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Establishing Reliability Goals for Naval Major‐Caliber Ammunition

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  • Michael P. Bailey
  • Marcelo C. Bartroli
  • Keebom Kang
  • Alexander J. Callahan

Abstract

We describe a decision process for establishing the threshold reliabilities for components of naval major‐caliber ammunition. We present a measure of reliability performance, called ef*, which relates directly to the weapons system's performance in a naval gunfire support environment. We use a simulation model to establish this relationship, a regression metamodel to estimate its parameters, and a simple decision process to specify component reliability thresholds which ensure that the ammunition is mission effective. We present this article as an example of the integration of discrete event dynamic system analysis within a decision process. © 1992 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael P. Bailey & Marcelo C. Bartroli & Keebom Kang & Alexander J. Callahan, 1992. "Establishing Reliability Goals for Naval Major‐Caliber Ammunition," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(7), pages 877-892, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:navres:v:39:y:1992:i:7:p:877-892
    DOI: 10.1002/1520-6750(199212)39:73.0.CO;2-D
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. J. G. Shanthikumar & R. G. Sargent, 1983. "A Unifying View of Hybrid Simulation/Analytic Models and Modeling," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 31(6), pages 1030-1052, December.
    2. S. S. Lavenberg & P. D. Welch, 1981. "A Perspective on the Use of Control Variables to Increase the Efficiency of Monte Carlo Simulations," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 27(3), pages 322-335, March.
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