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Macroeconomic effects of structural fiscal policy changes in Colombia

In: Fiscal policy, public debt and monetary policy in emerging market economies

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  • Hernando Vargas
  • Andrés Gonzalez
  • Ignacio Lozano

Abstract

In the past decade the Colombian Economic Authorities undertook a series of measures that reduced the structural fiscal deficit, decreased the Government currency mismatch and deepened the local fixed-rate public bond market. This paper presents some evidence suggesting that these improvements had important effects on the behavior of the macroeconomy. They seem to have permanently reduced the sovereign risk premium, increased the reaction of output to Government expenditure shocks and strengthened the response of market interest rates to monetary policy shocks.
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Suggested Citation

  • Hernando Vargas & Andrés Gonzalez & Ignacio Lozano, 2012. "Macroeconomic effects of structural fiscal policy changes in Colombia," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Fiscal policy, public debt and monetary policy in emerging market economies, volume 67, pages 119-160, Bank for International Settlements.
    • Handle: RePEc:bis:bisbpc:67-09
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Juan José Echavarría & Andrés González, 2012. "Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 30(69), pages 14-66, December.
    2. Sarmiento, Julio & Cayon, Edgardo & Collazos, María & Sandoval, Juan S., 2017. "Positive asymmetric information in volatile environments: The black market dollar and sovereign bond yields in Venezuela," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 547-555.
    3. Ignacio Lozano-Espitia & Fernando Arias-Rodríguez & Jesus Bejarano & Andres Gonzalez & Clark Granger-Castaño & Franz Hamann & Yurany Hernández-Turca & Juan Manuel Julio-Román & Martha López & Juan C. , 2019. "La política fiscal y la estabilización macroeconómica en Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, issue 90, pages 1-60, April.
    4. Romero, José Vicente & Vargas, Hernando & Cardozo, Pamela & Murcia, Andrés, 2021. "How foreign participation in the Colombian local public debt market has influenced domestic financial conditions," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 2(4).
    5. Jose Vicente Romero & Hernando Vargas-Herrera & Pamela Cardozo & Andrés Murcia, 2020. "Effects of foreign participation in the colombian local public debt market on domestic financial conditions," Borradores de Economia 1115, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    6. Martha López Pineros, 2020. "Fiscal Multipliers and Balance Sheet Effects in a Small Open Economy," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario, vol. 23(2), pages 1-42, December.
    7. Deicy Cristiano-Botia & Eliana Gonzalez-Molano & Carlos Huertas-Campos, 2019. "Evaluation of the transmission of the monetary policy interest rate to the market interest rates considering agents expectations," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Are post-crisis statistical initiatives completed?, volume 49, Bank for International Settlements.
    8. Miyajima, Ken & Mohanty, M.S. & Chan, Tracy, 2015. "Emerging market local currency bonds: Diversification and stability," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 126-139.
    9. Lozano-Espitia, Luis Ignacio & Melo-Becerra, Ligia Alba & Ramos-Forero, Jorge Enrique, 2013. "Flujos de capitales y política fiscal en las economías emergentes de América Latina," Chapters, in: Rincón-Castro, Hernán & Velasco, Andrés M. (ed.), Flujos de capitales, choques externos y respuestas de política en países emergentes, chapter 13, pages 533-563, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    10. Irving Fisher Committee, 2019. "Are post-crisis statistical initiatives completed?," IFC Bulletins, Bank for International Settlements, number 49.
    11. María Lorena Mari del Cristo & Marta Gómez-Puig, 2017. "Dollarization and the relationship between EMBI and fundamentals in Latin American Countries," Cuadernos de Economía - Spanish Journal of Economics and Finance, Asociación Cuadernos de Economía, vol. 40(112), pages 14-30, Enero.
    12. Hernán Rincón & Diego Rodríguez & Jorge Toro & Santiago Téllez, 2017. "FISCO: modelo fiscal para Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 35(83), pages 161-187, June.
    13. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Carcel, Hector & Gil-Alana, Luis, 2018. "The EMBI in Latin America: Fractional integration, non-linearities and breaks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 34-41.
    14. Galindo, Arturo J. & Steiner, Roberto, 2022. "Asymmetric interest rate transmission in an inflation-targeting framework: The case of Colombia," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 3(3).
    15. Laura Jaramillo & Miss Anke Weber, 2013. "Global Spillovers into Domestic Bond Markets in Emerging Market Economies," IMF Working Papers 2013/264, International Monetary Fund.
    16. Alejandro López-Vera & Andrés D. Pinchao-Rosero & Norberto Rodríguez-Niño, 2018. "Non-Linear Fiscal Multipliers for Public Expenditure and Tax Revenue in Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 36(85), pages 48-64, April.
    17. Martha López, 2016. "Fiscal Multipliers, Oil Revenues and Balance Sheet Effects," Borradores de Economia 976, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    18. Gonzales, Ivonne & Martner Fanta, Ricardo & Podestá, Andrea, 2013. "Políticas fiscales para el crecimiento y la igualdad," Macroeconomía del Desarrollo 5372, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    19. Deicy Cristiano-Botia & Eliana González-Molano & Carlos Huertas-Campos, 2017. "Evaluación de la transmisión de la tasa de interés de referencia a las tasas de interés del sistema financiero considerando las expectativas de los agentes," Borradores de Economia 988, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
    • H68 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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