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This paper presents a macroeconometric model of Rwanda. The model is constructed to analyze the macroeconomic effects of various policy interventions. It captures the supply constrained nature of the economy as well as its dependence on the external sector. The individual equations of the model are estimated in ARDL framework and a battery of tests are used to test the forecasting ability of the model. The model tracks the historical data very well with the desirable properties of low bias and variance proportions of the Theil’s Inequality coefficient. Two sets of simulation results are presented to show the model’s use for policy analysis. The results of the simulations are consistent with a priori theoretical expectations

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  • Daniel Zerfu Gurara, 2013. "This paper presents a macroeconometric model of Rwanda. The model is constructed to analyze the macroeconomic effects of various policy interventions. It captures the supply constrained nature of the ," Working Paper Series 476, African Development Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:adb:adbwps:476
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    1. Charles Engel & Kenneth D. West, 2005. "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 113(3), pages 485-517, June.
    2. Nadeem U. Haque & Kajal Lahiri & Peter J. Montiel, 1990. "A Macroeconometric Model for Developing Countries," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 37(3), pages 537-559, September.
    3. Adam, Christopher, 1992. "On the Dynamic Specification of Money Demand in Kenya," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 1(2), pages 233-270, August.
    4. Olivier Jean Blanchard & Stanley Fischer, 1989. "Lectures on Macroeconomics," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262022834, April.
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    1. M. Govinda Rao & Sudhanshu Kumar, 2018. "Envisioning tax policy for accelerated development in India," Asia-Pacific Sustainable Development Journal, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP), vol. 25(1), pages 85-107, June.
    2. Berggren, Niclas & Nilsson, Therese, 2015. "Globalization and the transmission of social values: The case of tolerance," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 371-389.
    3. Ananya Goswami & Sraboni Dutta, 2016. "E-Commerce Adoption by Women Entrepreneurs in India: An Application of the UTAUT Model," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 6(2), pages 440-454, December.
    4. Michael Hachula & Malte Rieth, 2015. "Finanzspekulation und Rohstoffpreise," DIW Roundup: Politik im Fokus 63, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    5. Bonfiglio, Andrea & Camaioni, Beatrice & Esposti, Roberto & Pagliacci, Francesco & Sotte, Franco, 2015. "Distributional and Re-distributional Patterns of CAP Expenditure through the EU Space," 2015 Fourth Congress, June 11-12, 2015, Ancona, Italy 207273, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA).
    6. Bonfiglio, A. & Camaioni, B. & Coderoni, Silvia & Esposti, Roberto & Pagliacci, F. & Sotte, F., 2015. "Distribution and re-distribution of CAP expenditure throughout the EU," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211364, International Association of Agricultural Economists.

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