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Economic voting in the Philippines

Author

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  • Bello Amelia L.

    (Department of Economics, College of Economics and Management, University of the Philippines Los Baños, Philippines)

Abstract

The article wanted to find out if elections in the Philippines are economically motivated. Using 2019 gubernatorial election results, a logit model with inflation rate, unemployment rate, provincial revenue, and poverty incidence for the economic variables and party affiliation with the President and membership in a political family as the political variables was tested to explain the probability of an incumbent governor to be re-elected. The marginal effects tell us that a change in the unemployment rate decreases the predicted probability of a governor being reelected but interestingly, a change in the poverty incidence rates has the opposite effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Bello Amelia L., 2021. "Economic voting in the Philippines," HOLISTICA – Journal of Business and Public Administration, Sciendo, vol. 12(3), pages 1-12, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:hjobpa:v:12:y:2021:i:3:p:1-12:n:3
    DOI: 10.2478/hjbpa-2021-0019
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. repec:cup:apsrev:v:65:y:1971:i:1:p:131-143_1 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Marina-Luminita MILITARU, 2013. "Charismatic Leadership And Non-Verbal Communication," HOLISTICA Journal of Business and Public Administration, Association Holistic Research Academic (HoRA), vol. 4(2), pages 15-20, July-Dece.
    3. Kramer, Gerald H., 1971. "Short-Term Fluctuations in U.S. Voting Behavior, 1896–1964," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 65(1), pages 131-143, March.
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