IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wsi/ijitdm/v17y2018i06ns0219622018500293.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Improved Credit Scoring Model Based on Bagging Neural Network

Author

Listed:
  • Adnan Dželihodžić

    (Faculty of Engineering and Natural Sciences, International Burch University, Francuske revolucije bb Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina)

  • Dženana Đonko

    (Faculty of Electrical Engineering, University of Sarajevo, Zmaja od Bosne bb Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina)

  • Jasmin Kevrić

    (Faculty of Engineering and Natural Sciences, International Burch University, Francuske revolucije bb Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina)

Abstract

The problem of nonperforming loans is one of the biggest problems in the banking sector. In order to mitigate this problem, it is necessary to improve the methods of credit risk assessment. One way to minimize credit risk is to improve the assessment of the creditworthiness of the applicant. In order to make a more accurate assessment, many models have been developed using classification techniques. This paper demonstrates the use of classification techniques in the form of a single classifier or in a classifier ensemble setting. We proposed bagging as a model ensemble using artificial neural networks. In the experiment conducted with the Bosnian commercial banks dataset, the proposed model showed promising results according to evaluation criteria, especially after the process of feature selection. Both individual and wrapper feature selection methods were used. Bagging with neural network (NNBag) outperforms commonly used techniques with accuracy improvement from 1% to 5%. The superiority of the proposed model (NNBag) is confirmed on two widely available datasets for assessing creditworthiness. Based on experimental results on three datasets, it is proven that NNBag is suitable for use in the assessment of the creditworthiness of applicants.

