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Policies To Reduce Forest Fragmentation: Combining Econometric Models With Gis-Based Landscape Simulations

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  • Lewis, David J.
  • Plantinga, Andrew J.

Abstract

Forest fragmentation is a primary threat to terrestrial biodiversity. We combine a parcel-level econometric model of land-use transitions with spatially-explicit landscape simulations to predict the empirical distribution of fragmentation outcomes under given market conditions and policy scenarios. Our model explains transitions between forest, agricultural, and urban uses, allowing us to model land use change in both rural and urban areas. A Monte Carlo simulation approach links econometrically-derived transition probabilities to GIS maps for the prediction of the spatial properties of habitat change.

Suggested Citation

  • Lewis, David J. & Plantinga, Andrew J., 2004. "Policies To Reduce Forest Fragmentation: Combining Econometric Models With Gis-Based Landscape Simulations," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 19910, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea04:19910
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.19910
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    References listed on IDEAS

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