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Restoring democratic stability: A backcasting wheel approach

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  • Rick Szostak

Abstract

This paper performs a backcasting wheel analysis of the issue of democratic backsliding. It identifies an interacting set of proximate causes of democratic backsliding, and then a set of complementary strategies for addressing the root causes of each of these. It takes an interdisciplinary systems‐based approach throughout. The paper is grounded in an extensive survey of several literatures in multiple disciplines. It shows how the backcasting wheel complements other methods employed in anticipation and future studies more generally.

Suggested Citation

  • Rick Szostak, 2024. "Restoring democratic stability: A backcasting wheel approach," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 6(3), September.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:fufsci:v:6:y:2024:i:3:n:e180
    DOI: 10.1002/ffo2.180
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Tina Eliassi-Rad & Henry Farrell & David Garcia & Stephan Lewandowsky & Patricia Palacios & Don Ross & Didier Sornette & Karim Thébault & Karoline Wiesner, 2020. "What science can do for democracy: a complexity science approach," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 7(1), pages 1-4, December.
    2. Alessandro Fergnani & Thomas J. Chermack, 2021. "The resistance to scientific theory in futures and foresight, and what to do about it," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 3(3-4), September.
    3. Kristian Skånberg & Åsa Svenfelt, 2022. "Expanding the IPAT identity to quantify backcasting sustainability scenarios," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 4(2), June.
    4. Kerstin E. Cuhls, 2020. "Horizon Scanning in Foresight – Why Horizon Scanning is only a part of the game," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2(1), March.
    5. Mark Fenton‐O'Creevy & David Tuckett, 2022. "Selecting futures: The role of conviction, narratives, ambivalence, and constructive doubt," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 4(3-4), September.
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