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Net buying pressure, volatility smile, and abnormal profit of Hang Seng Index options

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  • Kam C. Chan
  • Louis T. W. Cheng
  • Peter P. Lung

Abstract

We use the net buying pressure hypothesis of N. P. B. Bollen and R. Whaley (2004) to examine the implied volatilities, options premiums, and options trading profits at various time‐intervals across five different moneyness categories of Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI) options. The results show that the hypothesis can well describe the newly developed Hong Kong index options markets. The abnormal trading profits by selling out‐of‐the‐money puts with delta hedge are statistically and economically significant across all options maturities. The findings are robust with or without outlier adjustment. Moreover, we provide two insights about the hypothesis. First, net buying pressure is attributed to hedging activities. Second, the net buying pressure on calls is much weaker than that on put options. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 24:1165–1194, 2004

Suggested Citation

  • Kam C. Chan & Louis T. W. Cheng & Peter P. Lung, 2004. "Net buying pressure, volatility smile, and abnormal profit of Hang Seng Index options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(12), pages 1165-1194, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:24:y:2004:i:12:p:1165-1194
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    Cited by:

    1. Sonali Jain & Jayanth R. Varma & Sobhesh Kumar Agarwalla, 2019. "Indian equity options: Smile, risk premiums, and efficiency," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 150-163, February.
    2. Chen, Jing & Han, Qian & Ryu, Doojin & Tang, Jing, 2022. "Does the world smile together? A network analysis of global index option implied volatilities," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    3. Doojin Ryu & Doowon Ryu & Heejin Yang, 2021. "The impact of net buying pressure on index options prices," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 27-45, January.
    4. Qian Han & Jufang Liang & Boqiang Wu, 2016. "Cross Economic Determinants of Implied Volatility Smile Dynamics: Three Major European Currency Options," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 22(5), pages 817-852, November.
    5. Alexander, Carol & Deng, Jun & Feng, Jianfen & Wan, Huning, 2023. "Net buying pressure and the information in bitcoin option trades," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    6. Chan, Kam C. & Chang, Yuanchen & Lung, Peter P., 2009. "Informed trading under different market conditions and moneyness: Evidence from TXO options," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 189-208, April.
    7. Carol Alexander & Jun Deng & Jianfen Feng & Huning Wan, 2021. "Net Buying Pressure and the Information in Bitcoin Option Trades," Papers 2109.02776, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2022.
    8. Sobhesh Kumar Agarwalla & Sumit Saurav & Jayanth R. Varma, 2022. "Lottery and bubble stocks and the cross‐section of option‐implied tail risks," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 231-249, February.
    9. Elyas Elyasiani & Silvia Muzzioli & Alessio Ruggieri, 2016. "Forecasting and pricing powers of option-implied tree models: Tranquil and volatile market conditions," Department of Economics 0099, University of Modena and Reggio E., Faculty of Economics "Marco Biagi".
    10. Stoyu I. Ivanov & Jeff Whitworth & Yi Zhang, 2011. "The Implied Volatility Of Etf And Index Options," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 5(4), pages 35-44.
    11. Lockwood, Jimmy & Lockwood, Larry & Miao, Hong & Ramchander, Sanjay & Yang, Dongxiao, 2022. "The information content of ETF options," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    12. Kam C. Chan & Carl R. Chen & Peter P. Lung, 2010. "Business Cycles and Net Buying Pressure in the S&P 500 Futures Options," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 16(4), pages 624-657, September.
    13. Kam C. Chan & Louis T. W. Cheng & Peter P. Lung, 2006. "Testing The Net Buying Pressure Hypothesis During The Asian Financial Crisis: Evidence From Hang Seng Index Options," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 29(1), pages 43-62, March.

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