IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/zbw/wirtdi/40345.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Das ökonometrische Modell des HWWA-Instituts zur Konjunkturprognose

Author

Listed:
  • Danckwerts, Rudolf-Ferdinand
  • Danckwerts, Marion

Abstract

Zur Konjunkturprognose werden oft auch ökonometrische Modelle eingesetzt. Schärft die Anwendung EDV-gestützter ökonometrischer Verfahren den Blick in die Zukunft oder führt die vermeintliche „Exaktheit" solcher Modelle eher zu einer Verengung des Blickwinkels? Welche Probleme ergeben sich beim Aufbau gesamtwirtschaftlicher Modelle und bei ihrer Verwendung für Konjunkturprognosen? Diesen Fragen wird anhand des gesamtwirtschaftlichen Modells des HWWA nachgegangen.

Suggested Citation

  • Danckwerts, Rudolf-Ferdinand & Danckwerts, Marion, 1999. "Das ökonometrische Modell des HWWA-Instituts zur Konjunkturprognose," Wirtschaftsdienst – Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik (1949 - 2007), ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 79(6), pages 377-384.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:wirtdi:40345
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/40345/1/300098014.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Felderer, Bernhard & Homburg, Stefan, 2005. "Makroökonomik und neue Makroökonomik: Kapitel I. Einige methodologische Überlegungen," EconStor Books, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 92556.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ernst Matthias & Walpuski Dirk, 1996. "Integration von Geld- und Wertpapiermarkt im Keynesschen Makromodell. Eine Replik," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 215(2), pages 245-251, April.
    2. Lerch, Anna & Schulze, Peter M., 2007. "Ein Gravitationsansatz zur Analyse internationaler Tourismusströme nach Deutschland," Arbeitspapiere des Instituts für Statistik und Ökonometrie 38, Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz, Institut für Statistik und Ökonometrie.
    3. Heise, Arne, 2018. "Postkeynesianismus: Ein heterodoxer Ansatz auf der Suche nach einer Fundierung," ZÖSS-Discussion Papers 69, University of Hamburg, Centre for Economic and Sociological Studies (CESS/ZÖSS).
    4. Klausinger, Hansjörg, 2000. "Walras' law and the IS-LM model. A tale of progress and regress," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 69, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    5. Peichl, Andreas & Fuest, Clemens & Schaefer, Thilo, 2005. "Dokumentation FiFoSiM: Integriertes Steuer-Transfer-Mikrosimulations- und CGE-Modell," FiFo Discussion Papers - Finanzwissenschaftliche Diskussionsbeiträge 05-3, University of Cologne, FiFo Institute for Public Economics.
    6. Andreas Irmen & Christoph Lipponer, 2010. "Beschäftigungswirkungen verringerter Sozialleistungen auf dem Arbeitsmarkt - Was bewirkt Hartz IV?," DEM Discussion Paper Series 10-11, Department of Economics at the University of Luxembourg.
    7. Franz, Wolfgang, 1992. "Neuere makroökonomische Kontroversen," Discussion Papers, Series II 168, University of Konstanz, Collaborative Research Centre (SFB) 178 "Internationalization of the Economy".
    8. Achim Truger, 2013. "Austerity in the euro area: the sad state of economic policy in Germany and the EU," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 10(2), pages 158-174.
    9. Truger, Achim, 2004. "Verteilungs- und beschäftigungspolitische Risiken aktueller Steuerreformkonzepte: Eine Analyse mit Steuerbelastungsvergleichen für konkrete Haushaltstypen," WSI Working Papers 120, The Institute of Economic and Social Research (WSI), Hans Böckler Foundation.
    10. Sonntag, Dominik, 2018. "Die Theorie der fairen geometrischen Rendite [The Theory of Fair Geometric Returns]," MPRA Paper 87082, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. B Bhaskara Rao, 2007. "The nature of the ADAS model based on the ISLM model," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 31(3), pages 413-422, May.
    12. Lutz, Stefan H., 2002. "Trade Policy: 'Political' vs. 'Economic' Factors," ZEW Discussion Papers 02-75, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    13. Wolfgang Scherf, 1995. "Die Bedeutung der nicht ausgeschütteten Gewinne für die Koordination von Sparen und Investieren," Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft - WuG, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik, vol. 21(4), pages 509-531.
    14. Barens Ingo & Caspari Volker, 1992. "Ist die Liquiditätsfalle instabil?: Ein Kommentar zur Interpretation des IS-LM-Systems durch Größl-Gschwendtner," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 210(3-4), pages 339-345, May.
    15. Klein, Rolf, 2011. "Wachstum durch das Nadelöhr begrenzter Budgets," EconStor Research Reports 54763, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    16. Erik Walch, 2001. "An assessment of the national labour market," BCL working papers 1, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
    17. Eckhard Hein, 2005. "Finanzstruktur und Wirtschaftswachstum - theoretische und empirische Aspekte," IMK Studies 01-2005, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    18. Lutz, Stefan, 2002. "Trade policy: 'Institutional' vs. 'economic' factors," ZEI Working Papers B 25-2002, University of Bonn, ZEI - Center for European Integration Studies.
    19. Peichl, Andreas, 2005. "Die Evaluation von Steuerreformen durch Simulationsmodelle," FiFo Discussion Papers - Finanzwissenschaftliche Diskussionsbeiträge 05-1, University of Cologne, FiFo Institute for Public Economics.
    20. Felderer, Bernhard & Homburg, Stefan, 1986. "Eine Fehlinterpretation des Keynesianischen Modells," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 201(5), pages 457-468.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:wirtdi:40345. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/zbwkide.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.