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Earnings Quality and the Equity Risk Premium: A Benchmark Model

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  • Kenton K. Yee

Abstract

This paper solves a model that links earnings quality to the equity risk premium in an infinite†horizon consumption capital asset pricing model (CAPM) economy. In the model, risk†averse traders hold diversified portfolios consisting of risk†free bonds and shares of many risky firms. When constructing their portfolios, traders rely on noisy reported earnings and dividend payments for information about the risky firms. The main new element of the model is an explicit representation of earnings quality that includes hidden accrual errors that reverse in subsequent periods. The model demonstrates that earnings quality magnifies fundamental risk. Absent fundamental risk, poor earnings quality cannot affect the equity risk premium. Moreover, only the systematic (undiversified) component of earnings†quality risk contributes to the equity risk premium. In contrast, all components of earnings†quality risk affect earnings capitalization factors. The model ties together consumption CAPM and accounting†based valuation research into one price formula linking earnings quality to the equity risk premium and earnings capitalization factors.

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  • Kenton K. Yee, 2006. "Earnings Quality and the Equity Risk Premium: A Benchmark Model," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 23(3), pages 833-877, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:coacre:v:23:y:2006:i:3:p:833-877
    DOI: 10.1506/8M44-W1DG-PLG4-8E0M
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    1. repec:kap:iaecre:v:17:y:2011:i:2:p:169-180 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Lijuan Zhang & Mark Wilson, 2018. "Does the accruals quality premium arise from information risk?," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 58(2), pages 599-632, June.
    3. Pietro Perotti & Alfred Wagenhofer, 2014. "Earnings Quality Measures and Excess Returns," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(5-6), pages 545-571, June.
    4. Carmelo Reverte, 2012. "The Impact of Better Corporate Social Responsibility Disclosure on the Cost of Equity Capital," Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 19(5), pages 253-272, September.
    5. Heeho Kim, 2013. "Uncertainty and risk premium puzzle," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 37(1), pages 62-79, January.
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    7. Sandeep Goel, 2016. "Quality Accounting in Indian Pharmaceutical Companies: A Review," Oblik i finansi, Institute of Accounting and Finance, issue 4, pages 16-24, December.
    8. Guo, Liang, 2013. "Determinants of credit spreads: The role of ambiguity and information uncertainty," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 279-297.
    9. Anis Mnif, 2009. "Board Of Directors And The Pricing Of Initial Public Offerings (Ipos): Does The Existence Of A Properly Structured Board Matter? Evidence From France," Post-Print halshs-00459257, HAL.
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    12. Michiel De Meyere & Heidi Vander Bauwhede & Philippe Van Cauwenberge, 2018. "The impact of financial reporting quality on debt maturity: the case of private firms," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(7), pages 759-781, November.
    13. Yaowen Shan & Stephen Taylor & Terry Walter, 2013. "Fundamentals or Managerial Discretion? The Relationship between Accrual Variability and Future Stock Return Volatility," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 49(4), pages 441-475, December.
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    16. Matthew J. Bloomfield, 2021. "The Asymmetric Effect of Reporting Flexibility on Priced Risk," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 59(3), pages 867-910, June.
    17. Fatma Triki & Rym Hachana, 2008. "Impact De La Qualite Du Resultat Comptable Sur Le Cout Des Fonds Propres Des Entreprises Tunisiennes," Post-Print halshs-00525990, HAL.
    18. Soon Kim, Kyung & Young Chung, Chune & Hwon Lee, Jin & Cho, Sangjun, 2020. "Accruals quality, information risk, and institutional investors’ trading behavior: Evidence from the Korean stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    19. Gao, Pingyang, 2008. "Disclosure Quality, Cost of Capital, and Investors’ Welfare," MPRA Paper 9478, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2008.
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