IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/107985.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The effect of novel coronavirus pandemic on tourism share prices

Author

Listed:
  • Liew, Venus Khim-Sen

Abstract

This paper aims to provide swift feedback to readers and investors on the early effect of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic outbreak on tourism industry. Three leading consolidators of hotel accommodations, airline tickets and travel services in the tourism industry around the globe, namely Booking Holdings Inc., Expedia Group and Trip.com Group Ltd. are chosen in this study. First, numerical description is performed on their shares prices and a set of control variables, to compare their performances before and during the lockdown due to COVID-19 outbreak. Next, this paper estimates OLS models with and without General AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (EGARCH) specification to establish the nature, significance and magnitude of the pandemic early effect on the shares performance of these online travel companies. This paper discovers a rapid decline in the performance of tourism industry amid the pandemic outbreak, from the perspective of three leading online travel companies, which derive their profits from tourists by providing them online hotel reservation, air-ticketing and packaged-tour business services around the globe. This significant adverse direct and indirect effects testify that tourism related businesses are extensively locked down by the pandemic outbreak. Future studies are encouraged to examine each of the tourism sectors for individual effects. This paper provides implications for investors to protect their wealth, and for policy makers to ensure sustainability of tourism industry in the pandemic outbreak and in the future. From the perspective of corporate finance, this paper empirically quantifies the early effect of COVID-19 on tourism industry for a quick snapshot.

