IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/ijfiec/v29y2024i1p465-485.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Stock returns, government response strategies, and daily new case bursts during COVID‐19: A cross‐country perspective

Author

Listed:
  • Bilal
  • Adeel Nasir
  • Umar Farooq
  • Muhammad Farhan Bashir

Abstract

The purpose of the current research is to examine the influence of COVID‐19 pandemic related governmental policies and the bursts (e.g., drastic increases in cases during certain periods) of COVID‐19 cases on the abnormal returns of 725 hospitality and entertainment companies from the United States (US), China, the United Kingdom (UK), India, Thailand, Turkey, Mexico, and France. The study uses daily data from January 1, 2020, to November 20, 2021 and event study methodology. Our results offer the following insights. First, the response in the early days of COVID‐19 was negative for both the hospitality and entertainment sectors. Second, regarding government response strategies: (1) announcements of stimulus packages negatively affected China's entertainment and the UK's hospitality and entertainment sectors, but positively impacted the US's hospitality sector; (2) lockdown announcements adversely affected abnormal returns only in the US's hospitality and entertainment sectors; and (3) travel restrictions affected the US hospitality and Chinese and Indian entertainment sectors in the early stages of the pandemic. Third, regarding COVID‐19 case bursts, the results showed more negative abnormal returns during the first burst in the developed countries compared to undeveloped countries, while in the second burst, investors reacted more rationally, resulting in less negative abnormal returns. Conversely, more negative abnormal returns were found in the second bursts in India and Turkey. We conclude that COVID‐19's impact differed between developed and developing countries. Our findings suggest that investors should consider these differential effects when devising their portfolio strategies during COVID‐19 or the similar situations.

