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Robert Rich

Personal Details

First Name:Robert
Middle Name:W
Last Name:Rich
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pri146
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
https://www.clevelandfed.org/research/economists/rich-robert-w
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland P.O. Box 6387 Cleveland, Ohio 44101-1387
216 579-2928
Terminal Degree:1988 Economics Department; Brown University (from RePEc Genealogy)

Affiliation

Economic Research
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Cleveland, Ohio (United States)
https://www.clevelandfed.org/our-research/
RePEc:edi:efrbcus (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles Chapters

Working papers

  1. Michael Clements & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2024. "An Investigation into the Uncertainty Revision Process of Professional Forecasters," Working Papers 24-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  2. Wändi Bruine de Bruin & Keshav Dogra & Sebastian Heise & Edward S. Knotek & Brent Meyer & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw, 2023. "Estimates of Cost-Price Passthrough from Business Survey Data," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2023-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
  3. Wändi Bruine de Bruin & Keshav Dogra & Sebastian Heise & Edward S. Knotek & Brent Meyer & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw, 2023. "How Do Firms Adjust Prices in a High Inflation Environment?," Liberty Street Economics 20230602, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  4. Alexander Dietrich & Edward S. Knotek II & Kristian O. Myrseth & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle & Michael Weber, 2023. "Greater Than the Sum of Its Parts: Aggregate vs. Aggregated Inflation Expectations," NBER Working Papers 31822, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. Ina Hajdini & Edward S. Knotek & John Leer & Mathieu Pedemonte & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle, 2022. "Indirect Consumer Inflation Expectations: Theory and Evidence," Working Papers 22-35, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  6. Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2022. "Heterogeneity and the Effects of Aggregation on Wage Growth," Working Papers 22-22, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  7. Alexander Dietrich & Edward S. Knotek & Kristian Ove R. Myrseth & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle & Michael Weber, 2022. "Greater Than the Sum of the Parts: Aggregate vs. Aggregated Inflation Expectations," Working Papers 22-20, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  8. Michael Clements & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2022. "Surveys of Professionals," Working Papers 22-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  9. Hajdini, Ina & Knotek, Edward & Leer, John & Pedemonte, Mathieu & Rich, Robert & Schoenle, Raphael, 2022. "Low Passthrough from Inflation Expectations to Income Growth Expectations: Why People Dislike Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 17356, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  10. Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2021. "All Forecasters Are Not the Same: Time-Varying Predictive Ability across Forecast Environments," Working Papers 21-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  11. Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2018. "A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area," Working Papers (Old Series) 1813, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  12. Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2017. "The behavior of uncertainty and disagreement and their roles in economic prediction: a panel analysis," Staff Reports 808, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  13. Marlene Amstad & Simon Potter & Robert Rich, 2014. "The FRBNY Staff Underlying Inflation Gauge: UIG," BIS Working Papers 453, Bank for International Settlements.
  14. M. Henry Linder & Richard Peach & Robert W. Rich, 2013. "Drilling Down into Core Inflation: Goods versus Services," Liberty Street Economics 20130605, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  15. Joshua Abel & Jason Bram & Robert W. Rich, 2013. "Consumer Confidence: A Useful Indicator of . . . the Labor Market?," Liberty Street Economics 20130904, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  16. Robert W. Rich & Joseph Song & Joseph Tracy, 2012. "The measurement and behavior of uncertainty: evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters," Staff Reports 588, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  17. M. Henry Linder & Richard Peach & Robert W. Rich, 2012. "Compensation Growth and Slack in the Current Economic Environment," Liberty Street Economics 20121119, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  18. Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2011. "Early contract renegotiation: An analysis of U.S. labor contracts from 1970 to 1995," Staff Reports 521, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  19. Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2006. "The relationship between expected inflation, disagreement, and uncertainty: evidence from matched point and density forecasts," Staff Reports 253, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  20. Robert W. Rich & Charles Steindel, 2005. "A review of core inflation and an evaluation of its measures," Staff Reports 236, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  21. Jason Bram & Andrew F. Haughwout & James A. Orr & Robert W. Rich & Rae D. Rosen, 2004. "The linkage between regional economic indexes and tax bases: evidence from New York," Staff Reports 188, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  22. James A. Kahn & Robert W. Rich, 2003. "Tracking the new economy: using growth theory to detect changes in trend productivity," Staff Reports 159, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  23. Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2003. "Modeling uncertainty: predictive accuracy as a proxy for predictive confidence," Staff Reports 161, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  24. Robert W. Rich & Donald Rissmiller, 2001. "Structural change in U.S. wage determination," Staff Reports 117, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  25. Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2000. "Uncertainty and labor contract durations," Staff Reports 106, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  26. Stephen G. Cecchetti & Robert W. Rich, 1999. "Structural estimates of the U.S. sacrifice ratio," Staff Reports 71, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  27. Cara S. Lown & Robert W. Rich, 1997. "Is there an inflation puzzle?," Research Paper 9723, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

