Report NEP-FOR-2015-08-30

This is the archive for NEP-FOR, a report on new working papers in the area of Forecasting. Rob J Hyndman issued this report. It is usually issued weekly.

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Other reports in NEP-FOR

The following items were announced in this report:

• Franz Ruch & Mehmet Balcilar Author-Name-First Mehmet & Mampho P. Modise & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Forecasting Core Inflation: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 15-08, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
• Jean-Thomas Bernard & Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian & Clement Yelou, 2015. "Oil Price Forecasts for the Long-Term: Expert Outlooks, Models, or Both?," Cahiers de recherche CREATE 2015-3, CREATE.
• Andrew C. Chang & Tyler J. Hanson, 2015. "The Accuracy of Forecasts Prepared for the Federal Open Market Committee," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-62, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
• Paul Hubert, 2015. "Revisiting the greenbook's relative forecasting performance," Post-Print hal-01087522, HAL.
• Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2014. "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Forecasting US Inflation Using a VARFIMA Model," Working Papers 15-12, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
• Schulz, Rainer & Wersing, Martin, 2015. "Forecasting the oil price using house prices," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2015-041, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
• Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden & Kirsten Thompson, 2015. "Comparing the Forecasting Ability of Financial Conditions Indices: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 15-06, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
• Pejman Bahramian & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Patrick T. kanda, 2014. "Forecasting South African Inflation Using Non-Linear Models: A Weighted Loss-Based Evaluation," Working Papers 15-19, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
• Georgiana-Denisa Banulescu & Bertrand Candelon & Christophe Hurlin & Sébastien Laurent, 2014. "Do We Need Ultra-High Frequency Data to Forecast Variances?," Working Papers halshs-01078158, HAL.
• Seabold,Skipper & Coppola,Andrea, 2015. "Nowcasting prices using Google trends : an application to Central America," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7398, The World Bank.
• Petar Sorić & Ivana Lolić & Mirjana Čižmešija, 2015. "European economic sentiment indicator: An empirical reappraisal," EFZG Working Papers Series 1505, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb.
• Aepli, Matthias D. & Frauendorfer, Karl & Fuess, Roland & Paraschiv, Florentina, 2015. "Multivariate Dynamic Copula Models: Parameter Estimation and Forecast Evaluation," Working Papers on Finance 1513, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
• Mitchell, Karlyn & Pearce, Douglas, 2015. "Direct Evidence on Sticky Information from the Revision Behavior of Professional Forecasters," MPRA Paper 66172, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Jean-Daniel Rinaudo, 2015. "Long-Term Water Demand Forecasting," Post-Print hal-01183853, HAL.
• Roswenzweig, Mark R. & Udry, Christopher, 2014. "Rainfall Forecasts, Weather and Wages over the Agricultural Production Cycle," Working Papers 128, Yale University, Department of Economics.
• Lu, Meng-Jou & Chen, Cathy Yi-Hsuan & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2015. "Copula-based factor model for credit risk analysis," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2015-042, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
• Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "International Stock Return Predictability: Is the Role of U.S. Time-Varying?," Working Papers 15-07, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
• Joel M. David & Ina Simonovska, 2015. "Correlated Beliefs, Returns, and Stock Market Volatility," NBER Working Papers 21480, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2015. "Comparing Indirect Inference and Likelihood testing: asymptotic and small sample results," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2015/8, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
• Aurelio F. Bariviera & M. T. Martin & A. Plastino & V. Vampa, 2015. "LIBOR troubles: anomalous movements detection based on Maximum Entropy," Papers 1508.04512, arXiv.org.
• Paul Hubert, 2014. "Disentangling qualitative and quantitative central bank influence," Working Papers hal-01098464, HAL.
• K Autchariyapanitkul & S Chanaim & S Sriboonchitta & T Denoeux, 2014. "Predicting Stock Returns in the Capital Asset Pricing Model Using Quantile Regression and Belief Functions," Post-Print hal-01127790, HAL.