Report NEP-MAC-2021-03-08

This is the archive for NEP-MAC, a report on new working papers in the area of Macroeconomics. Soumitra K Mallick issued this report. It is usually issued weekly.

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Other reports in NEP-MAC

The following items were announced in this report:

• Nurdaulet Abilov, 2020. "The role of banking and credit in business cycle fluctuations in Kazakhstan," NAC Analytica Working Paper 8, NAC Analytica, Nazarbayev University, revised Jan 2021.
• Philippe Andrade & Jordi Galí & Hervé Le Bihan & Julien Matheron, 2021. "Should the ECB Adjust its Strategy in the Face of a Lower r*?," Working Papers 1236, Barcelona School of Economics.
• Tanweer Akram & Syed Al-Helal Uddin, 2021. "The Empirics of Long-Term Mexican Government Bond Yields," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_984, Levy Economics Institute.
• Böhl, Gregor & Lieberknecht, Philipp, 2021. "The hockey stick Phillips curve and the zero lower bound," IMFS Working Paper Series 153, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
• Philip Turner, 2021. "The New Monetary Policy Revolution: Advice and Dissent," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Occasional Papers 60, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
• Pablo Hernández de Cos, 2020. "The Spanish economy and the COVID-19 crisis. Appearance before the Parliamentary Economic Affairs and Digital Transformation Committee – 18 May 2020," Occasional Papers 2023, Banco de España.
• Indrajit Mitra & Yu Xu, 2020. "Limited Household Risk Sharing: General Equilibrium Implications for the Term Structure of Interest Rates," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2020-20, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
• Congressional Budget Office, 2021. "An Overview of the Economic Outlook: 2021 to 2031," Reports 56965, Congressional Budget Office.
• Böhl, Gregor & Goy, Gavin & Strobel, Felix, 2021. "A structural investigation of quantitative easing," Discussion Papers 01/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
• Alberto Locarno & Alessandra Locarno, 2021. "Is inflation targeting a strategy past its sell-by date?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1316, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
• Pablo Hernández de Cos, 2020. "The main post-pandemic challenges for the Spanish economy. Appearance before the Parliamentary Committee for the Economic and Social Reconstruction of Spain after COVID-19. Congress of Deputies – 23 J," Occasional Papers 2024, Banco de España.
• Yeva Nersisyan & L. Randall Wray, 2021. "Has Japan Been Following Modern Money Theory Without Recognizing It? No! And Yes," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_985, Levy Economics Institute.
• Milivojevic, Lazar & Tatar, Balint, 2021. "Fixed exchange rate - a friend or foe of labor cost adjustments?," IMFS Working Paper Series 152, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
• Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2021. "Fiscal Policy and Households’ Inflation Expectations: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," NBER Working Papers 28485, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Congressional Budget Office, 2021. "The 2021 Long-Term Budget Outlook," Reports 56977, Congressional Budget Office.
• Alisher Tolepbergen, 2020. "The role of labor market structure and shocks for monetary policy in Kazakhstan," NAC Analytica Working Paper 10, NAC Analytica, Nazarbayev University, revised Jan 2021.
• Hinterschweiger, Marc & Khairnar, Kunal & Ozden, Tolga & Stratton, Tom, 2021. "Macroprudential policy interactions in a sectoral DSGE model with staggered interest rates," Bank of England working papers 904, Bank of England.
• Pablo Aguilar & Óscar Arce & Samuel Hurtado & Jaime Martínez-Martín & Galo Nuño & Carlos Thomas, 2020. "The ECB monetary policy response to the Covid-19 crisis," Occasional Papers 2026, Banco de España.
• Congressional Budget Office, 2021. "The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2021 to 2031," Reports 56970, Congressional Budget Office.
• Christoph Lauper & Giacomo Mangiante, 2021. "Monetary policy shocks and inflation inequality," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'économie 21.02, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, Département d’économie.
• David Chaum & Christian Grothoff & Thomas Moser, 2021. "How to issue a central bank digital currency," Working Papers 2021-03, Swiss National Bank.