Suggested Citation

  • Liew, Venus Khim-Sen, 2020. "The effect of novel coronavirus pandemic on tourism share prices," MPRA Paper 107985, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:107985
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/107985/1/MPRA_paper_107985.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Venus Khim-Sen Liew, 2004. "Which Lag Length Selection Criteria Should We Employ?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 3(33), pages 1-9.
    2. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
    3. Nelson, Daniel B, 1991. "Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 347-370, March.
    4. Chia, Ricky Chee-Jiun & Liew, Venus Khim-Sen & Rowland, Racquel, 2020. "Daily New Covid-19 Cases, The Movement Control Order, and Malaysian Stock Market Returns," MPRA Paper 107988, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Claudiu Albulescu, 2020. "Coronavirus and financial volatility: 40 days of fasting and fear," Papers 2003.04005, arXiv.org.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yaghoub Abdi & Xiaoni Li & Xavier Càmara-Turull, 2023. "Firm value in the airline industry: perspectives on the impact of sustainability and Covid-19," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-24, December.
    2. Liew, Venus Khim-Sen, 2021. "Impact Of Wuhan Lockdown In Early Stage Of Covid-19 Outbreak On Sector Returns In Chinese Stock Market," MPRA Paper 107944, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Nazarova, V. & Churakova, I. & Suvorova, M., 2024. "The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Russian stock market," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 63(2), pages 117-143.
    4. Yaghoub Abdi & Xiaoni Li & Xavier Càmara-Turull, 2020. "Impact of Sustainability on Firm Value and Financial Performance in the Air Transport Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-23, November.
    5. Yang, Yang & Fan, Yawen & Jiang, Lan & Liu, Xiaohui, 2022. "Search query and tourism forecasting during the pandemic: When and where can digital footprints be helpful as predictors?," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    6. Bouarar, Ahmed Chemseddine & Mouloudj, Kamel & Mouloudj, Smail, 2020. "The impact of coronavirus on tourism sector - an analytical study," MPRA Paper 107784, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 Sep 2020.
    7. Emrah Koçak & Tarik Dogru & Khurram Shehzad & Umit Bulut, 2023. "The economic implications of the COVID-19 outbreak on tourism industry: Empirical evidence from Turkey," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(3), pages 742-758, May.
    8. Ying Wang & Hongwei Zhang & Wang Gao & Cai Yang, 2023. "Spillover effects from news to travel and leisure stocks during the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from the time and frequency domains," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(2), pages 460-487, March.
    9. Emrah Koçak & Umit Bulut & Angeliki N. Menegaki, 2022. "The resilience of green firms in the twirl of COVID‐19: Evidence from S&P500 Carbon Efficiency Index with a Fourier approach," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 32-45, January.
    10. Bilal & Adeel Nasir & Umar Farooq & Muhammad Farhan Bashir, 2024. "Stock returns, government response strategies, and daily new case bursts during COVID‐19: A cross‐country perspective," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 465-485, January.
    11. Faik Bilgili & Emrah Koçak & Sevda Kuşkaya, 2023. "Dynamics and Co-movements Between the COVID-19 Outbreak and the Stock Market in Latin American Countries: An Evaluation Based on the Wavelet-Partial Wavelet Coherence Model," Evaluation Review, , vol. 47(4), pages 630-652, August.
    12. Md. Mazharul Islam & Majed Alharthi, 2022. "Impact of COVID-19 on the Quality of Life of Households in Saudi Arabia," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(3), pages 1-22, January.
    13. Jong, Meng-Chang & Soh, Ann-Ni, 2021. "Responsible Recovery from COVID-19: An Empirical Overview of Tourism Industry," MPRA Paper 107661, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Jong, Meng-Chang, 2020. "Empirical Review on Tourism Demand and COVID-19," MPRA Paper 103919, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Thampanya, Natthinee & Wu, Junjie & Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Liu, Jia, 2020. "Fundamental and behavioural determinants of stock return volatility in ASEAN-5 countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    2. Grigori Fainstein & Igor Novikov, 2011. "The Comparative Analysis of Credit Risk Determinants In the Banking Sector of the Baltic States," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 1, pages 20-45, June.
    3. Garg, Bhavesh & Prabheesh, K.P., 2021. "Testing the intertemporal sustainability of current account in the presence of endogenous structural breaks: Evidence from the top deficit countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 365-379.
    4. Jung, Young Cheol & Das, Anupam & McFarlane, Adian, 2020. "The asymmetric relationship between the oil price and the US-Canada exchange rate," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 198-206.
    5. Francesco Guidi, 2009. "Volatility and Long-Term Relations in Equity Markets: Empirical Evidence from Germany, Switzerland, and the UK," The IUP Journal of Financial Economics, IUP Publications, vol. 0(2), pages 7-39, June.
    6. Gupta, Rakesh & Haddad, Sama & Selvanathan, E.A., 2024. "Global power and Stock market co-movements: A study of G20 markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    7. Syriopoulos, Theodore, 2006. "Risk and return implications from investing in emerging European stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 283-299, July.
    8. Ebenezer, Appiah Collins & Jatoe, John Baptist D. & Mensa-Bonsu, Akwasi, 2018. "Food Price Sensitivity To Changes In Petroleum Price And Exchange Rate In Ghana: A Cointegration Analysis," 2018 Conference (2nd), August 8-11, Kumasi, Ghana 277791, Ghana Association of Agricultural Economists.
    9. Sok Heng Lay & Makoto Kakinaka & Koji Kotani, 2010. "Exchange Rate Movements in a Dollarized Economy: The Case of Cambodia," Working Papers EMS_2010_18, Research Institute, International University of Japan.
    10. Asongu, Simplice, 2014. "Real Effective Exchange Rate Imbalances and Macroeconomic Adjustments: evidence from the CEMAC zone," MPRA Paper 63154, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. PIERRET, Diane, 2013. "The systemic risk of energy markets," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2013018, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    12. Nikitas Niarchos & Yiuman Tse & Chunchi Wu & Allan Young, 1999. "International Transmission of Information: A Study of the Relationship Between the U.S. and Greek Stock Markets," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 3(1), pages 19-40, March.
    13. Filippo COSSETTI & Francesco GUIDI, 2009. "ECB Monetary Policy and Term Structure of Interest Rates in the Euro Area: an Empirical Analysis," Working Papers 334, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
    14. Ali, Mohsin & Alam, Nafis & Rizvi, Syed Aun R., 2020. "Coronavirus (COVID-19) — An epidemic or pandemic for financial markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    15. Hasanov, Akram Shavkatovich & Do, Hung Xuan & Shaiban, Mohammed Sharaf, 2016. "Fossil fuel price uncertainty and feedstock edible oil prices: Evidence from MGARCH-M and VIRF analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 16-27.
    16. Asmamaw Mulusew & Mingyong Hong, 2024. "A dynamic linkage between greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and agricultural productivity: evidence from Ethiopia," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-17, December.
    17. Kwadwo Boateng Prempeh & Joseph Magnus Frimpong & Newman Amaning, 2023. "Determining the return volatility of the Ghana stock exchange before and during the COVID-19 pandemic using the exponential GARCH model," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 1-20, January.
    18. Tse, Yiuman, 1998. "International transmission of information: evidence from the Euroyen and Eurodollar futures markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(6), pages 909-929, December.
    19. Muhammad Khalid Anser & Muhammad Azhar Khan & Khalid Zaman & Abdelmohsen A. Nassani & Sameh E. Askar & Muhammad Moinuddin Qazi Abro & Ahmad Kabbani, 2021. "Financial development during COVID-19 pandemic: the role of coronavirus testing and functional labs," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-13, December.
    20. Komain JIRANYAKUL, 2017. "The Response of Industrial Production to the Price of Oil: New Evidence for Thailand," Turkish Economic Review, KSP Journals, vol. 4(2), pages 193-204, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    coronavirus pandemic; COVID-19; tourism; share prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:107985. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.