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Mögliche Auswirkungen der Finanz- und Konjunkturkrise auf den österreichischen Tourismus

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  • Egon Smeral

    (WIFO)

Abstract

Die Schätzung der Auswirkungen der Konjunktur- und Finanzkrise auf den internationalen und österreichischen Tourismus berücksichtigt, dass die Nachfrage nach touristischen Dienstleistungen als "nicht notwendigen" Konsumgütern – im Gegensatz zu "notwendigen" Konsumgütern wie Nahrungsmitteln, Heizung, Beleuchtung, Wohnungsmiete – überproportional von einschneidenden Konjunkturkrisen betroffen ist. Während die internationale Nachfrage 2009 relativ kräftig sinkt, dürfte der Rückgang der Auslandsnachfrage in Österreich (Tourismusexporte real –3½%) aufgrund von Wettbewerbsvorteilen geringer ausfallen als im Durchschnitt des Euro-Raums. 2010 werden die Tourismusexporte nur noch leicht schrumpfen (–½%).

Suggested Citation

  • Egon Smeral, 2009. "Mögliche Auswirkungen der Finanz- und Konjunkturkrise auf den österreichischen Tourismus," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 34879.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:wstudy:34879
    Note: With English abstract.
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    File URL: https://www.wifo.ac.at/wwa/pubid/34879
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Stefan Ederer & Markus Marterbauer & Stephan Schulmeister & Ewald Walterskirchen & Klara Zwickl, 2008. "Finanzkrise löst weltweiten Konjunktureinbruch aus," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 81(11), pages 825-839, November.
    2. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009. "Is the 2007 US Sub-Prime Financial Crisis So Different?: An International Historical Comparison," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 56(3), pages 291-299.
    3. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2008. "Deutschland am Rande einer Rezession: Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Herbst 2008," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 14(2. Sonder), pages 1-87.
    4. Egon Smeral, 2007. "Research Note: World Tourism Forecasting – Keep It Quick, Simple and Dirty," Tourism Economics, , vol. 13(2), pages 309-317, June.
    5. Ewald Walterskirchen, 2008. "Auf dem Weg in die Rezession," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 81(12), pages 899-908, December.
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