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FIEGARCH-M and and International Crises: A Cross-Country Analysis

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  • Jie Zhu

    (School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus, Denmark and CREATES)

Abstract

We apply the fractionally integrated exponential GARCH with volatility-in-mean (FIEGARCH-M) model of Christensen, Nielsen & Zhu (2007) to estimate the risk premium after different crises occurred in major stock markets during the past two decades. The model allows keeping the long memory property in volatility and a filtered volatility-in-mean component is used as a proxy for the risk factor. The estimation results show that the 1987 stock market crash and September 11, 2001 attack have persistent effects on stock markets. A significant risk factor is found for both crises in most crisis-hit markets, and it is nonmonotic for different markets. Either volatility feedback or risk premium is a possible explanation for the risk factor. On the contrary, Asian financial crisis and other market-specific crises have no persistent impact on most markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Jie Zhu, 2008. "FIEGARCH-M and and International Crises: A Cross-Country Analysis," CREATES Research Papers 2008-16, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    • Handle: RePEc:aah:create:2008-16
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    FIEGARCH-M; international stock market crisis; 1987 stock market crash; dotcom bubble; Asian crisis; 9/11 attack; country-specific crisis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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