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Spain And The Crisis: Housing Prices, Credit And Macroprudential Policies

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  • MARGARITA RUBIO

    (University of Nottingham, Sir Clive Granger Building, University Park, Nottingham, NG7 2RD, UK)

  • JOSÉ A. CARRASCO-GALLEGO

    (#x2020;Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, P. de los Artilleros, Madrid, Spain)

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a two-country, two sector monetary union DSGE model with housing. One of the countries is calibrated to represent the Spanish economy while the other one is the rest of the European monetary union. First, we illustrate how looser credit conditions coming from the Euro area, together with increases in housing demand, lead to an increase in house prices and credit in Spain. Then, we analyze to what extent, macroprudential policies could have avoided the excess in credit that triggered the financial crisis in Spain. We find that a countercyclical loan-to-value (LTV) rule that mainly responds to house prices would have mitigated the credit boom in Spain. These results can also be applied to other countries facing similar problems in the housing sector and thinking about implementing macroprudential policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Margarita Rubio & José A. Carrasco-Gallego, 2017. "Spain And The Crisis: Housing Prices, Credit And Macroprudential Policies," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 62(01), pages 109-133, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:serxxx:v:62:y:2017:i:01:n:s0217590817400057
    DOI: 10.1142/S0217590817400057
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    Cited by:

    1. Agiakloglou, Christos & Gkouvakis, Michael, 2022. "Policy implications and welfare analysis under the possibility of default for the Euro zone area," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    2. Luca Agnello & Vitor Castro & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2020. "The Housing Cycle: What Role for Mortgage Market Development and Housing Finance?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 607-670, November.
    3. Sala-Ríos, Mercé & Farré-Perdiguer, Mariona & Torres-Solé, Teresa, 2018. "How do Housing Prices and Business Cycles Interact in Spain? An Empirical Analysis/¿Cómo interactúan los precios de la vivienda y el ciclo económico en España? Un análisis empírico," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 36, pages 897-920, Septiembr.
    4. Meylis Orazov, 2023. "The Interaction of Monetary and Macroprudential Policies in the Presence of Financial Frictions," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 82(4), pages 3-43, December.

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