Suggested Citation

  • Adnan Dželihodžić & Dženana Đonko & Jasmin Kevrić, 2018. "Improved Credit Scoring Model Based on Bagging Neural Network," International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(06), pages 1725-1741, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:ijitdm:v:17:y:2018:i:06:n:s0219622018500293
    DOI: 10.1142/S0219622018500293
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S0219622018500293
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1142/S0219622018500293?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Malhotra, Rashmi & Malhotra, D. K., 2002. "Differentiating between good credits and bad credits using neuro-fuzzy systems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 136(1), pages 190-211, January.
    2. Wiginton, John C., 1980. "A Note on the Comparison of Logit and Discriminant Models of Consumer Credit Behavior," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(3), pages 757-770, September.
    3. B Baesens & T Van Gestel & S Viaene & M Stepanova & J Suykens & J Vanthienen, 2003. "Benchmarking state-of-the-art classification algorithms for credit scoring," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 54(6), pages 627-635, June.
    4. D. J. Hand & W. E. Henley, 1997. "Statistical Classification Methods in Consumer Credit Scoring: a Review," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 160(3), pages 523-541, September.
    5. Tong, Edward N.C. & Mues, Christophe & Thomas, Lyn C., 2012. "Mixture cure models in credit scoring: If and when borrowers default," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 218(1), pages 132-139.
    6. Lee, Tian-Shyug & Chiu, Chih-Chou & Chou, Yu-Chao & Lu, Chi-Jie, 2006. "Mining the customer credit using classification and regression tree and multivariate adaptive regression splines," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(4), pages 1113-1130, February.
    7. Finlay, Steven, 2011. "Multiple classifier architectures and their application to credit risk assessment," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 210(2), pages 368-378, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Doumpos, Michalis & Zopounidis, Constantin & Gounopoulos, Dimitrios & Platanakis, Emmanouil & Zhang, Wenke, 2023. "Operational research and artificial intelligence methods in banking," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 306(1), pages 1-16.
    2. Pranith Kumar Roy & Krishnendu Shaw, 2021. "A multicriteria credit scoring model for SMEs using hybrid BWM and TOPSIS," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-27, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lessmann, Stefan & Baesens, Bart & Seow, Hsin-Vonn & Thomas, Lyn C., 2015. "Benchmarking state-of-the-art classification algorithms for credit scoring: An update of research," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 247(1), pages 124-136.
    2. Jiang, Cuiqing & Wang, Zhao & Zhao, Huimin, 2019. "A prediction-driven mixture cure model and its application in credit scoring," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 277(1), pages 20-31.
    3. Huei-Wen Teng & Michael Lee, 2019. "Estimation Procedures of Using Five Alternative Machine Learning Methods for Predicting Credit Card Default," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(03), pages 1-27, September.
    4. Bravo, Cristián & Maldonado, Sebastián & Weber, Richard, 2013. "Granting and managing loans for micro-entrepreneurs: New developments and practical experiences," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 227(2), pages 358-366.
    5. Akkoç, Soner, 2012. "An empirical comparison of conventional techniques, neural networks and the three stage hybrid Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) model for credit scoring analysis: The case of Turkish cred," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 168-178.
    6. Dangxing Chen & Weicheng Ye & Jiahui Ye, 2022. "Interpretable Selective Learning in Credit Risk," Papers 2209.10127, arXiv.org.
    7. Richard Chamboko & Jorge M. Bravo, 2016. "On the modelling of prognosis from delinquency to normal performance on retail consumer loans," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 18(4), pages 264-287, December.
    8. Carlos Serrano-Cinca & Begoña Gutiérrez-Nieto & Nydia M. Reyes, 2013. "A Social Approach to Microfinance Credit Scoring," Working Papers CEB 13-013, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    9. Agustin Pérez-Martín & Agustin Pérez-Torregrosa & Alejandro Rabasa & Marta Vaca, 2020. "Feature Selection to Optimize Credit Banking Risk Evaluation Decisions for the Example of Home Equity Loans," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-16, November.
    10. Richard Chamboko & Jorge Miguel Bravo, 2020. "A Multi-State Approach to Modelling Intermediate Events and Multiple Mortgage Loan Outcomes," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-29, June.
    11. Chen, Dangxing & Ye, Jiahui & Ye, Weicheng, 2023. "Interpretable selective learning in credit risk," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    12. Pérez-Martín, A. & Pérez-Torregrosa, A. & Vaca, M., 2018. "Big Data techniques to measure credit banking risk in home equity loans," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 448-454.
    13. L C Thomas, 2010. "Consumer finance: challenges for operational research," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 61(1), pages 41-52, January.
    14. José Willer Prado & Valderí Castro Alcântara & Francisval Melo Carvalho & Kelly Carvalho Vieira & Luiz Kennedy Cruz Machado & Dany Flávio Tonelli, 2016. "Multivariate analysis of credit risk and bankruptcy research data: a bibliometric study involving different knowledge fields (1968–2014)," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 106(3), pages 1007-1029, March.
    15. Kun Liang & Chen Zhang & Cuiqing Jiang, 2022. "Analyzing default risk among P2P platforms based on the LAS-STACK method by considering multidimensional signals under specific economic contexts," Electronic Commerce Research, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 77-111, March.
    16. Hong Wang & Qingsong Xu & Lifeng Zhou, 2015. "Large Unbalanced Credit Scoring Using Lasso-Logistic Regression Ensemble," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(2), pages 1-20, February.
    17. Yu, Lean & Wang, Shouyang & Lai, Kin Keung, 2009. "An intelligent-agent-based fuzzy group decision making model for financial multicriteria decision support: The case of credit scoring," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 195(3), pages 942-959, June.
    18. Dirick, Lore & Claeskens, Gerda & Baesens, Bart, 2015. "An Akaike information criterion for multiple event mixture cure models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 241(2), pages 449-457.
    19. Huseyin Ince & Bora Aktan, 2009. "A comparison of data mining techniques for credit scoring in banking: A managerial perspective," Journal of Business Economics and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(3), pages 233-240, March.
    20. Crone, Sven F. & Finlay, Steven, 2012. "Instance sampling in credit scoring: An empirical study of sample size and balancing," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 224-238.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wsi:ijitdm:v:17:y:2018:i:06:n:s0219622018500293. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Tai Tone Lim (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.worldscinet.com/ijitdm/ijitdm.shtml .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.