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Wagner's Hypothesis in Time-Series and Cross-section Perspectives:

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  • Ram, Rati

Abstract

Internationally comparable data on income and government expenditure for 115 countries, covering the period 1950-80, are used to assess the validity of Wagner's hypothesis. Individual country time-series data and several intercountry cross sections are studied. Besides a tremendous diversity in the position for various countries, the results indicate that while there is support for the hypothesis in some time-series data sets, such support is lacking in most cross- section estimates. Much of the support for the hypothesis reported in many earlier studies, therefore, was probably due to either use of limited samples or inadequate data comparability across the observations studied. Copyright 1987 by MIT Press.

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  • Ram, Rati, 1987. "Wagner's Hypothesis in Time-Series and Cross-section Perspectives:," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 69(2), pages 194-204, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:tpr:restat:v:69:y:1987:i:2:p:194-204
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    Cited by:

    1. Chirinko, Robert S. & Wilson, Daniel J., 2017. "Tax competition among U.S. states: Racing to the bottom or riding on a seesaw?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 147-163.
    2. Ahrens, Joachim & Schweickert, Rainer & Zenker, Juliane, 2011. "Varieties of capitalism, governance and government spending: A cross-section analysis," PFH Forschungspapiere/Research Papers 2011/01, PFH Private University of Applied Sciences, Göttingen.
    3. Joachim Ahrens & Rainer Schweickert & Juliane Zenker, 2015. "Varieties Of Capitalism And Government Spending In Developed And Developing Countries," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 40(1), pages 113-136, March.
    4. Shelton, Cameron A., 2008. "The aging population and the size of the welfare state: Is there a puzzle?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(3-4), pages 647-651, April.
    5. Martin Wagner & Jaroslava Hlouskova, 2005. "CEEC growth projections: Certainly necessary and necessarily uncertain," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 13(2), pages 341-372, April.
    6. Loizides, John & Vamvoukas, George, 2005. "Government Expenditure and Economic Growth: Evidence from Trivariate Causality Testing," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 8(01), pages 1-28, May.
    7. Sylviane GUILLAUMONT JEANNENEY & Ping HUA, 2000. "Economic openness and public expenditure in China: a regional analysis," Working Papers 200005, CERDI.
    8. Christine Nanjala Simiyu, 2015. "Explaining the Relationship between Public Expenditure and Economic Growth in Kenya using Vector Error Correction Model (VECM)," International Journal of Economic Sciences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, vol. 4(3), pages 19-38, September.
    9. Easterly, William & Rebelo, Sergio, 1993. "Fiscal policy and economic growth: An empirical investigation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 417-458, December.
    10. Magazzino, Cosimo, 2009. "Wagner's law in Italy: empirical evidence from 1960 to 2008," MPRA Paper 25526, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Randall W. Eberts & Timothy J. Gronberg, 1992. "Wagner's hypothesis: a local perspective," Working Papers (Old Series) 9202, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    12. Lopez, Ramon E. & Islam, Asif M., 2008. "When Government Spending Serves the Elites: Consequences for Economic Growth in a Context of Market Imperfections," Working Papers 45875, University of Maryland, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    13. Anthony Enisan Akinlo, 2013. "Government Spending And National Income Nexus For Nigeria," Global Journal of Business Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 7(1), pages 33-41.
    14. Alfred Wu & Mi Lin, 2012. "Determinants of government size: evidence from China," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 151(1), pages 255-270, April.
    15. Rafael Di Tella & Robert J. MacCulloch, 2002. "The Determination of Unemployment Benefits," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 20(2), pages 404-434, Part.
    16. Shelton, Cameron A., 2007. "The size and composition of government expenditure," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(11-12), pages 2230-2260, December.
    17. Magazzino, Cosimo, 2010. "Wagner's law and Italian disaggregated public spending: some empirical evidences," MPRA Paper 26662, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Stegarescu, Dan, 2005. "Centralizing Tendencies in the Public Sector in Germany," ZEW Discussion Papers 05-46, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    19. Ferda Halicioglu, 2005. "Testing Wagner's Law for Turkey, 1960-2003," Public Economics 0502013, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Eloranta, Jari, 2004. "WARFARE AND WELFARE? Understanding 19th and 20th Century Central Government Spending," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 699, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    21. Dani Rodrik, 1998. "Why Do More Open Economies Have Bigger Governments?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 106(5), pages 997-1032, October.
    22. Wagner, Martin & Hlouskova, Jaroslava, 2001. "The CEEC10's Real Convergence Prospects," Transition Economics Series 20, Institute for Advanced Studies.
    23. John Bradbury & W. Crain, 2005. "Legislative district configurations and fiscal policy in American States," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 125(3), pages 385-407, December.
    24. Christine Simiyu, 2015. "Explaining the Relationship between Public Expenditure and Economic Growth in Kenya using Vector Error Correction Model (VECM)," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences 1003212, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    25. Paul R. Blackley, 2003. "Price versus Income Effects as Sources of Growth in Government's Share of GDP," Public Finance Review, , vol. 31(3), pages 241-262, May.

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