Directional news impact curve
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1002/for.2708
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Frazier, David T. & Liu, Xiaochun, 2016. "A new approach to risk-return trade-off dynamics via decomposition," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 43-55.
- Anatolyev, Stanislav & Gerko, Alexander, 2005. "A Trading Approach to Testing for Predictability," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 23, pages 455-461, October.
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2006.
"Financial Asset Returns, Direction-of-Change Forecasting, and Volatility Dynamics,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(8), pages 1273-1287, August.
- Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 2003. "Financial asset returns, direction-of-change forecasting, and volatility dynamics," CFS Working Paper Series 2004/08, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2003. "Financial Asset Returns, Direction-of-Change Forecasting, and Volatility Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 10009, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X.Diebold, 2003. "Financial Asset Returns, Direction-of-Change Forecasting, and Volatility Dynamics," PIER Working Paper Archive 04-009, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Ernst R. Berndt & Bronwyn H. Hall & Robert E. Hall & Jerry A. Hausman, 1974. "Estimation and Inference in Nonlinear Structural Models," NBER Chapters, in: Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 3, number 4, pages 653-665, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Stanislav Anatolyev & Nikolay Gospodinov, 2019.
"Multivariate Return Decomposition: Theory and Implications,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(5), pages 487-508, May.
- Stanislav Anatolyev & Nikolay Gospodinov, 2015. "Multivariate return decomposition: theory and implications," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2015-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Anatolyev, Stanislav & Gospodinov, Nikolay, 2010. "Modeling Financial Return Dynamics via Decomposition," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 28(2), pages 232-245.
- Engle, Robert F & Ng, Victor K, 1993.
"Measuring and Testing the Impact of News on Volatility,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(5), pages 1749-1778, December.
- Robert F. Engle & Victor K. Ng, 1991. "Measuring and Testing the Impact of News on Volatility," NBER Working Papers 3681, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Nyberg, Henri, 2013. "Predicting bear and bull stock markets with dynamic binary time series models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(9), pages 3351-3363.
- Andrew Skabar, 2013. "Direction‐of‐Change Financial Time Series Forecasting using a Similarity‐Based Classification Model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(5), pages 409-422, August.
- Linton, O. & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2007. "The quantilogram: With an application to evaluating directional predictability," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(1), pages 250-282, November.
- Anatolyev, Stanislav & Baruník, Jozef, 2019.
"Forecasting dynamic return distributions based on ordered binary choice,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 823-835.
- Stanislav Anatolyev & Jozef Barunik, 2017. "Forecasting dynamic return distributions based on ordered binary choice," Papers 1711.05681, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2019.
- Anatolyev, Stanislav & Gospodinov, Nikolay & Jamali, Ibrahim & Liu, Xiaochun, 2017. "Foreign exchange predictability and the carry trade: A decomposition approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 199-211.
- Nyberg, Henri, 2014. "A Bivariate Autoregressive Probit Model: Business Cycle Linkages And Transmission Of Recession Probabilities," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(4), pages 838-862, June.
- James W. Taylor & Keming Yu, 2016. "Using auto-regressive logit models to forecast the exceedance probability for financial risk management," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 179(4), pages 1069-1092, October.
- Anatolyev Stanislav, 2009. "Multi-Market Direction-of-Change Modeling Using Dependence Ratios," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 13(1), pages 1-24, March.
- Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2013. "Generalized Autoregressive Score Models With Applications," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(5), pages 777-795, August.
- Stanislav Anatolyev & Anton Petukhov, 2016. "Uncovering the Skewness News Impact Curve," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(4), pages 746-771.
- Gallant, A. Ronald, 1981. "On the bias in flexible functional forms and an essentially unbiased form : The fourier flexible form," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 211-245, February.
- Liu, Xiaochun & Luger, Richard, 2015. "Unfolded GARCH models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 186-217.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Nyberg, Henri & Pönkä, Harri, 2016.
"International sign predictability of stock returns: The role of the United States,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 323-338.
- Henri Nyberg & Harri Pönkä, 2015. "International Sign Predictability of Stock Returns: The Role of the United States," CREATES Research Papers 2015-20, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Stanislav Anatolyev & Natalia Kryzhanovskaya, 2009.
"Directional Prediction of Returns under Asymmetric Loss: Direct and Indirect Approaches,"
Working Papers
w0136, New Economic School (NES).
- Stanislav Anatolyev & Natalia Kryzhanovskaya, 2009. "Directional Prediction of Returns under Asymmetric Loss: Direct and Indirect Approaches," Working Papers w0136, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR).
- Luis H. R. Alvarez E. & Paavo Salminen, 2017.
