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Wie Finanzmarktexperten die Geldpolitik der EZB wahrnehmen

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  • Schmidt, Sandra

Abstract

Eine effektive Kommunikation von Zentralbanken mit den Akteuren an Finanzmärkten soll sicher stellen, dass die Finanzmärkte die Zinspolitik der Zentralbanken nachvollziehen können. Dennoch sind Zinsprognosen nicht immer korrekt. Dieser Artikel geht auf zwei Ursachen von Unsicherheit ein, die dazu führen können, dass Finanzmarktexperten künftige Zinsentscheidungen der Europäischen Zentralbank nicht vollständig korrekt antizipieren.

Suggested Citation

  • Schmidt, Sandra, 2010. "Wie Finanzmarktexperten die Geldpolitik der EZB wahrnehmen," ZEW Wachstums- und Konjunkturanalysen, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, vol. 13(3), pages 6-7.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:zewwka:126023
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Schmidt, Sandra & Nautz, Dieter, 2010. "Why do financial market experts misperceive future monetary policy decisions?," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2010-036, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    2. Rangvid, Jesper & Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Andreas, 2009. "Higher-order beliefs among professional stock market forecasters: some first empirical tests," ZEW Discussion Papers 09-042, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    3. Berger, Helge & Ehrmann, Michael & Fratzscher, Marcel, 2009. "Forecasting ECB monetary policy: Accuracy is a matter of geography," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(8), pages 1028-1041, November.
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