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Exchange Rate Volatility and Misalignment: Evaluating some Proposals for Reform

In: Evolution of the International and Regional Monetary Systems

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  • Jacob A. Frenkel
  • Morris Goldstein

Abstract

The need for reform of the international monetary system has been a recurring theme in the writings of Robert Triffin.2 In this paper, we follow Professor Triffin’s lead and analyse several proposals for reducing the volatility and/or misalignment of key-currency exchange rates. The proposals examined are a system of target zones, the imposition of controls or taxes on international capital flows, and a strengthening of international co-ordination over economic policies. Our purpose is not to endorse one proposal and to dismiss others. For one thing, some of the proposals have common elements. For another, some features of each of the proposals are already present in the existing exchange rate system. Instead, we see evaluation of these proposals as a useful vehicle for identifying issues that merit attention in any serious examination of how the functioning of the international monetary system might be improved.

Suggested Citation

  • Jacob A. Frenkel & Morris Goldstein, 1991. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Misalignment: Evaluating some Proposals for Reform," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Alfred Steinherr & Daniel Weiserbs (ed.), Evolution of the International and Regional Monetary Systems, chapter 8, pages 99-131, Palgrave Macmillan.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:palchp:978-1-349-11061-2_8
    DOI: 10.1007/978-1-349-11061-2_8
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    Cited by:

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    2. Lahcen Achy & Khalid Sekkat, 2003. "The European Single Currency and MENA's Exports to Europe," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 7(4), pages 563-582, November.
    3. Dubas, Justin M., 2009. "The Importance of the Exchange Rate Regime in Limiting Misalignment," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 37(10), pages 1612-1622, October.
    4. Khalid Sekkat, 2001. "On the Aggregate Impact of Exchange Rate Variability on EU Trade," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 2(1), pages 57-78, February.
    5. Slimani, Slah & Ben allem, Khaoula, 2017. "Les déterminants du misalignement du taux de change réel : Analyse empirique pour le cas de la région MENA [Determinants of misalignment of the real exchange rate: An empirical analysis for the MEN," MPRA Paper 81247, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Martin J. Bailey & George S. Tavlas, 1991. "Exchange Rate Variability and Direct Investment," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 516(1), pages 106-116, July.
    7. Aggarwal, Raj & Schirm, David C., 1998. "Asymmetric impact of trade balance news on asset prices," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 83-100, January.
    8. Victor Shevchuk & Roman Kopych, 2021. "Exchange Rate Volatility, Currency Misalignment, and Risk of Recession in the Central and Eastern European Countries," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-19, May.
    9. Pippenger, John, 2002. "A Better Measure of Relative Volatility," University of California at Santa Barbara, Economics Working Paper Series qt3tp6j494, Department of Economics, UC Santa Barbara.
    10. repec:cii:cepiei:2015-q1-141-8 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Salvatore, Dominick, 1995. "The international monetary system: Are present arrangements optimal? Editor's introduction," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 443-448, October.
    12. Slimani, Slah & Ben Allem, Khawla, 2018. "Determinants of real exchange rate misalignment: An empirical analysis for MENA region," MPRA Paper 91605, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Ngongang, Elie, 2011. "Impact of Exchange Rate Policy on the Trade of Industrial Products in Sub-Saharan Africa from 1975 to 2007," Review of Applied Economics, Lincoln University, Department of Financial and Business Systems, vol. 7(1-2), pages 1-27, March.
    14. Grossmann, Axel & Orlov, Alexei G., 2022. "Exchange rate misalignments, capital flows and volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    15. Andreas Savvides, 1992. "Unanticipated exchange rate variability and the growth of international trade," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 128(3), pages 446-463, September.
    16. Pippenger, John, 2004. "The Modern Theory of the LOP and PPP: Some Implications," University of California at Santa Barbara, Economics Working Paper Series qt60z886n7, Department of Economics, UC Santa Barbara.
    17. Kontulainen, Jarmo & Lehmussaari, Olli-Pekka & Suvanto, Antti, 1990. "The Finnish experience on maintaining a currency band in the 1980s," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 26/1990, Bank of Finland.
    18. M. Manzur, 1990. "Key Issues in Exchange Rate Economics," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 90-07, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
    19. Kilic, Erdem, 2017. "Contagion effects of U.S. Dollar and Chinese Yuan in forward and spot foreign exchange markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 51-67.
    20. Salvatore, Dominick, 1995. "The operation and future of the international monetary system," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 513-530, October.

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