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An Overview of the Factor-augmented Error-Correction Model

In: Dynamic Factor Models

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  • Anindya Banerjee
  • Massimiliano Marcellino
  • Igor Masten

Abstract

The Factor-augmented Error-Correction Model (FECM) generalizes the factor-augmented VAR (FAVAR) and the Error-Correction Model (ECM), combining error-correction, cointegration and dynamic factor models. It uses a larger set of variables compared to the ECM and incorporates the long-run information lacking from the FAVAR because of the latter’s specification in differences. In this paper, we review the specification and estimation of the FECM, and illustrate its use for forecasting and structural analysis by means of empirical applications based on Euro Area and US data.

Suggested Citation

  • Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2016. "An Overview of the Factor-augmented Error-Correction Model," Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 3-41, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    • Handle: RePEc:eme:aecozz:s0731-905320150000035001
    DOI: 10.1108/S0731-905320150000035001
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    Cited by:

    1. Di Iorio, Francesca & Fachin, Stefano, 2021. "Evaluating restricted common factor models for non-stationary data," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 64-75.
    2. Castle, Jennifer L. & Doornik, Jurgen A. & Hendry, David F., 2021. "Modelling non-stationary ‘Big Data’," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1556-1575.
    3. Stoupos, Nikolaos & Nikas, Christos & Kiohos, Apostolos, 2023. "Turkey: From a thriving economic past towards a rugged future? - An empirical analysis on the Turkish financial markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    4. Stock, J.H. & Watson, M.W., 2016. "Dynamic Factor Models, Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressions, and Structural Vector Autoregressions in Macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 415-525, Elsevier.
    5. Tobias Hartl, 2020. "Macroeconomic Forecasting with Fractional Factor Models," Papers 2005.04897, arXiv.org.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dynamic factor models; cointegration; structural analysis; factor-augmented error correction models; FAVAR; C32; E17;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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