IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/vrs/foeste/v16y2016i1p75-92n6.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Beta Stability Over Bull and Bear Market on the Warsaw Stock Exchange

Author

Listed:
  • Dębski Wiesław

    (University of Finance and Management in Warsaw, Pawia 55 Str., 01-030 Warsaw, Poland)

  • Feder-Sempach Ewa

    (University of Lodz, Faculty of Economics and Sociology, POW 3/5 Str., 90-255 Lodz, Poland)

  • Świderski Bartosz

    (Warsaw University of Life Sciences, Nowoursynowska 159 Str., 02-776 Warsaw, Poland)

Abstract

Beta parameter is one of the commonly used measures of the investment risk of individual stock or portfolio. It plays a crucial role in modern portfolio theory particularly in management of financial investment portfolios. In the field of beta parameter, numerous studies have been conducted, especially beta properties stability in the context of the stock market cycle phases, measuring frequency of rate of return, and the length of a sample period. There are much fewer studies concerned beta parameter in the countries of Central and Eastern Europe which have undergone systemic transformation at the end of the previous century. From a scientific point of view, it is interesting to know how the beta parameter behaves in these countries.The main goal of this article is to examine the beta parameter stability over bull and bear market conditions on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. The paper presents an analysis of beta stability for 134 stocks of the largest companies listed at the WSE during years 2005–2013. To verify statistically the hypothesis of beta parameter stability, we used monthly returns in the Sharpe’s single-index model. In the first part of the article, we present a brief review of the literature and methodology of the study, while in the second part, the obtained results and conclusions are shown.

