IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/journl/hal-04313127.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Asymmetric exchange rate pass-through in Vietnam

Author

Listed:
  • Ho Sy-Hoa

    (VNU - Vietnam National University [Hanoï])

  • Idir Hafrad

    (Université Sorbonne Paris Nord)

  • Viet-Dung Tran

    (Banking Academy of Vietnam)

Abstract

In this paper, we study the measure of exchange rate pass-through on consumer price for Vietnam using the Nonlinear Autoregressive Dynamic Lag from 2000Q4 to 2018Q2. Our findings can be summarized as follows: (i) we demonstrate the existence of the asymmetric effect of the exchange rate to domestic price in both short run and long run; (ii) the exchange rate pass-through is high; (iii) the impact of exchange rate depreciation on domestic price is stronger than appreciation; (iv) the exchange rate pass-through is higher in the long run than in the short run; and (v) foreign competitor price plays an important role in domestic price movement.

Suggested Citation

  • Ho Sy-Hoa & Idir Hafrad & Viet-Dung Tran, 2022. "Asymmetric exchange rate pass-through in Vietnam," Post-Print hal-04313127, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04313127
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-04313127v2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://hal.science/hal-04313127v2/document
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sy-Hoa Ho & Jamel Saadaoui, 2021. "Symmetric and asymmetric effects of exchange rates on money demand: empirical evidence from Vietnam," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(34), pages 3948-3961, July.
    2. Anindya Banerjee & Juan Dolado & Ricardo Mestre, 1998. "Error‐correction Mechanism Tests for Cointegration in a Single‐equation Framework," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(3), pages 267-283, May.
    3. Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg & Michael M. Knetter, 1997. "Goods Prices and Exchange Rates: What Have We Learned?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 35(3), pages 1243-1272, September.
    4. Marston, Richard C., 1990. "Pricing to market in Japanese manufacturing," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(3-4), pages 217-236, November.
    5. José Manuel Campa & Linda S. Goldberg, 2005. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through into Import Prices," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 87(4), pages 679-690, November.
    6. Taylor, John B., 2000. "Low inflation, pass-through, and the pricing power of firms," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(7), pages 1389-1408, June.
    7. Barhoumi, Karim, 2006. "Differences in long run exchange rate pass-through into import prices in developing countries: An empirical investigation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 23(6), pages 926-951, December.
    8. Delatte, Anne-Laure & López-Villavicencio, Antonia, 2012. "Asymmetric exchange rate pass-through: Evidence from major countries," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 833-844.
    9. Siregar, Reza Yamora & Goo, Siwei, 2010. "Effectiveness and commitment to inflation targeting policy: Evidence from Indonesia and Thailand," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 113-128, April.
    10. de Brouwer, Gordon & Ericsson, Neil R, 1998. "Modeling Inflation in Australia," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 16(4), pages 433-449, October.
    11. Jonathan McCarthy, 2007. "Pass-Through of Exchange Rates and Import Prices to Domestic Inflation in Some Industrialized Economies," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 33(4), pages 511-537, Fall.
    12. Feinberg, Robert M, 1986. "The Interaction of Foreign Exchange and Market Power Effects on German Domestic Prices," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(1), pages 61-70, September.
    13. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    14. López-Villavicencio, Antonia & Mignon, Valérie, 2017. "Exchange rate pass-through in emerging countries: Do the inflation environment, monetary policy regime and central bank behavior matter?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 20-38.
    15. Vo The Anh & Le Thai Thuong Quan & Nguyen Van Phuc & Ho Minh Chi & Vo Hong Duc, 2021. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through in ASEAN Countries: An Application of the SVAR Model," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(1), pages 21-34, January.
    16. Knetter, Michael M., 1994. "Is export price adjustment asymmetric?: evaluating the market share and marketing bottlenecks hypotheses," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 55-70, February.
    17. Webber, A., 1999. "Dynamic and Long Run Responses of Import Prices to the Exchange Rate in the Asia-Pacific," Economics Working Papers WP99-11, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia.
    18. Juthathip Jongwanich & Donghyun Park & Petchtharin Wongcharoen, 2019. "Determinants of Producer Price versus Consumer price inflation in emerging Asia," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(2), pages 224-251, April.
    19. Dubravko Mihaljek & Marc Klau, 2001. "A note on the pass-through from exchange rate and foreign price changes to inflation in selected emerging market economies," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Modelling aspects of the inflation process and the monetary transmission mechanism in emerging market countries, volume 8, pages 69-81, Bank for International Settlements.
    20. Bhattacharya, Rina, 2014. "Inflation dynamics and monetary policy transmission in Vietnam and emerging Asia," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 16-26.
