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Models of Adaptive Forecasting

In: Economic Forecasts and Expectations: Analysis of Forecasting Behavior and Performance

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  • Jacob A. Mincer

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  • Jacob A. Mincer, 1969. "Models of Adaptive Forecasting," NBER Chapters, in: Economic Forecasts and Expectations: Analysis of Forecasting Behavior and Performance, pages 83-111, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberch:1216
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Joseph W. Conard, 1966. "The Behavior of Interest Rates: A Progress Report," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number cona66-1, June.
    2. Milton Friedman, 1957. "Introduction to "A Theory of the Consumption Function"," NBER Chapters, in: A Theory of the Consumption Function, pages 1-6, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. M. Nerlove & S. Wage, 1964. "On the Optimality of Adaptive Forecasting," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 10(2), pages 207-224, January.
    4. Arnold C. Harberger, 1967. "Techniques of Project Appraisal," NBER Chapters, in: National Economic Planning, pages 131-152, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Milton Friedman, 1957. "A Theory of the Consumption Function," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number frie57-1, June.
    6. Gordon Pye, 1966. "A Markov Model of the Term Structure," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 80(1), pages 60-72.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jean-Michel Grandmont, 1998. "Expectations Formation and Stability of Large Socioeconomic Systems," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 66(4), pages 741-782, July.
    2. Shiller, Robert J., 1978. "Rational expectations and the dynamic structure of macroeconomic models : A critical review," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 1-44, January.
    3. Isiklar, Gultekin & Lahiri, Kajal, 2007. "How far ahead can we forecast? Evidence from cross-country surveys," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 167-187.
    4. William J. Frazer & Jr., 1973. "An Assessment of the Impact of the Computer," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 109(IV), pages 579-595, December.
    5. Victor Zarnowitz, 1982. "Expectations and Forecasts from Business Outlook Surveys," NBER Working Papers 0845, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Victor Zarnowitz, 1983. "Rational Expectations and Macroeconomic Forecasts," NBER Working Papers 1070, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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