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Lithuania in the Euro Area: Monetary Transmission and Macroprudential Policies

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  • Margarita Rubio
  • Mariarosaria Comunale

Abstract

This article develops a two-country monetary union new Keynesian general equilibrium model with housing and collateral constraints calibrated for Lithuania and the rest of the euro area. Within this setting, and following the recent entry of Lithuania in the European Monetary Union, the aim of the article is twofold. First, it studies how shocks are transmitted differently in the two regions, considering the recent common monetary policy. It then analyzes how Lithuanian macroprudential policies should be conducted in the context of the EMU. The proposed macroprudential tool is a decentralized Taylor-type rule for the LTV which responds to national deviations in output and house prices. Given the features of Lithuania’s housing market, common shocks are found to be transmitted more strongly in this country than in the rest of the euro area. In terms of macroprudential policies, results show that the optimal policy in Lithuania with respect to the euro area may have a different intensity and that it delivers substantial benefits in terms of financial stability.

Suggested Citation

  • Margarita Rubio & Mariarosaria Comunale, 2017. "Lithuania in the Euro Area: Monetary Transmission and Macroprudential Policies," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(1), pages 29-49, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:eaeuec:v:55:y:2017:i:1:p:29-49
    DOI: 10.1080/00128775.2016.1255558
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    Cited by:

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    2. Mariarosaria Comunale, 2017. "Synchronicity of real and financial cycles and structural characteristics in EU countries," CEIS Research Paper 414, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 25 Sep 2017.
    3. Mérő, Bence & Borsos, András & Hosszú, Zsuzsanna & Oláh, Zsolt & Vágó, Nikolett, 2023. "A high-resolution, data-driven agent-based model of the housing market," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    4. Couharde, Cécile & Grekou, Carl & Mignon, Valérie, 2022. "On the economic desirability of the West African monetary union: Would one currency fit all?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    5. Margarita Rubio, 2024. "Macroprudential policy implementation in a heterogeneous monetary union," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 76(2), pages 351-374.
    6. Bence Mero & Andras Borsos & Zsuzsanna Hosszu & Zsolt Olah & Nikolett Vago, 2022. "A High Resolution Agent-based Model of the Hungarian Housing Market," MNB Working Papers 2022/6, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
    7. Rubio, Margarita & Comunale, Mariarosaria, 2018. "Macroeconomic and financial stability in a monetary union: The case of Lithuania," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 75-90.
    8. Mérő, Bence & Vágó, Nikolett, 2018. "Keresletvezérelt lakáspiaci modell a lakáshitelezést szabályozó makro prudenciális eszközök tanulmányozására [A demand-led model of the housing market for studying the macro-prudential means of reg," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(11), pages 1115-1153.
    9. Mariarosaria Comunale, 2020. "New synchronicity indices between real and financial cycles: Is there any link to structural characteristics and recessions in European Union countries?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 617-641, October.
    10. Rünstler, Gerhard & Balfoussia, Hiona & Burlon, Lorenzo & Buss, Ginters & Comunale, Mariarosaria & De Backer, Bruno & Dewachter, Hans & Guarda, Paolo & Haavio, Markus & Hindrayanto, Irma & Iskrev, Nik, 2018. "Real and financial cycles in EU countries - Stylised facts and modelling implications," Occasional Paper Series 205, European Central Bank.
    11. Michael Funke & Petar Mihaylovski & Adrian Wende, 2018. "Out of Sync Subnational Housing Markets and Macroprudential Policies," CESifo Working Paper Series 6887, CESifo.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F44 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Business Cycles
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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