IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/zbw/espost/311277.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modulation of Democracy: Partisan Communication During and After Election Campaigns

Author

Listed:
  • Castanho Silva, Bruno
  • Schürmann, Lennart
  • Proksch, Sven-Oliver

Abstract

It is well known that politicians speak differently when campaigning. The shadow of elections may affect candidates' change in tone during campaigns. However, to date, we lack a systematic study of the changes in communication patterns between campaign and non-campaign periods. In this study, we examine the sentiment expressed in 4.3 million tweets posted by members of national parliaments in the EU27 from 2018 to 2020. Our results show that (1) the opposition, even populists and Eurosceptics, send more positive messages during campaigns, (2) parties trailing in the polls communicate more negatively, and (3) that the changes are similar in national and European elections. These findings show the need to look beyond campaign times to understand parties' appeals and highlight the promises of social media data to move beyond traditional analyses of manifestos and speeches.

Suggested Citation

  • Castanho Silva, Bruno & Schürmann, Lennart & Proksch, Sven-Oliver, 2024. "Modulation of Democracy: Partisan Communication During and After Election Campaigns," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 54(2), pages 339-354.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:espost:311277
    DOI: 10.1017/S0007123423000169
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/311277/1/Full-text-article-Castanho-Silva-Modulation-of-democracy.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1017/S0007123423000169?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Alessandro Nai & Mike Medeiros & Michaela Maier & Jürgen Maier, 2022. "Euroscepticism and the use of negative, uncivil and emotional campaigns in the 2019 European Parliament election: A winning combination," European Union Politics, , vol. 23(1), pages 21-42, March.
    2. Harrington, Joseph Jr. & Hess, Gregory D., 1996. "A Spatial Theory of Positive and Negative Campaigning," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 209-229, December.
    3. Castanho Silva, Bruno & Schürmann, Lennart & Proksch, Sven-Oliver, 2024. "Modulation of Democracy: Partisan Communication During and After Election Campaigns," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 54(2), pages 339-354.
    4. Skaperdas, Stergios & Grofman, Bernard, 1995. "Modeling Negative Campaigning," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 89(1), pages 49-61, March.
    5. Jennifer Golbeck & Justin M. Grimes & Anthony Rogers, 2010. "Twitter use by the U.S. Congress," Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology, Association for Information Science & Technology, vol. 61(8), pages 1612-1621, August.
    6. Wattenberg, Martin P. & Brians, Craig Leonard, 1999. "Negative Campaign Advertising: Demobilizer or Mobilizer?," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 93(4), pages 891-899, December.
    7. Osnabrügge, Moritz & Hobolt, Sara B. & Rodon, Toni, 2021. "Playing to the Gallery: Emotive Rhetoric in Parliaments," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 115(3), pages 885-899, August.
    8. Castanho Silva, Bruno & Wratil, Christopher, 2023. "Do parties’ representation failures affect populist attitudes? Evidence from a multinational survey experiment," Political Science Research and Methods, Cambridge University Press, vol. 11(2), pages 347-362, April.
    9. Kim L. Fridkin & Patrick Kenney, 2011. "Variability in Citizens’ Reactions to Different Types of Negative Campaigns," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 55(2), pages 307-325, April.
    10. Jennifer Golbeck & Justin M. Grimes & Anthony Rogers, 2010. "Twitter use by the U.S. Congress," Journal of the Association for Information Science & Technology, Association for Information Science & Technology, vol. 61(8), pages 1612-1621, August.
    11. Ludovic Rheault & Kaspar Beelen & Christopher Cochrane & Graeme Hirst, 2016. "Measuring Emotion in Parliamentary Debates with Automated Textual Analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(12), pages 1-18, December.
    12. Castanho Silva, Bruno & Wratil, Christopher, 2023. "Do parties’ representation failures affect populist attitudes? Evidence from a multinational survey experiment – CORRIGENDUM," Political Science Research and Methods, Cambridge University Press, vol. 11(2), pages 449-449, April.
