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Dodging a Malthusian bullet in the 21st Century

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  • Luther Tweeten

    (Dept. of Agricultural Economics, Ohio State University, 2120 Fyfe Rd., Columbus, OH 43210)

Abstract

The linear historic global crop yield trends found in this study, when extended, trace future rates of yield gain that are well below the recent growth in food demand. Fortunately for consumers, the population growth rates have also fallen after exponential growth, on average, for at least 2 centuries. Global food demand growth may exceed yield growth for several decades, bringing higher commodity prices that are necessary to draw land and other conventional resources into food production © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Suggested Citation

  • Luther Tweeten, 1998. "Dodging a Malthusian bullet in the 21st Century," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(1), pages 15-32.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:agribz:v:14:y:1998:i:1:p:15-32
    DOI: 10.1002/(SICI)1520-6297(199801/02)14:1<15::AID-AGR2>3.0.CO;2-O
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mitchell,Donald O. & Ingco,Merlinda D. & Duncan,Ronald C., 1997. "The World Food Outlook," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521580106, January.
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