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Sovereign Credit Risk in the Eurozone

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  • Jamal Ibrahim Haidar

Abstract

What is the current state of sovereign credit risk across the Eurozone? Does the recent fiscal crisis extend to other (non-Eurozone) countries? Is Greece the centre of the problem? How did the current fiscal crisis in the Euro area start? Who is behind it? How can it evolve? How can it be addressed? And, is a fiscally challenged country likely to want to leave the Eurozone? This article addresses these questions, argues that a fiscally weak country is better off in the Eurozone than outside it, and finds that a feasible policy tool can be a bailout associated with tough fiscal conditionality. It also shows that sovereign credit risk adjustment in the Eurozone can happen, using various measures, but not without ‘fiscal pain’.

Suggested Citation

  • Jamal Ibrahim Haidar, 2012. "Sovereign Credit Risk in the Eurozone," World Economics, World Economics, 1 Ivory Square, Plantation Wharf, London, United Kingdom, SW11 3UE, vol. 13(1), pages 123-136, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:wej:wldecn:511
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    1. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2010. "Growth in a Time of Debt," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(2), pages 573-578, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ersin Kantar & Bayram Deviren & Mustafa Keskin, 2014. "Hierarchical structure of the European countries based on debts as a percentage of GDP during the 2000-2011 period," Papers 1406.6559, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2014.
    2. Edward I. Altman & Herbert Rijken, 2013. "Toward A Bottom-Up Approach To Assessing Sovereign Default Risk: An Update," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Oliviero Roggi & Edward I Altman (ed.), Managing and Measuring Risk Emerging Global Standards and Regulations After the Financial Crisis, chapter 2, pages 41-64, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Sarafrazi, Soodabeh & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & AraújoSantos, Paulo, 2014. "Downside risk, portfolio diversification and the financial crisis in the euro-zone," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 368-396.
    4. Haidar, Jamal Ibrahim, 2012. "Currency crisis transmission through international trade," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 151-157.
    5. Ronald A. Stunda, 2013. "The Impact Of Economic Fluctuations On Earnings Forecasts," Accounting & Taxation, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 5(2), pages 55-64.
    6. Christiaan Kwaak & Sweder Wijnbergen, 2017. "Sovereign debt and bank fragility in Spain," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 153(3), pages 511-543, August.
    7. Zhao, Rui & Hynes, Stephen & Shun He, Guang, 2014. "Defining and quantifying China's ocean economy," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 164-173.
    8. Caporin, Massimiliano & Pelizzon, Loriana & Ravazzolo, Francesco & Rigobon, Roberto, 2018. "Measuring sovereign contagion in Europe," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 150-181.
    9. Daniel Daianu, 2012. "Euro Zone Crisis and EU Governance: Tackling a Flawed Design and Inadequate Policy Arrangements," CASE Network Studies and Analyses 433, CASE-Center for Social and Economic Research.
    10. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Ermişoğlu, Ergun, 2013. "Eurozone Debt Crisis and its Effects on Turkish Economy," MPRA Paper 50501, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Papafilis, Michalis-Panayiotis & Psillaki, Maria & Margaritis, Dimitris, 2015. "Interdependence between Sovereign and Bank CDS Spreads in Eurozone during the European Debt Crisis - The PSI Effect," MPRA Paper 68037, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Kantar, Ersin & Deviren, Bayram & Keskin, Mustafa, 2014. "Hierarchical structure of the European countries based on debts as a percentage of GDP during the 2000–2011 period," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 414(C), pages 95-107.
    13. Choy, Swee Yew & Chit, Myint Moe & Teo, Wing Leong, 2021. "Sovereign credit ratings: Discovering unorthodox factors and variables," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    14. Barbulescu Marinela & Brinzea Victoria-Mihaela, 2014. "Credit Risk Management With The Purpose Of Optimizing The Performances Of The Financial Institutions," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1, pages 208-212, February.
    15. Ivan Major, 2014. "A Political Economy Application of the “Tragedy of the Anticommons”: The Greek Government Debt Crisis," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 20(4), pages 425-437, November.

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