IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/vrs/remava/v32y2024i3p101-115n1008.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Capitalization Rate and Real Estate Risk Factors: An Analysis of the Relationships for the Residential Market in the City of Rome (Italy)

Author

Listed:
  • Manganelli Benedetto

    (School of Engineering, University of Basilicata, Viale dell’Ateneo Lucano, 85100 Potenza, Italy)

  • Anelli Debora

    (Department of Civil, Environmental, Land, Building Engineering and Chemistry, Polytechnic University of Bari, Via Orabona 4, 70125 Bari, Italy)

  • Tajani Francesco

    (Department of Architecture and Design, Sapienza University of Rome, Via Flaminia 359, 00196 Rome, Italy)

  • Morano Pierluigi

    (Department of Civil, Environmental, Land, Building Engineering and Chemistry, Polytechnic University of Bari, Via Orabona 4, 70125 Bari, Italy)

Abstract

The assessment of income-producing properties - considered as the bulk of the existing assets - has rapidly increased. An efficient assessment of the market value of this kind of properties requires an adequate involvement of the main risk factors of the local real estate market for the determination of the capitalization rate for the income approach application. The aim of the work is to identify the most significant local real estate risk factors related to the market, the tenant and the context on the residential capitalization rate. The development of a regressive methodological approach applied to the residential sector of the city of Rome (Italy) is proposed. The obtained results show the susceptibility of the analyzed capitalization rate to the variation of the local real estate risk factors, in particular the per capita income and the variation of the rental values, by also considering the influences of the exogenous shocks and the expectation of the investors. The practical implications of the work consist in the possibility for evaluators to assess the likely changes in the capitalization rate in different residential contexts if variations occur in the most influential local risk factors identified by the proposed model.