• Danilo Leiva-Leon & Luis Uzeda, 2021. "Endogenous time variation in vector autoregressions," Working Papers 2108, Banco de España.
• Hülsewig, Oliver & Rottmann, Horst, 2021. "Euro area house price fluctuations and unconventional monetary policy surprises," Weidener Diskussionspapiere 80, University of Applied Sciences Amberg-Weiden (OTH).
• Kevin J. Lansing, 2021. "Replicating Business Cycles and Asset Returns with Sentiment and Low Risk Aversion," Working Paper Series 2021-02, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
• Chudik, A. & Mohaddes, K. & Raissi, M., 2021. "Covid-19 Fiscal Support and its Effectiveness," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2116, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
• Enrique Esteban García-Escudero & Elisa J. Sánchez Pérez, 2020. "Central bank currency swap lines," Occasional Papers 2025, Banco de España.
• Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yu Yang & Francesco Zanetti, 2021. "The "Matthew Effect" and Market Concentration: Search Complementarities and Monopsony Power," CESifo Working Paper Series 8897, CESifo.
• Kempkes, Gerhard & Stähler, Nikolai, 2021. "Re-allocating taxing rights and minimum tax rates in international profit taxation," Discussion Papers 03/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
• Juan Ayuso Huertas & Carlos Antonio Conesa Lareo, 2020. "An introduction to the current debate on central bank digital currency (CBDC)," Occasional Papers 2005, Banco de España.
• Ayushi Bajaj & Nikhil Damodaran, 2020. "Consumer Payment Choice and the Heterogeneous Impact of India’s Demonetization," Monash Economics Working Papers 07-20, Monash University, Department of Economics.
• Sangyup Choi & Junhyeok Shin, 2021. "Bitcoin: An Inflation Hedge but Not a Safe Haven," Working papers 2021rwp-185, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
• William A. Barnett & Taniya Ghosh & Masudul Hasan Adil, 2021. "Is money demand really unstable? Evidence from divisia monetary aggregates," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2021-005, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
• Jean-Sébastien Fontaine & Corey Garriott & Jesse Johal & Jessica Lee & Andreas Uthemann, 2021. "COVID-19 Crisis: Lessons Learned for Future Policy Research," Discussion Papers 2021-2, Bank of Canada.
• Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Abhiroop Mukherjee & George Panayotov & Janghoon Shon, 2019. "Eye in the sky: private satellites and government macro data," HKUST IEMS Working Paper Series 2019-68, HKUST Institute for Emerging Market Studies, revised Oct 2019.
• Óscar Arce & Iván Kataryniuk & Paloma Marín & Javier J. Pérez, 2020. "Thoughts on the design of a European Recovery Fund," Occasional Papers 2014, Banco de España.
• Glas, Alexander & Müller, Lena, 2021. "Talking in a language that everyone can understand? Transparency of speeches by the ECB Executive Board," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 01/2021, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
• Vania Stavrakeva & Jenny Tang, 2020. "A Fundamental Connection: Exchange Rates and Macroeconomic Expectations," Working Papers 20-20, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
• Christian Abele & Agnes Benassy-Quere & Lionel Fontagné & Lionel Gérard Fontagné, 2021. "One Size Does Not Fit All: TFP in the Aftermath of Financial Crises in Three European Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 8891, CESifo.
• Chen, Shi & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Wang, Weining, 2020. "The common and speci fic components of inflation expectation across European countries," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2020-023, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
• Annika Camehl & Malte Rieth, 2021. "Disentangling Covid-19, Economic Mobility, and Containment Policy Shocks," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-018/VI, Tinbergen Institute.
• Katuala, Hénock M., 2021. "Frictions financières et Dynamique macroéconomique : Examen des régularités cycliques," Dynare Working Papers 66, CEPREMAP.
• Schnabl, Gunther & Murai, Taiki, 2020. "The Japanese banks in the lasting low-, zero- and negative-interest rate environment," Working Papers 169, University of Leipzig, Faculty of Economics and Management Science.