"Timing in the presence of directional predictability: optimal stopping of skew Brownian motion,"
Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 86(2), pages 377-400, October.
- Luis H. R. Alvarez E. & Paavo Salminen, 2016. "Timing in the Presence of Directional Predictability: Optimal Stopping of Skew Brownian Motion," Papers 1608.04537, arXiv.org.
- Stanislav Anatolyev & Nikolay Gospodinov, 2019.
"Multivariate Return Decomposition: Theory and Implications,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(5), pages 487-508, May.
- Stanislav Anatolyev & Nikolay Gospodinov, 2015. "Multivariate return decomposition: theory and implications," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2015-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Liu, Xiaochun, 2017. "Unfolded risk-return trade-offs and links to Macroeconomic Dynamics," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 1-19.
- Chen, Nan-Kuang & Chen, Shiu-Sheng & Chou, Yu-Hsi, 2017.
"Further evidence on bear market predictability: The role of the external finance premium,"
International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 106-121.
- Chen, Nan-Kuang & Chen, Shiu-Sheng & Chou, Yu-Hsi, 2013. "Further evidence on bear market predictability: The role of the external finance premium," MPRA Paper 49093, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Harri Pönkä, 2017.
"Predicting the direction of US stock markets using industry returns,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 52(4), pages 1451-1480, June.
- Pönkä, Harri, 2014. "Predicting the direction of US stock markets using industry returns," MPRA Paper 62942, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Stanislav Anatolyev & Nikolay Gospodinov, 2007.
"Modeling Financial Return Dynamics by Decomposition,"
Working Papers
w0095, New Economic School (NES).
- Stanislav Anatolyev & Nikolay Gospodinov, 2007. "Modeling Financial Return Dynamics by Decomposition," Working Papers w0095, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR).
- Bruno Spilak & Wolfgang Karl Hardle, 2020. "Tail-risk protection: Machine Learning meets modern Econometrics," Papers 2010.03315, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
- Anatolyev, Stanislav & Baruník, Jozef, 2019.
"Forecasting dynamic return distributions based on ordered binary choice,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 823-835.
- Stanislav Anatolyev & Jozef Barunik, 2017. "Forecasting dynamic return distributions based on ordered binary choice," Papers 1711.05681, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2019.
- Bruno Spilak & Wolfgang Karl Härdle, 2022.
"Tail-Risk Protection: Machine Learning Meets Modern Econometrics,"
Springer Books, in: Cheng-Few Lee & Alice C. Lee (ed.), Encyclopedia of Finance, edition 0, chapter 92, pages 2177-2211,
Springer.
- Spilak, Bruno & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2020. "Tail-risk protection: Machine Learning meets modern Econometrics," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2020-015, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
- Liu, Xiaochun, 2017. "Can macroeconomic dynamics explain the time variation of risk–return trade-offs in the U.S. financial market?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 275-293.
- James W. Taylor & Keming Yu, 2016. "Using auto-regressive logit models to forecast the exceedance probability for financial risk management," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 179(4), pages 1069-1092, October.
- León, Ángel & Ñíguez, Trino-Manuel, 2021. "The transformed Gram Charlier distribution: Parametric properties and financial risk applications," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 323-349.
- Charles, Amélie, 2010.
"The day-of-the-week effects on the volatility: The role of the asymmetry,"
European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 202(1), pages 143-152, April.
- Amélie Charles, 2010. "The day-of-the week effects on the volatility: The role of the asymmetry," Post-Print hal-00771136, HAL.
- Leopoldo Catania & Stefano Grassi, 2017. "Modelling Crypto-Currencies Financial Time-Series," CEIS Research Paper 417, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 11 Dec 2017.
- Ender Su & John Bilson, 2011. "Trading asymmetric trend and volatility by leverage trend GARCH in Taiwan stock index," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(26), pages 3891-3905.
- Catania, Leopoldo & Proietti, Tommaso, 2020.
"Forecasting volatility with time-varying leverage and volatility of volatility effects,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1301-1317.
- Leopoldo Catania & Tommaso Proietti, 2019. "Forecasting Volatility with Time-Varying Leverage and Volatility of Volatility Effects," CEIS Research Paper 450, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 06 Feb 2019.
- Koutmos, Gregory, 1998. "Asymmetries in the Conditional Mean and the Conditional Variance: Evidence From Nine Stock Markets," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 277-290, May.
- de Goeij, Peter & Marquering, Wessel, 2009. "Stock and bond market interactions with level and asymmetry dynamics: An out-of-sample application," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 318-329, March.
Corrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:jforec:v:40:y:2021:i:1:p:94-107. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/cgi-bin/jhome/2966 .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.