques, Irene

Abstract

The problem of projecting future use patterns of agricultural biotechnology products in order to evaluate their potential for development and commercialization is a challenging proposition for economists. While many have attempted ex ante methods of projecting adoption and diffusion rates, very few have tested their ex ante results after the fact. In this paper, we use the results of a continuous survey of California dairy producers ex post to test the predictions of an ex ante study of adoption of recombinant bovine Somatotropin (rbST) carried out using data 4-7 years prior to the availability of the new technology.

Suggested Citation

  • Butler, Leslie J. & Henriques, Irene, 2001. "Adoption and Diffusion of Biotechnology: rbST in California," 2001 Conference (45th), January 23-25, 2001, Adelaide, Australia 125548, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aare01:125548
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.125548
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Zdenko Stefanides & Loren W. Tauer, 1999. "The Empirical Impact of Bovine Somatotropin on a Group of New York Dairy Farms," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 81(1), pages 95-102.
    2. Butler, L. J. & Carter, H. O., 1988. "Potential Economic Impacts of Bovine Somatotropin on the U.S. Dairy Industry--A West Coast Perspective," Agricultural Issues Center (AIC) Working Papers 228802, University of California, Davis, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    3. Bradford L. Barham, 1996. "Adoption of a Politicized Technology: bST and Wisconsin Dairy Farmers," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 78(4), pages 1056-1063.
    4. Bruce W. Marion & Robert L. Wills, 1990. "A Prospective Assessment of the Impacts of Bovine Somatotropin: A Case Study of Wisconsin," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 72(2), pages 326-336.
    5. Lyson, Thomas A. & Tauer, Loren W. & Welsh, Rick, 1995. "Factors Related to the Adoption of rBST Among a Population of Farmers in Ontario County, New York," Staff Papers 121200, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    6. Aldrich, Lorna M. & Blisard, Noel, 1998. "Consumer Acceptance of Biotechnology: Lessons From the rbST Experience," Agricultural Information Bulletins 33663, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    7. W. Lesser & John Bernard & Kaafee Billah, 1999. "Methodologies for ex ante projections of adoption rates for agbiotech products: Lessons learned from rBST," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(2), pages 149-162.
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