Suggested Citation

  • Dębski Wiesław & Feder-Sempach Ewa & Świderski Bartosz, 2016. "Beta Stability Over Bull and Bear Market on the Warsaw Stock Exchange," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 16(1), pages 75-92, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:foeste:v:16:y:2016:i:1:p:75-92:n:6
    DOI: 10.1515/foli-2016-0006
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1515/foli-2016-0006
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1515/foli-2016-0006?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. William F. Sharpe, 1963. "A Simplified Model for Portfolio Analysis," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 9(2), pages 277-293, January.
    2. Fabozzi, Frank J & Francis, Jack Clark, 1977. "Stability Tests for Alphas and Betas over Bull and Bear Market Conditions," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 32(4), pages 1093-1099, September.
    3. Radosław Kurach, 2013. "Does Beta Explain Global Equity Market Volatility – Some Empirical Evidence," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 7(2), June.
    4. repec:bla:jfinan:v:43:y:1988:i:4:p:1009-13 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Eubank, Arthur A, Jr & Zumwalt, J Kenton, 1979. "An Analysis of the Forecast Error Impact of Alternative Beta Adjustment Techniques and Risk Classes," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 34(3), pages 761-776, June.
    6. Piet Sercu & Martina Vandebroek & Tom Vinaimont, 2008. "Thin‐Trading Effects in Beta: Bias v. Estimation Error," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(9‐10), pages 1196-1219, November.
    7. Clarkson, Peter M & Thompson, Rex, 1990. "Empirical Estimates of Beta When Investors Face Estimation Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 45(2), pages 431-453, June.
    8. Chen, Son-Nan, 1982. "An Examination of Risk-Return Relationship in Bull and Bear Markets Using Time-Varying Betas," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 17(2), pages 265-286, June.
    9. Fisher, Lawrence & Kamin, Jules H., 1985. "Forecasting Systematic Risk: Estimates of “Raw” Beta that Take Account of the Tendency of Beta to Change and the Heteroskedasticity of Residual Returns," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(2), pages 127-149, June.
    10. Kim, Moon K. & Zumwalt, J. Kenton, 1979. "An Analysis of Risk in Bull and Bear Markets," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 14(5), pages 1015-1025, December.
    11. Breusch, T S & Pagan, A R, 1979. "A Simple Test for Heteroscedasticity and Random Coefficient Variation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 47(5), pages 1287-1294, September.
    12. Piet Sercu & Martina Vandebroek & Tom Vinaimont, 2008. "Thin-Trading Effects in Beta: Bias "v." Estimation Error," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(9-10), pages 1196-1219.
    13. Dave Berger, 2013. "Financial turbulence and beta estimation," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 251-263, February.
    14. Lin, Winston T. & Chen, Yueh H., 1990. "Investment horizon and beta coefficients," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 19-37, August.
    15. Alexander, Gordon J. & Benson, P. George, 1982. "More on Beta as a Random Coefficient," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 17(1), pages 27-36, March.
    16. Blume, Marshall E, 1971. "On the Assessment of Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 26(1), pages 1-10, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Syed Mohammad Faisal & Ahmad Khalid Khan & Omar Abdullah Al Aboud, 2018. "Estimating Beta (¦Â) Values of Stocks in the Creation of Diversified Portfolio - A Detailed Study," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 5(3), pages 89-99, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dębski Wiesław & Feder-Sempach Ewa & Świderski Bartosz, 2014. "Intervalling Effect On Estimating The Beta Parameter For The Largest Companies On The WSE," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 14(2), pages 270-286, December.
    2. Magdalena Mikolajek-Gocejna, 2021. "Estimation, Instability, and Non-Stationarity of Beta Coefficients for Twenty-four Emerging Markets in 2005-2021," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 370-395.
    3. Rua, António & Nunes, Luis C., 2012. "A wavelet-based assessment of market risk: The emerging markets case," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 84-92.
    4. Prabhdeep Kaur & Jaspal Singh & Sidharath Seth, 2021. "Investigating the Dynamics of Exchange Traded Funds Across the Bear and Bull Markets: Evidence from Indian Equity ETFs," Vision, , vol. 25(3), pages 350-360, September.
    5. Szczepocki Piotr, 2019. "Clustering Companies Listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange According to Time-Varying Beta," Econometrics. Advances in Applied Data Analysis, Sciendo, vol. 23(2), pages 63-79, June.
    6. Abdul Rahman & Lawrence Kryzanowski & Ah Boon Sim, 1987. "Systematic Risk In A Purely Random Market Model: Some Empirical Evidence For Individual Public Utilities," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 10(2), pages 143-152, June.
    7. Turhan Korkmaz & Emrah I. Çevik & Elif Birkan & Nesrin ÖzataÇ, 2010. "Testing Capm using Markov Switching Model: The Case of Coal Firms," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 44-59, January.
    8. Manuel Monge & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2020. "The Lithium Industry and Analysis of the Beta Term Structure of Oil Companies," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-17, December.
    9. Hwang, Soosung & Pedersen, Christian S., 2004. "Asymmetric risk measures when modelling emerging markets equities: evidence for regional and timing effects," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 109-128, March.
    10. Srikanta Kundu & Nityananda Sarkar, 2016. "Is the Effect of Risk on Stock Returns Different in Up and Down Markets? A Multi-Country Study," International Econometric Review (IER), Econometric Research Association, vol. 8(2), pages 53-71, September.
    11. Fernando Rubio, 2005. "Eficiencia De Mercado, Administracion De Carteras De Fondos Y Behavioural Finance," Finance 0503028, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 23 Jul 2005.
    12. Safari, Meysam & TahmooresPour, Reza, 2011. "Moderation Effect of Market Condition on the Relationship between Dividend Yield and Stock Return," MPRA Paper 28913, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Roger P. Bey, 1983. "The Market Model As An Appropriate Description Of The Stochastic Process Generating Security Returns," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 6(4), pages 275-288, December.
    14. K. Giannopoulos, 1995. "Estimating the time Varying Components of international stock markets' risk," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(2), pages 129-164.
    15. Woodward, George & Marisetty, Vijaya B., 2005. "Introducing non-linear dynamics to the two-regime market model: Evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(4-5), pages 559-581, September.
    16. Gauri Ghai & Maria De Boyrie & Shahid Hamid & Arun Prakash, 2001. "Estimation of global systematic risk for securities listed in multiple markets," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(2), pages 117-130.
    17. Wu, Shue-Jen & Lee, Wei-Ming, 2015. "Intertemporal risk–return relationships in bull and bear markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 308-325.
    18. Rutkowska – Ziarko, Anna & Markowski, Lesław & Abdou, Hussein A., 2024. "Conditional CAPM relationships in standard and accounting risk approaches," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    19. Kumar, Gaurav & Misra, Arun Kumar, 2018. "Commonality in liquidity: Evidence from India’s National Stock Exchange," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 1-15.
    20. Lunde A. & Timmermann A., 2004. "Duration Dependence in Stock Prices: An Analysis of Bull and Bear Markets," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 22, pages 253-273, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    beta parameter; Sharpe’s single–index model; bull and bear market; stability of beta; Warsaw Stock Exchange;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:vrs:foeste:v:16:y:2016:i:1:p:75-92:n:6. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Peter Golla (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.sciendo.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.