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The Effect of Shocks: An Empirical Analysis of Ethiopia

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  • Yilebes Addisu Damtie

    (Department of Disaster Risk Management and Sustainable Development, Gambella University, Gambella, Ethiopia)

Abstract

Besides striving for the increase of production and development, it is also necessary to reduce the losses created by the shocks. The people of Ethiopia are exposed to the impact of both natural and man-made shocks. Following this, policy makers, governmental and non-governmental organizations need to identify the important shocks and their effect and use as an input. This study was conducted to identify the food insecurity shocks and to estimate their effect based on the conceptual framework developed in Ethiopia, Amhara National Regional State of Libo Kemkem District. Descriptive statistical analysis, multiple regression, binary logistic regression, chi-squared and independent sample t-test were used as a data analysis technique. The results showed eight shocks affecting households which were weather variability, weed, plant insect and pest infestation, soil fertility problem, animal disease and epidemics, human disease and epidemics, price fluctuation problem and conflict. Weather variability, plant insect and pest infestation, weed, animal disease and epidemics created a mean loss of 3,821.38, 886.06, 508.04 and 1,418.32 Birr, respectively. In addition, human disease and epidemics, price fluctuation problem and conflict affected 68.11%, 88.11% and 14.59% of households, respectively. Among the sample households 28,1 % were not able to meet their food need throughout the year while 71,9 % could. The result of the multiple regression models revealed that weed existence (beta = -0,142, p

Suggested Citation

  • Yilebes Addisu Damtie, 2015. "The Effect of Shocks: An Empirical Analysis of Ethiopia," Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems - scientific journal, Croatian Interdisciplinary Society Provider Homepage: http://indecs.eu, vol. 13(3), pages 450-460.
    • Handle: RePEc:zna:indecs:v:13:y:2015:i:3:p:450-460
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ecker, Olivier & Breisinger, Clemens, 2012. "The food security system: A new conceptual framework," IFPRI discussion papers 1166, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
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    Cited by:

    1. Julia Kleineidam, 2020. "Fields of Action for Designing Measures to Avoid Food Losses in Logistics Networks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-20, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    shocks; effect; Ethiopia; food availability; binary logistic; multiple regression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • D13 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Production and Intrahouse Allocation
    • H31 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Household

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