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Determinants of Priority for Risk Reduction: The Role of Worry

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  • Jonathan Baron
  • John C. Hershey
  • Howard Kunreuther

Abstract

One hundred twenty‐two members (experts) of the Society for Risk Analysis completed a mailed questionnaire and 150 nonexperts completed a similar questionnaire on the World Wide Web. Questions asked included those about priorities on personal and government action for risk reduction, badness of the risk, number of people affected, worry, and probabilities for self and others. Individual differences in mean desire for action were largely explained in terms of worry. Worry, in turn, was largely affected by probability judgments, which were lower for experts than for nonexperts. Differences across risks in the desire for action, within each subject, were also determined largely by worry and probability. Belief in expert knowledge about the risk increased worry and the priority for risk reduction. A second study involving 91 nonexperts (42 interviewed and 49 on the Web) replicated the main findings for nonexperts from the first study. Interviews also probed the determinants of worry, attitudes toward government versus personal control, and protective behaviors.

Suggested Citation

  • Jonathan Baron & John C. Hershey & Howard Kunreuther, 2000. "Determinants of Priority for Risk Reduction: The Role of Worry," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 20(4), pages 413-428, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:20:y:2000:i:4:p:413-428
    DOI: 10.1111/0272-4332.204041
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    1. Barry M. Horowitz & Yacov Y. Haimes, 2003. "Risk‐based methodology for scenario tracking, intelligence gathering, and analysis for countering terrorism," Systems Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 6(3), pages 152-169.
    2. Xiao-Fei Xie & Eric Stone & Rui Zheng & Ruo-Gu Zhang, 2011. "The 'Typhoon Eye Effect’: determinants of distress during the SARS epidemic," Journal of Risk Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(9), pages 1091-1107, October.
    3. Baruch Fischhoff & Wändi Bruine De Bruin & Wendy Perrin & Julie Downs, 2004. "Travel Risks in a Time of Terror: Judgments and Choices," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 24(5), pages 1301-1309, October.
    4. Tilman Brück & Cathérine Müller, 2010. "Comparing the determinants of concern about terrorism and crime," Global Crime, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(1), pages 1-15, February.
    5. Yacov Y. Haimes & Stan Kaplan & James H. Lambert, 2002. "Risk Filtering, Ranking, and Management Framework Using Hierarchical Holographic Modeling," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 22(2), pages 383-397, April.
    6. Larissa Drescher & Janneke Jonge & Ellen Goddard & Thomas Herzfeld, 2012. "Consumer’s stated trust in the food industry and meat purchases," Agriculture and Human Values, Springer;The Agriculture, Food, & Human Values Society (AFHVS), vol. 29(4), pages 507-517, December.
    7. Henry H. Willis & Michael L. DeKay & Baruch Fischhoff & M. Granger Morgan, 2005. "Aggregate, Disaggregate, and Hybrid Analyses of Ecological Risk Perceptions," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 25(2), pages 405-428, April.
    8. Janneke De Jonge & Hans Van Trijp & Reint Jan Renes & Lynn Frewer, 2007. "Understanding Consumer Confidence in the Safety of Food: Its Two‐Dimensional Structure and Determinants," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 27(3), pages 729-740, June.
    9. Vincenzo Galasso & Carlotta Varriale, 2021. "The Effectiveness of Leaders' Public Communication During Covid-19," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 21162, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    10. Jahyun Goo & C. Derrick Huang & Chul Woo Yoo & Chulmo Koo, 2022. "Smart Tourism Technologies’ Ambidexterity: Balancing Tourist’s Worries and Novelty Seeking for Travel Satisfaction," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 24(6), pages 2139-2158, December.
    11. Vincenzo Galasso & Carlotta Varriale, 2021. "The Effectiveness of Leaders' Public Communication During Covid-19," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 21162, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    12. Hanna Freudenreich & Sindu W. Kebede, 2022. "Experience of shocks, household wealth and expectation formation: Evidence from smallholder farmers in Kenya," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 53(5), pages 756-774, September.
    13. Eric R. Stone & Wändi Bruine de Bruin & Abigail M. Wilkins & Emily M. Boker & Jacqueline MacDonald Gibson, 2017. "Designing Graphs to Communicate Risks: Understanding How the Choice of Graphical Format Influences Decision Making," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(4), pages 612-628, April.
    14. Yue Ge & Walter Gillis Peacock & Michael K. Lindell, 2011. "Florida Households’ Expected Responses to Hurricane Hazard Mitigation Incentives," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(10), pages 1676-1691, October.
    15. Dirk Grasmück & Roland W. Scholz, 2005. "Risk Perception of Heavy Metal Soil Contamination by High‐Exposed and Low‐Exposed Inhabitants: The Role of Knowledge and Emotional Concerns," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 25(3), pages 611-622, June.
    16. Howard Kunreuther & Geoffrey Heal, 2002. "Interdependent Security: The Case of Identical Agents," NBER Working Papers 8871, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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