• Aase, Knut K. & Bjerksund, Petter, 2021. "The optimal spending rate versus the expected real return of a sovereign wealth fund," Discussion Papers 2021/1, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
• Alisher Tolepbergen, 2020. "How persistent is inflation in Kazakhstan? A fractionally integrated approach," NAC Analytica Working Paper 9, NAC Analytica, Nazarbayev University, revised Feb 2021.
• Atkinson, Giles & Hamilton, Kirk, 2020. "Sustaining wealth: simulating a sovereign wealth fund for the UK’s oil and gas resources, past and future," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 103564, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
• James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2021. "UK Inflation Forecasts since the Thirteenth Century," Working Paper 1454, Economics Department, Queen's University.
• Martín Almuzara & Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana, 2021. "Aggregate Output Measurements: A Common Trend Approach," Working Papers wp2021_2101, CEMFI.
• Gregor Jarosch, 2021. "Searching for Job Security and the Consequences of Job Loss," NBER Working Papers 28481, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Fabio Cerina & Alessio Moro & Michelle Rendall, 2020. "The Role of Gender in Employment Polarization," Monash Economics Working Papers 09-20, Monash University, Department of Economics.
• Taniya Ghosh & Prashant Mehul Parab, 2021. "Assessing India's productivity trends and endogenous growth: New evidence from technology, human capital and foreign direct investment," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2021-004, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
• Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo, 2021. "Global Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 8885, CESifo.
• Bodenstein, M. & Corsetti, G. & Guerrieri, L., 2021. "Economic and Epidemiological Effects of Mandated and Spontaneous Social Distancing," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2117, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
• Kukacka, Jiri & Sacht, Stephen, 2021. "Estimation of Heuristic Switching in Behavioral Macroeconomic Models," Economics Working Papers 2021-01, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
• Alexis Marchal, 2021. "Risk & Returns around Fomc Press Conferences: A Novel Perspective from Computer Vision," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 21-18, Swiss Finance Institute.
• Calista Cheung & Jerome Lyons & Bethany Madsen & Sarah Miller & Saarah Sheikh, 2020. "The Bank of Canada COVID‑19 stringency index: measuring policy response across provinces," Staff Analytical Notes 2021-1, Bank of Canada.
• Britta Gehrke & Jacob Wong, 2021. "Relationships that Last: Job Creation vs Job Duration," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2021-01, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
• Christian Conrad & Zeno Enders & Alexander Glas, 2021. "The role of information and experience for households' inflation expectations," Working Paper series 21-04, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
• Schmidt, Kirsten & Noth, Felix & Tonzer, Lena, 2021. "A note of caution on quantifying banks' recapitalization effects," Discussion Papers 02/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
• Roberto Blanco & Sergio Mayordomo & Álvaro Menéndez & Maristela Mulino, 2020. "Spanish non-financial corporations’ liquidity needs and solvency after the covid-19 shock," Occasional Papers 2020, Banco de España.
• Anjan K. Saha & Vinod Mishra & Russell Smyth, 2019. "Financial Development and Top Income Shares in OECD Countries," Monash Economics Working Papers 03-19, Monash University, Department of Economics.
• R. Nagaraj & Amey Sapre & Rajeswari Sengupta, 2021. "Four years after the base-year revision: Taking stock of the debate surrounding India's national accounts estimates," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2021-006, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
• Fabio Cerina & Alessio Moro & Michelle Rendall, 2020. "A Note on Employment and Wage Polarization in the U.S," Monash Economics Working Papers 10-20, Monash University, Department of Economics.