Suggested Citation

  • Bilal & Adeel Nasir & Umar Farooq & Muhammad Farhan Bashir, 2024. "Stock returns, government response strategies, and daily new case bursts during COVID‐19: A cross‐country perspective," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 465-485, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:ijfiec:v:29:y:2024:i:1:p:465-485
    DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.2694
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.2694
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/ijfe.2694?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hsiao-I Kuo & Chia-Lin Chang & Bing-Wen Huang & Chi-Chung Chen & Michael McAleer, 2009. "Estimating the Impact of Avian Flu on International Tourism Demand Using Panel Data," Tourism Economics, , vol. 15(3), pages 501-511, September.
    2. Karabulut, Gokhan & Bilgin, Mehmet Huseyin & Demir, Ender & Doker, Asli Cansin, 2020. "How pandemics affect tourism: International evidence," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    3. Liew, Venus Khim-Sen, 2020. "The effect of novel coronavirus pandemic on tourism share prices," MPRA Paper 107985, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    5. Sharma, Abhinav & Nicolau, Juan Luis, 2020. "An open market valuation of the effects of COVID-19 on the travel and tourism industry," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    6. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Liu, Guangqiang, 2021. "COVID-19 lockdowns, stimulus packages, travel bans, and stock returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    7. Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter, 2020. "Stock market oscillations during the corona crash: The role of fear and uncertainty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    8. Alan Siu & Y. C. Richard Wong, 2004. "Economic Impact of SARS: The Case of Hong Kong," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 3(1), pages 62-83.
    9. Donadelli, Michael & Kizys, Renatas & Riedel, Max, 2017. "Dangerous infectious diseases: Bad news for Main Street, good news for Wall Street?," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 84-103.
    10. Umar Farooq & Adeel Nasir & Bilal & Muhammad Farhan Bashir, 2022. "The COVID-19 pandemic and stock market performance of transportation and travel services firms: a cross-country study," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(1), pages 6867-6883, December.
    11. Sigala, Marianna, 2020. "Tourism and COVID-19: Impacts and implications for advancing and resetting industry and research," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 312-321.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xi Wu & Adam Blake, 2023. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Crisis on Air Travel Demand: Some Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(1), pages 21582440231, January.
    2. Fotiadis, Anestis & Polyzos, Stathis & Huan, Tzung-Cheng T.C., 2021. "The good, the bad and the ugly on COVID-19 tourism recovery," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    3. Aziz Ullah & He Biao & Assad Ullah, 2024. "Unveiling the Nexus Between Crises, Investor Sentiment, and Volatility of Tourism-Related Stocks: Empirical Findings From Pakistan," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(3), pages 21582440241, August.
    4. Kok Jun Tan & Mohd Edil Abd Sukor, 2023. "The Effects of Lockdown, Economic Stimulus Packages and National Recovery Plan Announcements on the Malaysian Stock Market," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 31(1), pages 73-84.
    5. Anna Tokarz-Kocik & Anna Bera & Karolina Drela & Agnieszka Malkowska, 2023. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Labour Market in the Hotel Industry: Selected Conditions in Poland," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-15, March.
    6. Guizzardi, Andrea & Ballestra, Luca Vincenzo & D'Innocenzo, Enzo, 2022. "Hotel dynamic pricing, stochastic demand and covid-19," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    7. Theodoros Daglis & Ioannis G. Melissaropoulos & Konstantinos N. Konstantakis & Panayotis G. Michaelides, 2022. "The impact of COVID-19 on global stock markets: early linear and non-linear evidence for Italy," Evolutionary and Institutional Economics Review, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 485-495, April.
    8. Nicolau, Juan Luis & Sharma, Abhinav, 2022. "A review of research into drivers of firm value through event studies in tourism and hospitality: Launching the Annals of Tourism Research curated collection on drivers of firm value through event stu," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    9. Davide Provenzano & Serena Volo, 2022. "Tourism recovery amid COVID-19: The case of Lombardy, Italy," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(1), pages 110-130, February.
    10. Dong, Yunhe & Luo, Haoyi & Xu, Zijin & Yang, Xing, 2024. "Cash, crisis, and capers: The UK's cashbox policy during COVID-19," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    11. Cakici, Nusret & Zaremba, Adam, 2021. "Who should be afraid of infections? Pandemic exposure and the cross-section of stock returns," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    12. Md. Mazharul Islam & Majed Alharthi, 2022. "Impact of COVID-19 on the Quality of Life of Households in Saudi Arabia," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(3), pages 1-22, January.
    13. Yang, Yang & Zhang, Carol X. & Rickly, Jillian M., 2021. "A review of early COVID-19 research in tourism: Launching the Annals of Tourism Research's Curated Collection on coronavirus and tourism1," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    14. Jong, Meng-Chang, 2020. "Empirical Review on Tourism Demand and COVID-19," MPRA Paper 103919, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Lucie Plzáková & Egon Smeral, 2022. "Impact of the COVID-19 crisis on European tourism," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(1), pages 91-109, February.
    16. Piñeiro-Chousa, Juan & López-Cabarcos, M. Ángeles & Quiñoá-Piñeiro, Lara & Pérez-Pico, Ada M., 2022. "US biopharmaceutical companies' stock market reaction to the COVID-19 pandemic. Understanding the concept of the ‘paradoxical spiral’ from a sustainability perspective," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    17. Ying Wang & Hongwei Zhang & Wang Gao & Cai Yang, 2023. "Spillover effects from news to travel and leisure stocks during the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from the time and frequency domains," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(2), pages 460-487, March.
    18. Wenmin Wu & Chien-Chiang Lee & Wenwu Xing & Shan-Ju Ho, 2021. "The impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on Chinese-listed tourism stocks," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-18, December.
    19. Martin Falk & Eva Hagsten & Xiang Lin, 2023. "Uneven domestic tourism demand in times of pandemic," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(3), pages 596-611, May.
    20. Andreea Orîndaru & Maria-Floriana Popescu & Alina Petronela Alexoaei & Ștefan-Claudiu Căescu & Margareta Stela Florescu & Anca-Olguța Orzan, 2021. "Tourism in a Post-COVID-19 Era: Sustainable Strategies for Industry’s Recovery," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-22, June.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:ijfiec:v:29:y:2024:i:1:p:465-485. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.interscience.wiley.com/jpages/1076-9307/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.