Suggested Citation

  • Manganelli Benedetto & Anelli Debora & Tajani Francesco & Morano Pierluigi, 2024. "Capitalization Rate and Real Estate Risk Factors: An Analysis of the Relationships for the Residential Market in the City of Rome (Italy)," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 32(3), pages 101-115.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:remava:v:32:y:2024:i:3:p:101-115:n:1008
    DOI: 10.2478/remav-2024-0028
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.2478/remav-2024-0028
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.2478/remav-2024-0028?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Karen M. McGrath, 2013. "The effects of eco-certification on office properties: a cap rates-based analysis," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(4), pages 345-365, December.
    2. Stephen Roulac, 1996. "Real Estate Market Cycles, Transformation Forces and Structural Change," Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(1), pages 1-17, January.
    3. Alain Chaney & Martin Hoesli, 2015. "Multifamily residential asset and space markets and linkages with the economy," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(1), pages 50-76, March.
    4. Anelli, Debora & Tajani, Francesco, 2023. "Spatial decision support systems for effective ex-ante risk evaluation: An innovative model for improving the real estate redevelopment processes," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    5. Sivitanidou, Rena & Sivitanides, Petros, 1999. "Office Capitalization Rates: Real Estate and Capital Market Influences," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 297-322, May.
    6. Matt Larriva, 2022. "Cap Rates as a Function of Real Economic Growth," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-18, July.
    7. Phillips, Robyn S., 1988. "Residential capitalization rates: Explaining intermetropolitan variation, 1974-1979," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 278-290, May.
    8. Loann D. Desboulets, 2018. "A Review on Variable Selection in Regression Analysis," AMSE Working Papers 1852, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Niina Leskinen & Jussi Vimpari & Seppo Junnila, 2020. "A Review of the Impact of Green Building Certification on the Cash Flows and Values of Commercial Properties," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-22, March.
    2. Chun-Chang Lee & Hsueh-Ling Fan, 2016. "The Impact of Administrative Characteristics and Residential Types on Income Capitalization Rates in Taipei, Taiwan," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 6(10), pages 602-619, October.
    3. Coën, Alain & Lefebvre, Benoit & Simon, Arnaud, 2018. "International money supply and real estate risk premium: The case of the London office market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 120-140.
    4. Alain Chaney & Martin Hoesli, 2015. "Transaction-Based and Appraisal-Based Capitalization Rate Determinants," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 18(1), pages 1-43.
    5. Eduardo Correia & Rodrigo Calili & José Francisco Pessanha & Maria Fatima Almeida, 2023. "Definition of Regulatory Targets for Electricity Non-Technical Losses: Proposition of an Automatic Model-Selection Technique for Panel Data Regressions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-22, March.
    6. Yu, Mengting & Principato, Ludovica & Formentini, Marco & Mattia, Giovanni & Cicatiello, Clara & Capoccia, Leonardo & Secondi, Luca, 2024. "Unlocking the potential of surplus food: A blockchain approach to enhance equitable distribution and address food insecurity in Italy," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    7. Fakhri J. Hasanov & Muhammad Javid & Frederick L. Joutz, 2022. "Saudi Non-Oil Exports before and after COVID-19: Historical Impacts of Determinants and Scenario Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-38, February.
    8. Jędrzej Białkowski & Sheridan Titman & Garry Twite, 2023. "The Determinants of Office Cap Rates: The International Evidence," Working Papers in Economics 23/01, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    9. Jim Clayton & David Ling & Andy Naranjo, 2009. "Commercial Real Estate Valuation: Fundamentals Versus Investor Sentiment," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 38(1), pages 5-37, January.
    10. Jack Corgel & Crocker Liu & Robert White, 2015. "Determinants of Hotel Property Prices," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 51(3), pages 415-439, October.
    11. Rena Sivitanidou, 1999. "Does the Theory of Irreversible Investments Help Explain Movements in Office-Commerical Construction?," Working Paper 8659, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
    12. Lin, Chuanhao, 2024. "Do households value lower density: Theory, evidence, and implications from Washington, DC," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    13. Gonzalo García-Donato & María Eugenia Castellanos & Alicia Quirós, 2021. "Bayesian Variable Selection with Applications in Health Sciences," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-16, January.
    14. Jędrzej Białkowski & Sheridan Titman & Garry Twite, 2023. "The determinants of office cap rates: The international evidence," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 51(3), pages 539-572, May.
    15. Muhammad Adil Rauf & Olaf Weber, 2021. "Urban infrastructure finance and its relationship to land markets, land development, and sustainability: a case study of the city of Islamabad, Pakistan," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 5016-5034, April.
    16. Kimia Keshanian & Daniel Zantedeschi & Kaushik Dutta, 2022. "Features Selection as a Nash-Bargaining Solution: Applications in Online Advertising and Information Systems," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 34(5), pages 2485-2501, September.
    17. Rubina Canesi & Beatrice Gallo, 2023. "Risk Assessment in Sustainable Infrastructure Development Projects: A Tool for Mitigating Cost Overruns," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-22, December.
    18. Daisy J. Huang & Charles Ka Yui Leung & Chung-Yi Tse, 2018. "What Accounts for the Differences in Rent-Price Ratio and Turnover Rate? A Search-and-Matching Approach," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 431-475, October.
    19. Ying Xu & Meiyan Wang & Yicheng Xu & Xin Li & Yun Wu & Fang’ai Chi, 2023. "Evaluation System Creation and Application of “Zero-Pollution Village” Based on Combined FAHP-TOPSIS Method: A Case Study of Zhejiang Province," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-26, August.
    20. Deng, Yongheng & Wu, Jing, 2014. "Economic returns to residential green building investment: The developers' perspective," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 35-44.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    capitalization rate; real estate risk; exogenous shock; incomeproducing properties; real estate assessment; regression model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C00 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - General
    • R20 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - General
    • R30 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:vrs:remava:v:32:y:2024:i:3:p:101-115:n:1008. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Peter Golla (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.sciendo.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.