Articles

  1. Hajdini, Ina & Knotek, Edward S. & Leer, John & Pedemonte, Mathieu & Rich, Robert & Schoenle, Raphael, 2024. "Indirect consumer inflation expectations: Theory and evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
  2. Kristoph Naggert & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2023. "The Anchoring of US Inflation Expectations Since 2012," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2023(11), pages 1-7, July.
  3. Ina Hajdini & Edward S. Knotek & John Leer & Mathieu Pedemonte & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle, 2022. "Indirect Consumer Inflation Expectations," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2022(03), pages 1-9, March.
  4. Robert W. Rich & Randal J. Verbrugge & Saeed Zaman, 2022. "Adjusting Median and Trimmed-Mean Inflation Rates for Bias Based on Skewness," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2022(05), pages 1-7, March.
  5. Philippe Andrade & Marco Del Negro & Colin J. Hottman & Christian Hoynck & Edward S. Knotek & Matthias Meier & Robert W. Rich & Elisa Rubbo & Raphael Schoenle & Daniel Villar Vallenas & Michael Weber, 2021. "Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2020 Conference Summary," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2021(02), pages 1-7, February.
  6. Robert Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2021. "A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(1), pages 233-253, February.
  7. Edward S. Knotek & Michael Lamla & Emanuel Moench & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle & Michael Weber, 2021. "Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2020 CEBRA Annual Meeting Session Summary," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2021(03), pages 1-3, February.
  8. Kristoph Naggert & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2021. "Flexible Average Inflation Targeting and Inflation Expectations: A Look at the Reaction by Professional Forecasters," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2021(09), pages 1-7, April.
  9. Michael Morris & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2020. "How Aggregation Matters for Measured Wage Growth," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2020(19), pages 1-9, July.
  10. Timo Haber & Edward S. Knotek & Jean-Paul L'Huillier & Julio L. Ortiz & Damjan Pfajfar & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle, 2020. "Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics | 2019 CEBRA Annual Meeting Session Summary," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2020(14), pages 1-3, June.
  11. Andres Blanco & Mina Kim & Edward S. Knotek & Matthias Paustian & Robert W. Rich & Jane Ryngaert & Raphael Schoenle & Joris Tielens & Michael Weber & Mirko Wiederholt & Tony Zhang, 2019. "Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2019 Conference Summary," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2019(22), pages 1-6, December.
  12. Marlene Amstad & Simon M. Potter & Robert W. Rich, 2017. "The New York Fed Staff Underlying Inflation Gauge (UIG)," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue 23-2, pages 1-32.
  13. Joshua Abel & Robert Rich & Joseph Song & Joseph Tracy, 2016. "The Measurement and Behavior of Uncertainty: Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(3), pages 533-550, April.
  14. M. Henry Linder & Richard Peach & Robert W. Rich, 2013. "The parts are more than the whole: separating goods and services to predict core inflation," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 19(Aug).
  15. Robert Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2013. "Early Contract Renegotiation: An Analysis of US Labor Contracts, 1970-1995," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 31(4), pages 825-842.
  16. Anna Cororaton & Richard Peach & Robert W. Rich, 2011. "How does slack influence inflation?," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 17(June).
  17. Wändi Bruine de Bruin & Simon M. Potter & Robert W. Rich & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw, 2010. "Improving survey measures of household inflation expectations," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 16(Aug/Sep).
  18. Robert Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2010. "The Relationships among Expected Inflation, Disagreement, and Uncertainty: Evidence from Matched Point and Density Forecasts," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(1), pages 200-207, February.
  19. Jason Bram & James A. Orr & Robert W. Rich & Rae D. Rosen & Joseph Song, 2009. "Is the worst over? Economic indexes and the course of the recession in New York and New Jersey," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 15(Sep).
  20. Kahn, James A. & Rich, Robert W., 2007. "Tracking the new economy: Using growth theory to detect changes in trend productivity," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(6), pages 1670-1701, September.
  21. Robert W. Rich & Charles Steindel, 2007. "A comparison of measures of core inflation," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 13(Dec), pages 19-38.
  22. James A. Kahn & Robert W. Rich, 2006. "Tracking productivity in real time," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 12(Nov).
  23. Robert Rich & Jason Bram & Andrew Haughwout & James Orr & Rae Rosen & Rebecca Sela, 2005. "Using Regional Economic Indexes to Forecast Tax Bases: Evidence from New York," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 87(4), pages 627-634, November.
  24. Robert Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2004. "Uncertainty and Labor Contract Durations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 86(1), pages 270-287, February.
  25. Alexis Antoniades & Richard Peach & Robert W. Rich, 2004. "The historical and recent behavior of goods and services inflation," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue Dec, pages 19-31.
  26. Cecchetti, Stephen G & Rich, Robert W, 2001. "Structural Estimates of the U.S. Sacrifice Ratio," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 19(4), pages 416-427, October.
  27. James A. Orr & Robert W. Rich & Rae D. Rosen, 2001. "Leading economic indexes for New York State and New Jersey," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue Mar, pages 73-94.
  28. Robert W. Rich & Donald Rissmiller, 2000. "Understanding the recent behavior of U.S. inflation," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 6(Jul).
  29. James A. Orr & Robert W. Rich & Rae D. Rosen, 1999. "Two new indexes offer a broad view of economic activity in the New York - New Jersey region," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 5(Oct).
  30. Rich, Robert W & Butler, J S, 1998. "Disagreement as a Measure of Uncertainty: A Comment on Bomberger," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 30(3), pages 411-419, August.
  31. Raymond, Jennie E & Rich, Robert W, 1997. "Erratum [Oil and the Macroeconomy: A Markov State-Switching Approach]," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 29(4), pages 555-555, November.
  32. Raymond, Jennie E & Rich, Robert W, 1997. "Oil and the Macroeconomy: A Markov State-Switching Approach," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 29(2), pages 193-213, May.
  33. Cara S. Lown & Robert W. Rich, 1997. "Is there an inflation puzzle?," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 3(Dec), pages 51-77.
  34. Rhee, Wooheon & Rich, Robert W., 1995. "Inflation and the asymmetric effects of money on output fluctuations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 683-702.
  35. Bell, Clive & Rich, Robert W., 1994. "Testing for the exogeneity of real income in models of the poverty process evidence from post-independence India," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(4), pages 295-302, December.
  36. Bell, Clive & Rich, Robert, 1994. "Rural Poverty and Aggregate Agricultural Performance in Post-independence India," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 56(2), pages 111-133, May.
  37. Rich, Robert W. & Raymond, Jennie E. & Butler, J. S., 1993. "Testing for measurement errors in expectations from survey data : An instrumental variables approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 5-10.
  38. Rich, R W & Raymond, J E & Butler, J S, 1992. "The Relationship between Forecast Dispersion and Forecast Uncertainty: Evidence from a Survey Data-ARCH Model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 7(2), pages 131-148, April-Jun.
  39. Rich, Robert W. & Raymond, Jennie & Butler, J. S., 1991. "Generalized instrumental variables estimation of autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 179-185, February.
  40. Rich, Robert W, 1989. "Testing the Rationality of Inflation Forecasts from Survey Data: Another Look at the SRC Expected Price Change Data," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 71(4), pages 682-686, November.