    13. Marsh, Michael, 1998. "Testing the Second-Order Election Model after Four European Elections," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(4), pages 591-607, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Castanho Silva, Bruno & Schürmann, Lennart & Proksch, Sven-Oliver, 2024. "Modulation of Democracy: Partisan Communication During and After Election Campaigns," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 54(2), pages 339-354.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jan Brueckner & Kangoh Lee, 2015. "Negative campaigning in a probabilistic voting model," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 164(3), pages 379-399, September.
    2. Raphaël Soubeyran, 2009. "Contest with attack and defense: does negative campaigning increase or decrease voter turnout?," Social Choice and Welfare, Springer;The Society for Social Choice and Welfare, vol. 32(3), pages 337-353, March.
    3. Alessandro Nai & Ferran Martínez i Coma, 2019. "Losing in the Polls, Time Pressure, and the Decision to Go Negative in Referendum Campaigns," Politics and Governance, Cogitatio Press, vol. 7(2), pages 278-296.
    4. Alessandro Nai & Ferran Martínez i Coma, 2019. "Losing in the Polls, Time Pressure, and the Decision to Go Negative in Referendum Campaigns," Politics and Governance, Cogitatio Press, vol. 7(2), pages 278-296.
    5. Münster, Johannes, 2006. "Selection Tournaments, Sabotage, and Participation," Discussion Paper Series of SFB/TR 15 Governance and the Efficiency of Economic Systems 118, Free University of Berlin, Humboldt University of Berlin, University of Bonn, University of Mannheim, University of Munich.
    6. Li, Xiaolin & Rao, Raghunath Singh & Narasimhan, Om & Gao, Xing, 2022. "Stay positive or go negative? Memory imperfections and messaging strategy," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1127-1149.
    7. Reza Mousavi & Bin Gu, 2019. "The Impact of Twitter Adoption on Lawmakers’ Voting Orientations," Service Science, INFORMS, vol. 30(1), pages 133-153, March.
    8. Satoshi Kasamatsu & Daiki Kishishita, 2022. "Informative campaigning in multidimensional politics: The role of naïve voters," Journal of Theoretical Politics, , vol. 34(1), pages 78-106, January.
    9. Fabio Padovano & Pauline Mille, 2022. "Education, fake news and the PBC," Economics Working Paper from Condorcet Center for political Economy at CREM-CNRS 2022-01-ccr, Condorcet Center for political Economy.
    10. Münster, Johannes, 2006. "Selection tournaments, sabotage, and participation [Auswahlturniere, Sabotage und Teilnahme]," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Market Processes and Governance SP II 2006-08, WZB Berlin Social Science Center.
    11. Tracie Farrell & Genevieve Gorrell & Kalina Bontcheva, 2020. "Vindication, virtue, and vitriol," Journal of Computational Social Science, Springer, vol. 3(2), pages 401-443, November.
    12. Sanjana Arora & Jonas Debesay & Hande Eslen-Ziya, 2022. "Persuasive narrative during the COVID-19 pandemic: Norwegian Prime Minister Erna Solberg’s posts on Facebook," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-10, December.
    13. Bernhardt, Dan & Ghosh, Meenakshi, 2020. "Positive and negative campaigning in primary and general elections," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 98-104.
    14. Minjeong Kim & Han Woo Park, 2012. "Measuring Twitter-based political participation and deliberation in the South Korean context by using social network and Triple Helix indicators," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 90(1), pages 121-140, January.
    15. Kai A. Konrad, 2004. "Inverse Campaigning," Springer Books, in: Roger D. Congleton & Kai A. Konrad & Arye L. Hillman (ed.), 40 Years of Research on Rent Seeking 2, pages 347-360, Springer.
    16. Amoah John & Nutakor Felix & Li Jinke & Jibril Abdul Bashiru & Sanful Benjamin & Odei Michael Amponsah, 2021. "Antecedents of social media usage intensity in the financial sector of an emerging economy: a Pls-Sem Algorithm," Management & Marketing, Sciendo, vol. 16(4), pages 387-406, December.
    17. Zakharov Alexei, 2005. "Candidate location and endogenous valence," EERC Working Paper Series 05-17e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS.
    18. Zachary J. Auter & Jeffrey A. Fine, 2018. "Social Media Campaigning: Mobilization and Fundraising on Facebook," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 99(1), pages 185-200, March.
    19. Brett Gordon & Mitchell Lovett & Ron Shachar & Kevin Arceneaux & Sridhar Moorthy & Michael Peress & Akshay Rao & Subrata Sen & David Soberman & Oleg Urminsky, 2012. "Marketing and politics: Models, behavior, and policy implications," Marketing Letters, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 391-403, June.
    20. Mirza Ashfaq Ahmed, 2017. "Political Marketing: Role Of Socialization Process In The Evelopment Of Voting Intentions," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences 4607305, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:espost:311277. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/zbwkide.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.