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Economic impact of the most drastic lockdown during COVID‐19 pandemic—The experience of Hubei, China

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  • Xiao Ke
  • Cheng Hsiao

Abstract

This paper uses a panel data approach to assess the evolution of economic consequences of the drastic lockdown policy in the epicenter of COVID‐19—the Hubei Province of China during worldwide curbs on economic activity. We find that the drastic 76‐day COVID‐19 lockdown policy brought huge negative impacts on Hubei's economy. In 2020:q1, the lockdown quarter, the treatment effect on GDP was about 37% of the counterfactual. However, the drastic lockdown also brought the spread of COVID‐19 under control in little more than two months. After the government lifted the lockdown in early April, the economy quickly recovered with the exception of passenger transportation sector which rebounded not as quickly as the rest of the general economy.

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  • Xiao Ke & Cheng Hsiao, 2022. "Economic impact of the most drastic lockdown during COVID‐19 pandemic—The experience of Hubei, China," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(1), pages 187-209, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:japmet:v:37:y:2022:i:1:p:187-209
    DOI: 10.1002/jae.2871
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    2. González, Marta Ramos & Ureña, Antonio Partal & Fernández-Aguado, Pilar Gómez, 2023. "Forecasting for regulatory credit loss derived from the COVID-19 pandemic: A machine learning approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    3. Deng, Yongheng & Meng, Lina & Zhou, Yinggang, 2022. "The effectiveness and costs of nonpharmaceutical interventions for COVID-19 containment: A border discontinuous difference-in-difference approach," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    4. Yahya, Habeeb, 2023. "The role of ESG performance in firms' resilience during the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from Nordic firms," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).

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