Chapters

  1. James A Kahn & Robert Rich, 2003. "Distinguishing trends from cycles in productivity," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Monetary policy in a changing environment, volume 19, pages 443-462, Bank for International Settlements.

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

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Rankings

This author is among the top 5% authors according to these criteria:
  1. Number of Distinct Works, Weighted by Recursive Impact Factor
  2. h-index
  3. Closeness measure in co-authorship network
  4. Betweenness measure in co-authorship network

Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 27 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (10) 2003-03-03 2006-02-05 2014-05-04 2014-09-05 2018-10-15 2020-03-09 2020-03-09 2020-03-09 2022-07-18 2022-07-25. Author is listed
  2. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (10) 2006-02-05 2006-08-05 2014-05-04 2014-09-05 2020-03-09 2022-07-18 2022-07-25 2022-12-19 2023-06-19 2023-12-04. Author is listed
  3. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (7) 2006-02-05 2006-08-05 2013-01-07 2014-05-04 2014-09-05 2017-03-05 2021-03-08. Author is listed
  4. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (4) 2006-02-05 2006-08-05 2014-05-04 2014-09-05
  5. NEP-LAB: Labour Economics (3) 2000-06-12 2000-07-11 2001-05-02
  6. NEP-DGE: Dynamic General Equilibrium (2) 2003-03-03 2022-07-18
  7. NEP-EEC: European Economics (2) 2018-08-20 2018-10-15
  8. NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (2) 2003-03-03 2006-08-05
  9. NEP-HIS: Business, Economic and Financial History (2) 2000-06-12 2011-11-07
  10. NEP-IND: Industrial Organization (2) 2000-07-11 2023-06-19
  11. NEP-DEM: Demographic Economics (1) 2022-07-18
  12. NEP-GRO: Economic Growth (1) 2020-03-09
  13. NEP-LMA: Labor Markets - Supply, Demand, and Wages (1) 2022-08-22
  14. NEP-LTV: Unemployment, Inequality and Poverty (1) 2000-06-12
  15. NEP-MFD: Microfinance (1) 2023-07-10
  16. NEP-UPT: Utility Models and Prospect Theory (1) 2022-12-19
  17. NEP-URE: Urban and Real Estate Economics (1) 2004-08-09

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