• Jacopo Bonchi & Giacomo Caracciolo, 2021. "Declining natural interest rate in the US: the pension system matters," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1317, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
• Jakob B. Madsen & Antonio Minniti & Francesco Venturini, 2021. "The long-run investment effect of taxation in OECD countries," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 527, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
• Christoph Peatz, 2020. "Fiscal Rules in Good Times and Bad," IMK Working Paper 206-2020, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
• Pablo Garcia, 2021. "Learning, expectations and monetary policy," BCL working papers 153, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
• Juan Gonzalo Zapata & Bárbara Silva & Manuel Molina, 2020. "Asesoría sobre el monopolio rentístico de licores en el departamento del Chocó. Informe final," Informes de Investigación 18897, Fedesarrollo.
• Horan, David & Lydon, Reamonn & McIndoe-Calder, Tara, 2020. "Household wealth: what is it, who has it, and why it matters," Research Technical Papers 07/RT/20, Central Bank of Ireland.
• Ranjan Ray & Parvin Singh, 2019. "Income Inequality in an Era of Globalisation: The Perils of Taking a Global View," Monash Economics Working Papers 08-19, Monash University, Department of Economics.
• António Afonso & Florence Huart & João Tovar Jalles & Piotr Stanek, 2021. "International Transmission of Interest Rates: The Role of International Reserves and Sovereign Debt," EconPol Working Paper 54, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
• Gründler, Klaus & Krieger, Tommy, 2021. "Using machine learning for measuring democracy: An update," ZEW Discussion Papers 21-012, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
• Gabriel Smagghue, 2021. "Heterogeneous Policy Distortions and the Labor Share," Working papers 803, Banque de France.
• Aydın, Deniz, 2021. "Consumption Response to Credit Expansions: Evidence from Experimental Assignment of 45,307 Credit Lines," EconStor Preprints 231308, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
• Gaetano Gaballo & Guillermo Ordoñez, 2021. "The Two Faces of Information," NBER Working Papers 28489, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Harrison, Richard & Waldron, Matt, 2021. "Optimal policy with occasionally binding constraints: piecewise linear solution methods," Bank of England working papers 911, Bank of England.
• Eduardo Bandrés & María-Dolores Gadea & Ana Gómez-Loscos, 2021. "Datado y sincronía del ciclo regional en España," Occasional Papers 2107, Banco de España.
• Eduardo Bandrés & María-Dolores Gadea & Ana Gómez-Loscos, 2021. "Dating and synchronisation of regional business cycles in Spain," Occasional Papers 2107, Banco de España.
• Hashimoto, Ken-ichi & Ono, Yoshiyasu & Schlegl, Matthias, 2020. "Structural unemployment, underemployment, and secular stagnation," ISER Discussion Paper 1088r, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University, revised Mar 2021.
• Toshiki Miyashita & Kohei Okada & Kei Takakura, 2021. "Child Labor, Corruption, and Development," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business 20-20, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics.
• Pauls, Thomas, 2021. "The impact of temporal framing on the marginal propensity to consume," SAFE Working Paper Series 308, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
• Roberto Ganau & Andres Rodriguez-Pose, 2021. "Does urban concentration matter for changes in country economic performance?," Papers in Evolutionary Economic Geography (PEEG) 2106, Utrecht University, Department of Human Geography and Spatial Planning, Group Economic Geography, revised Feb 2021.
• Georgiadis, Georgios & Hildebrand, Sebastian & Ricci, Martino & Schumann, Ben & van Roye, Björn, 2021. "ECB-Global 2.0: a global macroeconomic model with dominant-currency pricing, tariffs and trade diversion," Working Paper Series 2530, European Central Bank.
• Forsythe, Eliza & Weinstein, Russell, 2021. "Recruiting Intensity, Hires, and Vacancies: Evidence from Firm-Level Data," IZA Discussion Papers 14138, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
• Kim, Minseong, 2021. "On global determinacy of New Keynesian models," OSF Preprints ygd9x, Center for Open Science.
• Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2021. "Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession?," CIRANO Working Papers 2021s-09, CIRANO.
