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Measuring The Economic Impact Of Climate Change On African Agricultural Production Systems

Author

Listed:
  • CHARLES NHEMACHENA

    (Council for Scientific and Industrial Research, P. O. Box 395 Brummeria Pretoria 0001, South Africa)

  • RASHID HASSAN

    (Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa (CEEPA), University of Pretoria, Department of Agricultural, Economics and Rural Development, Pretoria 0002, South Africa)

  • PRADEEP KURUKULASURIYA

    (Energy and Environment Group/Climate Change Adaptation, United Nations Development Programme, New York, USA)

Abstract

This study measured the economic impacts of climate change on crop and livestock farming in Africa based on a cross-sectional survey of over 8000 farming households from 11 countries in east, west, north and southern Africa. The response of net revenue from crop and livestock agriculture across various farm types and systems in Africa to changes in climate normals (i.e. mean rainfall and temperature) is analysed. The analyses controlled for effects of key socioeconomic, technology, soil and hydrological factors influencing agricultural production. Results show that net farm revenues are in general negatively affected by warmer and drier climates. The small-scale mixed crop and livestock system predominantly typical in Africa is the most tolerant whereas specialized crop production is the most vulnerable to warming and lower rainfall. These results have important policy implications, especially for the suitability of the increasing tendency toward large-scale mono-cropping strategies for agricultural development in Africa and other parts of the developing world in light of expected climate changes. Mixed crop and livestock farming and irrigation offered better adaptation options for farmers against further warming and drying predicted under various future climate scenarios.

Suggested Citation

  • Charles Nhemachena & Rashid Hassan & Pradeep Kurukulasuriya, 2010. "Measuring The Economic Impact Of Climate Change On African Agricultural Production Systems," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 1(01), pages 33-55.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:ccexxx:v:01:y:2010:i:01:n:s2010007810000066
    DOI: 10.1142/S2010007810000066
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jamie Sanderson & Sardar M. N. Islam, 2007. "Climate Change and Economic Development," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, number 978-0-230-59012-0.
    2. Schimmelpfennig, David & Lewandrowski, Jan & Tsigas, Marinos & Parry, Ian, 1996. "Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Change: Issues of Longrun Sustainability," Agricultural Economic Reports 262033, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    3. Strzepek, Kenneth & McCluskey, Alyssa, 2007. "The impacts of climate change on regional water resources and agriculture in Africa," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4290, The World Bank.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kinda Somlanare Romuald, 2017. "Working Paper 286 - Climatic Shocks and Food Security The Role of Foreign Aid," Working Paper Series 2408, African Development Bank.
    2. Saibal Kar & Nimai Das, 2015. "Climate Change, Agricultural Production, and Poverty in India," Economic Studies in Inequality, Social Exclusion, and Well-Being, in: Almas Heshmati & Esfandiar Maasoumi & Guanghua Wan (ed.), Poverty Reduction Policies and Practices in Developing Asia, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 55-76, Springer.
    3. Tran, Nhuong & Shikuku, Kelvin Mashisia & Peart, Jeffrey & Chan, Chin Yee & Chu, Long & Bailey, Conner & Valdivia, Roberto, 2022. "A Review of economic analysis of climate change impacts and adaptation in fisheries and aquaculture," SocArXiv zctxn, Center for Open Science.
    4. Ojo, T.O. & Baiyegunhi, L.J.S., 2020. "Determinants of climate change adaptation strategies and its impact on the net farm income of rice farmers in south-west Nigeria," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    5. Alemu Mekonnen, 2014. "Economic Costs of Climate Change and Climate Finance with a Focus on Africa," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 23(suppl_2), pages 50-82.
    6. Chonabayashi, Shun & Jithitikulchai, Theepakorn & Qu, Yeqing, 2020. "Does agricultural diversification build economic resilience to drought and flood? Evidence from poor households in Zambia," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 15(01), March.
    7. De Salvo, Maria & Raffaelli, Roberta & Moser, Riccarda, 2013. "The impact of climate change on permanent crops in an Alpine region: A Ricardian analysis," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 23-32.
    8. Somlanare Romuald Kinda, 2016. "Climatic shocks and food security: The role of foreign aid," Working Papers hal-01260846, HAL.
    9. Louis Nyahunda, 2024. "Integration of indigenous knowledge systems (IKS) into climate change mitigation and adaptation endeavours: milestones and gaps in South Africa and Zimbabwe’s climate policy frameworks," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 177(11), pages 1-16, November.
    10. Badolo, Felix & Kinda, Somlanare Romuald, 2012. "Climatic shocks and food security in developing countries," MPRA Paper 43006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Nhemachena, Charles & Matchaya, Greenwell & Nhlengethwa, Sibusiso & Nhemachena, C. R., . "Exploring ways to increase public investments in agricultural water management and irrigation for improved agricultural productivity in Southern Africa," Papers published in Journals (Open Access), International Water Management Institute, pages 44(3):474-4.
    12. Jithitikulchai, Theepakorn, 2023. "The effect of climate change and agricultural diversification on the total value of agricultural output of farm households in Sub-Saharan Africa," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 18(2), October.
    13. Mpandeli, S. & Naidoo, D. & Mabhaudhi, T. & Nhemachena, Charles & Nhamo, Luxon & Liphadzi, S. & Hlahla, S. & Modi, A. T., "undated". "Climate change adaptation through the water-energy-food nexus in southern Africa," Papers published in Journals (Open Access) H048960, International Water Management Institute.
    14. Sylvester Mpandeli & Dhesigen Naidoo & Tafadzwanashe Mabhaudhi & Charles Nhemachena & Luxon Nhamo & Stanley Liphadzi & Sithabile Hlahla & Albert T. Modi, 2018. "Climate Change Adaptation through the Water-Energy-Food Nexus in Southern Africa," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-19, October.

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