    21. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2005. "The saving and investment nexus for China: evidence from cointegration tests," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(17), pages 1979-1990.
    22. Ghosh, Amit, 2013. "Exchange rate pass through, macro fundamentals and regime choice in Latin America," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 163-171.
    23. Carlos Cortinhas, 2009. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through In Asean: Implications For The Prospects Of Monetary Integration In The Region," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 54(04), pages 657-687.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ho, Sy-Hoa & Hafrad, Idir, 2020. "Asymmetric exchange rates pass-through: New evidence from Vietnam," MPRA Paper 98651, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Diby François Kassi & Dilesha Nawadali Rathnayake & Akadje Jean Roland Edjoukou & Yobouet Thierry Gnangoin & Pierre Axel Louembe & Ning Ding & Gang Sun, 2019. "Asymmetry in Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices: New Perspective from Sub-Saharan African Countries," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-33, January.
    3. Nguyen, Thi-Ngoc Anh & Sato, Kiyotaka, 2019. "Firm predicted exchange rates and nonlinearities in pricing-to-market," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 1-1.
    4. Nguyen Van Phuc & Vo Hong Duc, 2021. "Macroeconomics Determinants of Exchange Rate Pass-Through: New Evidence from the Asia-Pacific Region," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(1), pages 5-20, January.
    5. Kassi, Diby François & Sun, Gang & Ding, Ning & Rathnayake, Dilesha Nawadali & Assamoi, Guy Roland, 2019. "Asymmetry in exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices: Evidence from emerging and developing Asian countries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 357-372.
    6. Thi-Ngoc Anh NGUYEN & SATO Kiyotaka, 2018. "Firm Predicted Exchange Rates and Nonlinearities in Pricing-to-Market," Discussion papers 18071, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    7. Pham, Thu Anh Thi & Nguyen, Thong Trung & Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Duc Huynh, Toan Luu, 2023. "Exchange rate pass-through: A comparative analysis of inflation targeting & non-targeting ASEAN-5 countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 158-167.
    8. Konopczak, Karolina, 2019. "Can inaction account for the incomplete exchangerate pass-through? Evidence from threshold ARDL model," MF Working Papers 37, Ministry of Finance in Poland.
    9. Javed Ahmad Bhat & Sajad Ahmad Bhat & Waseem Ahmad Parray, 2025. "Nonlinearity in exchange rate pass-through across BRICS: Role of business cycle and inflation," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 1-32, February.
    10. Vo The Anh & Le Thai Thuong Quan & Nguyen Van Phuc & Ho Minh Chi & Vo Hong Duc, 2021. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through in ASEAN Countries: An Application of the SVAR Model," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(1), pages 21-34, January.
    11. Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah & Abdalla Sirag & Norashidah Mohamed Nor, 2017. "Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass-through in Sudan: Does Inflation React Differently during Periods of Currency Depreciation?," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 29(3), pages 446-457, September.
    12. Jiménez-Rodríguez, Rebeca & Morales-Zumaquero, Amalia, 2016. "A new look at exchange rate pass-through in the G-7 countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 38(5), pages 985-1000.
    13. Mirdala, Rajmund, 2015. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the Euro Area," MPRA Paper 68862, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Núñez, Héctor M. & Otero, Jesús & Trujillo-Barrera, Andrés, 2023. "Wholesale price rigidities and exchange rate pass-through: Evidence from daily data of agricultural products," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    15. Kurtović Safet & Šehić-Kršlak Sabina & Halili Blerim & Maxhuni Nehat, 2018. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through into Import Prices of Croatia," Naše gospodarstvo/Our economy, Sciendo, vol. 64(4), pages 60-73, December.
    16. Chou, K.W., 2019. "Re-examining the time-varying nature and determinants of exchange rate pass-through into import prices," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 331-351.
    17. Mirdala, Rajmund, 2013. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Domestic Prices under Different Exchange Rate Regimes," MPRA Paper 53209, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Janine Aron & Ronald Macdonald & John Muellbauer, 2014. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Developing and Emerging Markets: A Survey of Conceptual, Methodological and Policy Issues, and Selected Empirical Findings," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(1), pages 101-143, January.
    19. Idrisov, Georgy (Идрисов, Георгий) & Ponomarev, Yury (Пономарев, Юрий) & Pleskachev, Yury Andreevich (Плескачев, Юрий Андреевич), 2016. "Analysis of Joint Exchange Rate Pass-Through and Import Duty Rates in the Russian Economy [Анализ Совместного Эффекта Переноса Обменного Курса И Ввозных Пошлин В Цены В Российской Экономике]," Working Papers 1666, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    20. Beirne, John & Renzhi, Nuobu & Panthi, Pradeep, 2024. "Exchange rate pass-through in emerging Asia and exposure to external shocks," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1608-1624.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rate pass-through; Asymmetric Exchange Rate; ARDL models; NARDL models; Vietnam;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04313127. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.