• Long Hai Vo, 2021. "Understanding International Price and Consumption Disparities," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 21-01, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
• Samira Hellou, 2021. "Les effets de l’interaction entre les marchés financiers et la réglementation bancaire sur la structure des flux bancaires internationaux vers les pays émergents," EconomiX Working Papers 2021-5, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
• Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Maria Malmierca, 2021. "Persistence in the Private Debt-to-GDP Ratio: Evidence from 43 OECD Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 8889, CESifo.
• Vincent Bodart & Jean-François Carpantier, 2020. "Currency Crises In Emerging Countries: The Commodity Factor," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2021003, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
• Zaghini, Andrea, 2021. "The Covid pandemic in the market: Infected, immune and cured bonds," CFS Working Paper Series 653, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
• Ma, Debin, 2019. "Financial revolution in republican China during 1900–37: a survey and a new interpretation," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 100280, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
• Chirwa, Themba G & Odhiambo, Nicholas M, 2021. "Binding constraints to productive investment in Malawi: A modified HRV framework," Working Papers 27072, University of South Africa, Department of Economics.
• Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hauber, Philipp & Kooths, Stefan & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2020. "World Economy Winter 2020 - Global economic recovery progresses overall," Kiel Institute Economic Outlook 73, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
• María Angélica Arbeláez & Martha Elena Delgado & Sandra Díaz & Santiago Gómez & Candelaria Peñate, 2020. "Respuesta del sector bancario a la crisis del Covid-1," Informes de Investigación 18895, Fedesarrollo.
• Robert Dur & Dimitry Fleming & Marten van Garderen & Max van Lent, 2021. "A Social Norm Nudge to Save More: A Field Experiment at a Retail Bank," CESifo Working Paper Series 8894, CESifo.
• Joonkyu Choi & Veronika Penciakova & Felipe Saffie, 2021. "Political Connections, Allocation of Stimulus Spending, and the Jobs Multiplier," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-005r1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), revised Jul 2021.
• Granziera, Eleonora & Sihvonen, Markus, 2020. "Bonds, currencies and expectational errors," Working Paper 2020/3, Norges Bank.
• Perico Ortiz, Daniel, 2021. "The high frequency impact of economic policy narratives on stock market uncertainty," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 02/2021, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
• António Afonso & José Alves & João Tovar Jalles, 2021. "(Non-)Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Austerity: New Evidence from a Large Sample," EconPol Working Paper 55, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
• Kellermann, Kim Leonie, 2021. "Trust we lost: The Treuhand experience and political behavior in the former German Democratic Republic," CIW Discussion Papers 3/2021, University of Münster, Center for Interdisciplinary Economics (CIW).
• Francesco Pappadà & Yanos Zylberberg, 2021. "Sovereign default and imperfect tax enforcement," Working Papers halshs-03142208, HAL.
• Andres Rodriguez-Pose & Roberto Ganau, 2021. "Institutions and the Productivity Challenge for European Regions," Papers in Evolutionary Economic Geography (PEEG) 2107, Utrecht University, Department of Human Geography and Spatial Planning, Group Economic Geography, revised Feb 2021.
• Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Meuchelböck, Saskia, 2020. "German Economy Winter 2020 - Second Covid wave interrupts recovery," Kiel Institute Economic Outlook 74, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
• Andrew Atkeson & Karen A. Kopecky & Tao Zha, 2021. "Behavior and the Transmission of COVID-19," Staff Report 618, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
• Andrew Atkeson, 2021. "A Parsimonious Behavioral SEIR Model of the 2020 COVID Epidemic in the United States and the United Kingdom," Staff Report 619, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
• Harold L. Cole & Dirk Krueger & George J. Mailath & Yena Park, 2021. "Social Capital: A Double-Edged Sword," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 064, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
• Heng Chen & Walter Engert & Kim Huynh & Gradon Nicholls & Julia Zhu, 2021. "Cash and COVID-19: The Effects of Lifting Containment Measures on Cash Demand and Use," Discussion Papers 2021-3, Bank of Canada.
• Matilde Isabela Angarita Serrano, 2021. "Entre becas y aulas: ¿Cómo cerramos la brecha?," Documentos CEDE 18901, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.